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Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:c931603d4ea477

12Decks in Window

9Tournaments

51.3%Record Win Rate

39.4% Actual Match WR · 33 matches 95% CI 24.7%–56.3%

44.9%Actual Game WR

7Best Rank

51.2% Adjusted WR (90d) · 93 decks, 44 from cuts 95% CI 46.2%–56.5%

1.89× Cut conversion · 48 cut decks vs 23 expected

+3.9 Strength · how it works 45 full-field decks · 48 top-32 decks · 47 other

6% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 88%

$483.04Consensus 75 Price · 74/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Formidable Speaker {2}{G} $7.00	25	100.0%	2.84
Kozilek's Return {2}{R} $0.01	25	100.0%	2.48
Sowing Mycospawn {3}{G} $0.50	25	100.0%	4.0
Talisman of Impulse {2} $0.01	25	100.0%	3.96
Utopia Sprawl {G} $0.65	25	100.0%	4.0
World Breaker {6}{G} $0.01	25	100.0%	1.2
Devourer of Destiny {5}{C}{C} $0.49	25	100.0%	1.32
Emrakul, the Promised End {13} $20.00	25	100.0%	2.96
Kozilek's Command {X}{C}{C} $6.00	25	100.0%	4.0
Malevolent Rumble {1}{G} $0.26	25	100.0%	4.0
Herigast, Erupting Nullkite {9} $0.28	24	96.0%	2.0
Icetill Explorer {2}{G}{G} $18.96	24	96.0%	1.44

Colors

Color	Decks
Gruul	12

Consensus 75

12 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $483.04 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $408.64

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Icetill Explorer {2}{G}{G} $18.96	100.0%	$18.96
4	Sowing Mycospawn {3}{G} $0.50	100.0%	$0.50
2	Devourer of Destiny {5}{C}{C} $0.49	58.3%	$0.49
2	Sire of Seven Deaths {7} $13.53	58.3%	$13.53
2	World Breaker {6}{G} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Herigast, Erupting Nullkite {9} $0.28	50.0%	$0.28
1	Emrakul, the Exigent Doom {10}	41.7%
3	Emrakul, the Promised End {13} $20.00	91.7%	$20.00
1	Ugin, Eye of the Storms {7} $35.54	83.3%	$35.54
3	Talisman of Impulse {2} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
4	Utopia Sprawl {G} $0.65	100.0%	$0.65
2	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	41.7%	$0.01
4	Kozilek's Command {X}{C}{C} $6.00	100.0%	$6.00
2	Kozilek's Return {2}{R} $0.01	83.3%	$0.01
4	Malevolent Rumble {1}{G} $0.26	100.0%	$0.26
1	Bojuka Bog $0.79	100.0%	$0.79
1	Boseiju, Who Endures $42.00	50.0%	$42.00
1	Cavern of Souls $43.35	50.0%	$43.35
1	Commercial District $5.01	100.0%	$5.01
4	Eldrazi Temple $2.00	100.0%	$2.00
4	Forest $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Ghost Quarter $0.19	100.0%	$0.19
1	Misty Rainforest $32.56	83.3%	$32.56
1	Sanctum of Ugin $0.40	50.0%	$0.40
1	Shifting Woodland $5.32	91.7%	$5.32
1	Stomping Ground $5.25	100.0%	$5.25
4	Ugin's Labyrinth $11.00	100.0%	$11.00
1	Verdant Catacombs $27.50	41.7%	$27.50
1	Windswept Heath $9.68	58.3%	$9.68
1	Wooded Foothills $12.00	100.0%	$12.00

Sideboard · $74.40

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
2	Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.42	66.7%	$1.42
1	Vexing Bauble {1} $1.30	41.7%	$1.30
2	Disruptor Flute {2} $0.75	58.3%	$0.75
2	Trinisphere {3} $29.20	100.0%	$29.20
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	33.3%	$5.00
2	Nature's Claim {G} $0.01	75.0%	$0.01
1	Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.92	66.7%	$0.92
1	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	41.7%	$0.01
1	Kozilek's Return {2}{R} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
2	Fade from History {2}{G}{G} $2.20	50.0%	$2.20

Deck
1 Icetill Explorer
4 Sowing Mycospawn
2 Devourer of Destiny
2 Sire of Seven Deaths
2 World Breaker
1 Herigast, Erupting Nullkite
1 Emrakul, the Exigent Doom
3 Emrakul, the Promised End
1 Ugin, Eye of the Storms
3 Talisman of Impulse
4 Utopia Sprawl
2 Unholy Heat
4 Kozilek's Command
2 Kozilek's Return
4 Malevolent Rumble
1 Bojuka Bog
1 Boseiju, Who Endures
1 Cavern of Souls
1 Commercial District
4 Eldrazi Temple
4 Forest
1 Ghost Quarter
1 Misty Rainforest
1 Sanctum of Ugin
1 Shifting Woodland
1 Stomping Ground
4 Ugin's Labyrinth
1 Verdant Catacombs
1 Windswept Heath
1 Wooded Foothills

