Premodern v3 Group 3CD16D (Lava Dart, Ball Lightning) ⤴ Share image

Premodern Last 7 days v3_fpg:3cd16d9de7ce12 auto group

2Decks in Window

2Tournaments

90.0%Record Win Rate

80.0% Actual Match WR · 5 matches 95% CI 37.6%–96.4%

69.2%Actual Game WR

2Best Rank

59.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 14 decks, 3 from cuts 95% CI 48.5%–70.2%

0.66× Cut conversion · 0 cut decks vs 3 expected

-0.3 Strength · how it works 11 full-field decks · 0 top-32 decks · 7 other

5% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 94%

$303.35Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05	18	100.0%	3.833
Cursed Scroll {1} $68.01	18	100.0%	2.222
Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11	18	100.0%	3.889
Jackal Pup {R} $0.05	18	100.0%	4.0
Lava Dart {R} $0.42	18	100.0%	1.278
Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.49	18	100.0%	2.333
Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05	18	100.0%	4.0
Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01	18	100.0%	4.0
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	18	100.0%	4.0
Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08	18	100.0%	4.0
Seal of Fire {R} $0.01	16	88.2%	2.944
Shock {R} $0.01	6	35.3%	1.333

Colors

Color	Decks
Red	2

Consensus 75

2 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $303.35 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $278.83

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05	100.0%	$0.05
4	Jackal Pup {R} $0.05	100.0%	$0.05
4	Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08	100.0%	$0.08
4	Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05	100.0%	$0.05
4	Urza's Bauble {0} $2.76	100.0%	$2.76
2	Cursed Scroll {1} $68.01	100.0%	$68.01
2	Seal of Fire {R} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
2	Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.49	100.0%	$0.49
1	Lava Dart {R} $0.42	100.0%	$0.42
4	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	100.0%	$0.20
2	Shock {R} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
4	Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
4	Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11	100.0%	$0.11
2	Barbarian Ring $0.04	100.0%	$0.04
4	Bloodstained Mire $17.00	100.0%	$17.00
9	Mountain $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
4	Wooded Foothills $14.99	100.0%	$14.99

Sideboard · $24.52

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Pyrostatic Pillar {1}{R} $0.96	50.0%	$0.96
2	Lava Dart {R} $0.42	50.0%	$0.42
3	Overload {R} $0.14	100.0%	$0.14
2	Pyroblast {R} $6.33	50.0%	$6.33
1	Red Elemental Blast {R} $1.00	100.0%	$1.00
2	Flaring Pain {1}{R} $0.64	50.0%	$0.64
3	Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16	100.0%	$2.16
1	Pyrokinesis {4}{R}{R} $0.88	50.0%	$0.88

Deck
4 Grim Lavamancer
4 Jackal Pup
4 Mogg Fanatic
4 Ball Lightning
4 Urza's Bauble
2 Cursed Scroll
2 Seal of Fire
2 Sulfuric Vortex
1 Lava Dart
4 Lightning Bolt
2 Shock
4 Incinerate
4 Fireblast
2 Barbarian Ring
4 Bloodstained Mire
9 Mountain
4 Wooded Foothills

Sideboard
1 Pyrostatic Pillar
2 Lava Dart
3 Overload
2 Pyroblast
1 Red Elemental Blast
2 Flaring Pain
3 Price of Progress
1 Pyrokinesis

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $284.99 High $336.45 −$20.17 (-6.2%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$280$300$320$340

Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$307.28 · ▼ 6.2% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Premodern v3 Group 1FAA38 (Bottomless Pit, The Rack)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Premodern v3 Group 20FBC1 (Arrogant Wurm, Basking Rootwalla)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Premodern v3 Group 58797A (Attunement, Decree of Silence)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Premodern v3 Group 86D63B (Gerrard's Verdict, Eternal Dragon)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Premodern v3 Group 9BC398 (Blastoderm, Pyroclasm)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Barbarian Ring $0.04	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Bloodstained Mire $17.00	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Cursed Scroll {1} $68.01	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Jackal Pup {R} $0.05	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Lava Dart {R} $0.42	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mountain $0.01	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	9.00	9.00	Core
Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.49	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Urza's Bauble {0} $2.76	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Wooded Foothills $14.99	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Overload {R} $0.14	sideboard	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16	sideboard	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Red Elemental Blast {R} $1.00	sideboard	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.47	2.50	Core
Seal of Fire {R} $0.01	main	1 w 1.0	51.1% raw 50.0%	2.05	4.00	Flex
Shock {R} $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	48.9% raw 50.0%	1.95	4.00	Flex
Flaring Pain {1}{R} $0.64	sideboard	1 w 0.9	48.9% raw 50.0%	0.98	2.00	Flex
Lava Dart {R} $0.42	sideboard	1 w 0.9	48.9% raw 50.0%	1.47	3.00	Flex
Pyroblast {R} $6.33	sideboard	1 w 1.0	51.1% raw 50.0%	1.53	3.00	Flex
Pyrokinesis {4}{R}{R} $0.88	sideboard	1 w 1.0	51.1% raw 50.0%	1.02	2.00	Flex
Pyrostatic Pillar {1}{R} $0.96	sideboard	1 w 1.0	51.1% raw 50.0%	1.53	3.00	Flex

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