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Premodern v3 Group 135F3C (Price of Progress, Ball Lightning) ⤴ Share image

Premodern Last 7 days v3_fpg:135f3cd668aeba auto group
2Decks in Window
1Tournaments
32.1%Record Win Rate
44.4% Actual Match WR · 9 matches 95% CI 18.9%–73.3%
47.4%Actual Game WR
76Best Rank
46.0% Adjusted WR (90d) · 15 decks, 3 from cuts 95% CI 35.0%–57.2%
0.70× Cut conversion · 1 cut decks vs 4 expected
-2.6 Strength · how it works 11 full-field decks · 1 top-32 decks · 6 other
2% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 93%
$349.75Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Metagame Share Trend

Each point is this archetype's share of all Premodern decks over the previous 7 days latest 0.6% (318 decks in window) peak 0.6% on 2026-11-09 +0.6 pp since 2026-11-03

0.0%0.2%0.4%0.5%0.7%
Nov 03Nov 05Nov 07Nov 09
7-day metagame share 0.0

Signature Cards

CardDecksShareAvg Copies
Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05 18 100.0% 3.667
Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11 18 100.0% 4.0
Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05 18 100.0% 4.0
Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 18 100.0% 4.0
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 18 100.0% 2.444
Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.49 18 100.0% 2.5
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20 18 100.0% 4.0
Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08 18 100.0% 4.0
Seal of Fire {R} $0.01 18 100.0% 3.667
Cursed Scroll {1} $69.94 17 93.8% 2.0
Jackal Pup {R} $0.08 17 93.8% 3.556
Earthquake {X}{R} $0.10 1 6.2% 0.167

Colors

ColorDecks
Red 2

Consensus 75

2 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $349.75 current botbox price

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $329.43

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
4 Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05 100.0% $0.05
4 Jackal Pup {R} $0.08 100.0% $0.08
4 Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08 100.0% $0.08
4 Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05 100.0% $0.05
3 Cursed Scroll {1} $69.94 50.0% $69.94
4 Seal of Fire {R} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
2 Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.49 100.0% $0.49
4 Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20 100.0% $0.20
4 Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
2 Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 100.0% $2.16
4 Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11 100.0% $0.11
1 Earthquake {X}{R} $0.10 50.0% $0.10
3 Barbarian Ring $0.04 50.0% $0.04
4 Bloodstained Mire $12.92 100.0% $12.92
9 Mountain $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Wooded Foothills $14.99 100.0% $14.99

Sideboard · $20.32

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
1 Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09 50.0% $0.09
1 Ensnaring Bridge {3} $2.85 50.0% $2.85
4 Overload {R} $0.23 100.0% $0.23
2 Pyroblast {R} $4.50 100.0% $4.50
2 Red Elemental Blast {R} $1.00 100.0% $1.00
1 Flaring Pain {1}{R} $0.64 50.0% $0.64
1 Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 50.0% $2.16
1 Pyrokinesis {4}{R}{R} $0.88 50.0% $0.88
1 Earthquake {X}{R} $0.10 50.0% $0.10
1 Anarchy {2}{R}{R} $1.68 50.0% $1.68

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $352.64 High $417.71 −$37.78 (-9.5%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$340$360$380$400$420
Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$359.07 · ▼ 9.5% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

OpponentMatchesTournamentsW-LMatch WRGame WR
Premodern v3 Group 1F1D1B (Altar of Dementia, Fling) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Premodern v3 Group 320AE1 (Thermokarst, Winter's Grasp) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Premodern v3 Group 3BF291 (Goblin Goon, Skirk Prospector) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Premodern v3 Group 69DC8E (Price of Progress, Pyrostatic Pillar) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Premodern v3 Group 91D25D (Goblin Tinkerer, Goblin Sharpshooter) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Premodern v3 Group B81295 (Skittering Skirge, Bottomless Pit) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Premodern v3 Group C8E5D6 (Meddling Mage, Shadowmage Infiltrator) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Premodern v3 Group D3DCE0 (Sleight of Hand, Quirion Dryad) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Premodern v3 Group E74F8E (Haunting Echoes, Gerrard's Verdict) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

CardBoardDecksInclusionAvg / DeckAvg When PlayedRole
Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Barbarian Ring $0.04 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.49 2.50 Core
Bloodstained Mire $12.92 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Cursed Scroll {1} $69.94 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.49 2.50 Core
Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Jackal Pup {R} $0.08 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Mountain $0.01 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
10.02 10.00 Core
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Seal of Fire {R} $0.01 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.49 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.51 2.50 Core
Wooded Foothills $14.99 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Overload {R} $0.23 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Pyroblast {R} $4.50 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Red Elemental Blast {R} $1.00 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Earthquake {X}{R} $0.10 main 1
w 1.0
49.1%
raw 50.0%
0.49 1.00 Flex
Anarchy {2}{R}{R} $1.68 sideboard 1
w 1.0
50.9%
raw 50.0%
1.02 2.00 Flex
Earthquake {X}{R} $0.10 sideboard 1
w 1.0
49.1%
raw 50.0%
0.98 2.00 Flex
Ensnaring Bridge {3} $2.85 sideboard 1
w 1.0
50.9%
raw 50.0%
1.02 2.00 Flex
Flaring Pain {1}{R} $0.64 sideboard 1
w 1.0
49.1%
raw 50.0%
0.98 2.00 Flex
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 sideboard 1
w 1.0
49.1%
raw 50.0%
0.49 1.00 Flex
Pyrokinesis {4}{R}{R} $0.88 sideboard 1
w 1.0
50.9%
raw 50.0%
1.53 3.00 Flex
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09 sideboard 1
w 1.0
49.1%
raw 50.0%
0.98 2.00 Flex

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