Sideboard
2 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Vexing Bauble
2 Disruptor Flute
2 Trinisphere
1 Blood Moon
2 Nature's Claim
1 Surgical Extraction
1 Unholy Heat
1 Kozilek's Return
2 Fade from History

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $430.79 High $629.10 +$69.00 (16.0%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$400$450$500$550$600$650

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$499.79 · ▲ 16.0% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Domain Zoo	5	1	3-2	60.0% 23.1%–88.2% CI	46.2%
Broodscale Combo	4	2	0-4	0.0% 0.0%–49.0% CI	27.3%
Izzet Prowess	4	2	2-2	50.0% 15.0%–85.0% CI	50.0%
Affinity	3	2	0-3	0.0% 0.0%–56.1% CI	25.0%
Eldrazi Tron	3	3	1-2	33.3% 6.1%–79.2% CI	44.4%
Esper Blink	3	2	2-1	66.7% 20.8%–93.9% CI	57.1%
Jeskai Control	2	2	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Boros Control	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Boros Energy	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Dimir Murktide	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Goryo's Vengeance	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Jeskai Blink	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Modern v3 Group 213EA0 (Dark Matter Manipulator, Fear of Missing Out)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group F3E4CC (Murktide Regent, Spell Pierce)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Mono-Blue Belcher	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
The Rock	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Bojuka Bog $0.79	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Commercial District $5.01	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Devourer of Destiny {5}{C}{C} $0.49	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.66	1.67	Core
Eldrazi Temple $2.00	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Emrakul, the Promised End {13} $20.00	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.92	2.92	Core
Forest $0.01	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.67	3.67	Core
Ghost Quarter $0.19	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.08	1.08	Core
Icetill Explorer {2}{G}{G} $18.96	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.34	1.33	Core
Kozilek's Command {X}{C}{C} $6.00	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Kozilek's Return {2}{R} $0.01	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Malevolent Rumble {1}{G} $0.26	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Sire of Seven Deaths {7} $13.53	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.59	1.58	Core
Sowing Mycospawn {3}{G} $0.50	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Stomping Ground $5.25	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.33	1.33	Core
Talisman of Impulse {2} $0.01	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.34	3.33	Core
Ugin's Labyrinth $11.00	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Utopia Sprawl {G} $0.65	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Wooded Foothills $12.00	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.34	1.33	Core
World Breaker {6}{G} $0.01	main	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.75	1.75	Core
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.42	sideboard	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.84	1.83	Core
Trinisphere {3} $29.20	sideboard	12 w 11.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.34	2.33	Core
Shifting Woodland $5.32	main	11 w 10.3	91.9% raw 91.7%	0.92	1.00	Core
Misty Rainforest $32.56	main	10 w 9.3	83.1% raw 83.3%	1.17	1.40	Core
Ugin, Eye of the Storms {7} $35.54	main	10 w 9.3	83.3% raw 83.3%	1.17	1.40	Core
Nature's Claim {G} $0.01	sideboard	9 w 8.4	74.9% raw 75.0%	1.58	2.11	Flex
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	main	8 w 7.5	66.8% raw 66.7%	1.16	1.75	Flex
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.92	sideboard	8 w 7.5	66.8% raw 66.7%	0.92	1.38	Flex
Windswept Heath $9.68	main	7 w 6.5	58.1% raw 58.3%	0.58	1.00	Flex
Disruptor Flute {2} $0.75	sideboard	7 w 6.6	58.6% raw 58.3%	1.34	2.29	Flex
Fade from History {2}{G}{G} $2.20	sideboard	7 w 6.6	58.8% raw 58.3%	1.26	2.14	Flex
Boseiju, Who Endures $42.00	main	6 w 5.6	50.1% raw 50.0%	0.50	1.00	Flex
Cavern of Souls $43.35	main	6 w 5.6	50.0% raw 50.0%	0.50	1.00	Flex
Herigast, Erupting Nullkite {9} $0.28	main	6 w 5.6	50.1% raw 50.0%	0.75	1.50	Flex
Sanctum of Ugin $0.40	main	6 w 5.6	50.0% raw 50.0%	0.50	1.00	Flex
Emrakul, the Exigent Doom {10}	main	5 w 4.7	41.7% raw 41.7%	0.42	1.00	Flex
Verdant Catacombs $27.50	main	5 w 4.6	41.3% raw 41.7%	0.41	1.00	Flex
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	sideboard	5 w 4.7	41.7% raw 41.7%	0.75	1.80	Flex
Vexing Bauble {1} $1.30	sideboard	5 w 4.6	41.3% raw 41.7%	0.58	1.40	Flex
Dismember {1}{B/P}{B/P} $1.49	main	4 w 3.7	33.3% raw 33.3%	0.50	1.50	Occasional
Formidable Speaker {2}{G} $7.00	main	4 w 3.8	33.6% raw 33.3%	0.59	1.75	Occasional
Petrified Hamlet $0.25	main	4 w 3.8	33.6% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Writhing Chrysalis {2}{R}{G} $0.01	main	4 w 3.7	33.2% raw 33.3%	0.41	1.25	Occasional
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	4 w 3.7	33.1% raw 33.3%	0.66	2.00	Occasional
Kozilek's Return {2}{R} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.7	33.2% raw 33.3%	0.42	1.25	Occasional
Null Elemental Blast {C} $0.18	sideboard	4 w 3.7	33.3% raw 33.3%	0.33	1.00	Occasional
Ancient Stirrings {G} $0.05	main	3 w 2.8	25.0% raw 25.0%	0.84	3.33	Occasional
Karn, the Great Creator {4} $2.10	main	3 w 2.8	25.0% raw 25.0%	0.75	3.00	Occasional
Ensnaring Bridge {3} $4.37	sideboard	3 w 2.8	25.0% raw 25.0%	0.25	1.00	Occasional
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	sideboard	3 w 2.8	25.1% raw 25.0%	0.59	2.33	Occasional
Liquimetal Coating {2} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.8	25.0% raw 25.0%	0.25	1.00	Occasional
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	sideboard	3 w 2.8	25.0% raw 25.0%	0.25	1.00	Occasional
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	3 w 2.8	25.0% raw 25.0%	0.25	1.00	Occasional
Konstrari Charm {R}{G}	sideboard	2 w 1.9	16.7% raw 16.7%	0.33	2.00	Occasional
Thought-Knot Seer {3}{C} $2.70	sideboard	2 w 1.8	16.4% raw 16.7%	0.33	2.00	Occasional
Kiora, Behemoth Beckoner {2}{G/U} $0.35	main	1 w 0.9	8.1% raw 8.3%	0.16	2.00	Occasional
Mwonvuli Acid-Moss {2}{G}{G} $0.35	main	1 w 0.9	8.2% raw 8.3%	0.25	3.00	Occasional
Nulldrifter {7} $0.15	main	1 w 0.9	8.1% raw 8.3%	0.24	3.00	Occasional
Talisman of Curiosity {2} $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	8.1% raw 8.3%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Boseiju, Who Endures $42.00	sideboard	1 w 0.9	8.1% raw 8.3%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Chalice of the Void {X}{X} $14.16	sideboard	1 w 0.9	8.1% raw 8.3%	0.16	2.00	Occasional
Cursed Totem {2} $0.65	sideboard	1 w 0.9	8.2% raw 8.3%	0.16	2.00	Occasional
Dismember {1}{B/P}{B/P} $1.49	sideboard	1 w 1.0	8.6% raw 8.3%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Icetill Explorer {2}{G}{G} $18.96	sideboard	1 w 0.9	8.1% raw 8.3%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Sire of Seven Deaths {7} $13.53	sideboard	1 w 0.9	8.1% raw 8.3%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Soulless Jailer {2} $0.69	sideboard	1 w 0.9	8.1% raw 8.3%	0.08	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 12 of 12

