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Premodern v3 Group 034FC2 (Lava Dart, Ball Lightning) ⤴ Share image

Premodern Last 7 days v3_fpg:034fc217e05655 auto group
3Decks in Window
3Tournaments
83.3%Record Win Rate
75.0% Actual Match WR · 8 matches 95% CI 40.9%–92.9%
63.2%Actual Game WR
2Best Rank
54.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 26 decks, 5 from cuts 95% CI 46.2%–63.0%
0.38× Cut conversion · 0 cut decks vs 8 expected
-3.7 Strength · how it works 20 full-field decks · 0 top-32 decks · 12 other
1% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 93%
$296.58Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Metagame Share Trend

Each point is this archetype's share of all Premodern decks over the previous 7 days latest 1.3% (237 decks in window) peak 1.3% on 2026-11-04 +0.7 pp since 2026-10-29

0.0%0.4%0.7%1.1%1.5%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 02Nov 04
7-day metagame share 0.0

Signature Cards

CardDecksShareAvg Copies
Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05 32 100.0% 3.688
Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11 32 100.0% 3.875
Jackal Pup {R} $0.05 32 100.0% 3.969
Lava Dart {R} $0.44 32 100.0% 1.5
Seal of Fire {R} $0.01 32 100.0% 3.5
Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.49 32 100.0% 2.469
Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05 32 100.0% 4.0
Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 32 100.0% 4.0
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10 32 100.0% 4.0
Cursed Scroll {1} $68.99 30 93.8% 2.156
Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08 30 93.8% 3.75
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 15 46.9% 0.562

Colors

ColorDecks
Red 3

Consensus 75

3 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $296.58 current botbox price

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $274.45

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
4 Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05 100.0% $0.05
4 Jackal Pup {R} $0.05 100.0% $0.05
4 Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08 100.0% $0.08
4 Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05 100.0% $0.05
1 Urza's Bauble {0} $2.50 33.3% $2.50
2 Cursed Scroll {1} $68.99 100.0% $68.99
4 Seal of Fire {R} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
3 Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.49 66.7% $0.49
1 Lava Dart {R} $0.44 100.0% $0.44
4 Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10 100.0% $0.10
4 Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 33.3% $2.16
4 Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11 100.0% $0.11
2 Barbarian Ring $0.04 100.0% $0.04
4 Bloodstained Mire $16.98 100.0% $16.98
10 Mountain $0.01 66.7% $0.01
4 Wooded Foothills $14.99 100.0% $14.99

Sideboard · $22.13

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
2 Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09 66.7% $0.09
1 Ensnaring Bridge {3} $3.48 33.3% $3.48
2 Overload {R} $0.14 100.0% $0.14
2 Pyroblast {R} $4.70 100.0% $4.70
2 Red Elemental Blast {R} $1.00 100.0% $1.00
1 Flaring Pain {1}{R} $0.66 66.7% $0.66
2 Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 66.7% $2.16
1 Earthquake {X}{R} $0.10 66.7% $0.10
1 Pyroclasm {1}{R} $0.03 33.3% $0.03
1 Anarchy {2}{R}{R} $1.68 66.7% $1.68

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $289.60 High $326.22 −$11.85 (-3.8%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$280$290$300$310$320$330
Jun 2026JulAugSepOct

$301.62 · ▼ 3.8% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

OpponentMatchesTournamentsW-LMatch WRGame WR
Premodern v3 Group 0F50E1 (Humility, Standstill) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Premodern v3 Group 1CF487 (Ill-Gotten Gains, Cabal Ritual) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Premodern v3 Group 3D7DDF (Nantuko Shade, Gerrard's Verdict) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Premodern v3 Group 5BAB2A (Goblin Vandal, Ball Lightning) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Premodern v3 Group 610310 (Knight of Stromgald, Plaguebearer) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Premodern v3 Group 6A2A4F (Nantuko Shade, Snuff Out) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Premodern v3 Group 6E9E53 (Upheaval, Mana Short) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Premodern v3 Group E91FCF (Phyrexian Arena, Withered Wretch) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

CardBoardDecksInclusionAvg / DeckAvg When PlayedRole
Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Barbarian Ring $0.04 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Bloodstained Mire $16.98 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Cursed Scroll {1} $68.99 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.34 2.33 Core
Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Jackal Pup {R} $0.05 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Lava Dart {R} $0.44 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.34 1.33 Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Mountain $0.01 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
9.68 9.67 Core
Seal of Fire {R} $0.01 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.49 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.68 2.67 Core
Wooded Foothills $14.99 main 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Overload {R} $0.14 sideboard 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.34 2.33 Core
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 sideboard 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.99 2.00 Core
Pyroblast {R} $4.70 sideboard 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.32 2.33 Core
Red Elemental Blast {R} $1.00 sideboard 3
w 2.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Anarchy {2}{R}{R} $1.68 sideboard 2
w 2.0
67.6%
raw 66.7%
1.01 1.50 Flex
Earthquake {X}{R} $0.10 sideboard 2
w 2.0
67.6%
raw 66.7%
1.01 1.50 Flex
Flaring Pain {1}{R} $0.66 sideboard 2
w 1.9
66.3%
raw 66.7%
0.99 1.50 Flex
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09 sideboard 2
w 2.0
67.6%
raw 66.7%
1.35 2.00 Flex
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 main 1
w 1.0
33.8%
raw 33.3%
0.34 1.00 Occasional
Urza's Bauble {0} $2.50 main 1
w 1.0
32.4%
raw 33.3%
1.30 4.00 Occasional
Volcanic Hammer {1}{R} $0.01 main 1
w 1.0
33.7%
raw 33.3%
0.34 1.00 Occasional
Ensnaring Bridge {3} $3.48 sideboard 1
w 1.0
33.7%
raw 33.3%
0.34 1.00 Occasional
Pyroclasm {1}{R} $0.03 sideboard 1
w 1.0
33.8%
raw 33.3%
0.34 1.00 Occasional
Pyrokinesis {4}{R}{R} $1.35 sideboard 1
w 1.0
32.4%
raw 33.3%
0.97 3.00 Occasional
Pyrostatic Pillar {1}{R} $0.96 sideboard 1
w 1.0
33.8%
raw 33.3%
0.34 1.00 Occasional

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