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
Lightspirit	Modern Challenge 32	2026-10-11	14	4-2-0	Gruul	6%
Amazonshark	$5K RCQ - Modern - SCG CON Los Angeles - Saturday - 9:30 am	2026-10-10	117	1-4-1	Gruul	4%
PietroS	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	151	7-5-0	Gruul	9%
Rogiers, Sander	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	436	4-4-0	Gruul	9%
CrisMTG77	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	927	1-3-0	Gruul	5%
Lightspirit	Modern Challenge 32	2026-10-10	15	4-2-0	Gruul	6%
Amazonshark	LCQ - Modern - SCG CON Los Angeles - Friday - 12:00 pm	2026-10-09	22	2-1-0	Gruul	6%
Amazonshark	LCQ - Modern - SCG CON Los Angeles - Friday - 10:30 am	2026-10-09	95	0-1-0	Gruul	6%
Amazonshark	LCQ - Modern - SCG CON Los Angeles - Friday - 9:30 am (Online Registration Only)	2026-10-09	132	0-1-0	Gruul	6%
Lightspirit	Modern Challenge 32	2026-10-09	7	4-3-0	Gruul	6%
CrisMTG77	Modern League	2026-10-08		5-0-0	Gruul	5%
VentoAureo	Modern League	2026-10-08		5-0-0	Gruul	7%