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Premodern v3 Group 58255D (Miscalculation, Nevinyrral's Disk) ⤴ Share image

Premodern Last 7 days v3_fpg:58255d09717cd3 auto group
2Decks in Window
2Tournaments
32.5%Record Win Rate
16.7% Actual Match WR · 6 matches 95% CI 3.0%–56.4%
28.6%Actual Game WR
12Best Rank
37.2% Adjusted WR (90d) · 13 decks, 4 from cuts 95% CI 25.0%–50.5%
0.47× Cut conversion · 3 cut decks vs 12 expected
-6.3 Strength · how it works 9 full-field decks · 3 top-32 decks · 3 other
19% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 50% stock · coherence 65%
$149.08Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Metagame Share Trend

Each point is this archetype's share of all Premodern decks over the previous 7 days latest 0.6% (318 decks in window) peak 0.7% on 2026-09-05 +0.6 pp since 2026-09-01

0.0%0.2%0.4%0.6%0.8%
Sep 01Sep 03Sep 05Sep 07
7-day metagame share 0.0

Signature Cards

CardDecksShareAvg Copies
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25 14 100.0% 3.571
Fact or Fiction {3}{U} $0.01 14 100.0% 2.0
Impulse {1}{U} $0.01 14 100.0% 2.571
Miscalculation {1}{U} $0.20 14 100.0% 1.357
Prohibit {1}{U} $0.01 14 100.0% 1.286
Chain of Vapor {U} $5.99 11 77.8% 2.5
Nevinyrral's Disk {4} $0.19 11 77.8% 2.143
Accumulated Knowledge {1}{U} $0.18 9 66.7% 3.143
Flash of Insight {X}{1}{U} $0.20 9 66.7% 0.429
Force Spike {U} $0.71 9 66.7% 0.857
Mana Leak {1}{U} $0.04 9 66.7% 1.857
Morphling {3}{U}{U} $29.74 9 66.7% 0.571

Colors

ColorDecks
Blue 1
Izzet 1

Consensus 75

2 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $149.08 current botbox price

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $103.64

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
1 Rainbow Efreet {3}{U} $0.45 100.0% $0.45
1 Morphling {3}{U}{U} $29.74 50.0% $29.74
1 Powder Keg {2} $30.18 50.0% $30.18
3 Nevinyrral's Disk {4} $0.19 100.0% $0.19
1 Control Magic {2}{U}{U} $0.25 50.0% $0.25
2 Chain of Vapor {U} $5.99 50.0% $5.99
2 Force Spike {U} $0.71 50.0% $0.71
1 Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20 50.0% $0.20
4 Accumulated Knowledge {1}{U} $0.18 100.0% $0.18
4 Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25 100.0% $0.25
1 Flash of Insight {X}{1}{U} $0.20 50.0% $0.20
2 Impulse {1}{U} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
2 Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 50.0% $0.01
1 Mana Leak {1}{U} $0.04 50.0% $0.04
1 Miscalculation {1}{U} $0.20 50.0% $0.20
1 Prohibit {1}{U} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Capsize {1}{U}{U} $0.38 50.0% $0.38
1 Forbid {1}{U}{U} $0.25 50.0% $0.25
1 Repulse {2}{U} $0.01 50.0% $0.01
1 Urza's Rage {2}{R} $0.01 50.0% $0.01
2 Fact or Fiction {3}{U} $0.01 50.0% $0.01
2 Fire // Ice {1}{R} $0.01 50.0% $0.01
1 Prophetic Bolt {3}{U}{R} $0.01 50.0% $0.01
2 Earthquake {X}{R} $0.01 50.0% $0.01
2 Dust Bowl $0.20 50.0% $0.20
4 Faerie Conclave $0.18 100.0% $0.18
1 Ghitu Encampment $0.01 50.0% $0.01
5 Island $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Mishra's Factory $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Mountain $0.01 50.0% $0.01
1 Quicksand $0.01 50.0% $0.01
1 Shivan Reef $0.13 50.0% $0.13
1 Soldevi Excavations $5.82 50.0% $5.82
1 Thawing Glaciers $18.73 50.0% $18.73

Sideboard · $45.44

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
1 Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.20 50.0% $0.20
1 Powder Keg {2} $30.18 50.0% $30.18
1 Essence Flare {U} $0.02 50.0% $0.02
1 Arcane Laboratory {2}{U} $0.25 50.0% $0.25
2 Annul {U} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Blue Elemental Blast {U} $0.48 50.0% $0.48
1 Envelop {U} $2.17 50.0% $2.17
2 Hydroblast {U} $3.24 100.0% $3.24
1 Overload {R} $0.22 50.0% $0.22
1 Pyroblast {R} $5.18 50.0% $5.18
1 Shattering Pulse {1}{R} $0.15 50.0% $0.15
1 Kaervek's Torch {X}{R} $0.08 50.0% $0.08
1 Pyroclasm {1}{R} $0.01 50.0% $0.01

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $136.26 High $181.41 +$10.96 (8.0%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$120$140$160$180$200
Apr 2026MayJunJulAugSep

$147.22 · ▲ 8.0% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

OpponentMatchesTournamentsW-LMatch WRGame WR
Premodern v3 Group 01C85C (Ball Lightning, Sulfuric Vortex) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Premodern v3 Group 1FCB1E (Attunement, Decree of Silence) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Premodern v3 Group B3E453 (Humility, Standstill) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Premodern v3 Group DFCEAD (Price of Progress, Pyrostatic Pillar) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Premodern v3 Group E3A411 (Goblin Vandal, Earthquake) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Premodern v3 Group F8FEAC (Humility, Enlightened Tutor) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

CardBoardDecksInclusionAvg / DeckAvg When PlayedRole
Accumulated Knowledge {1}{U} $0.18 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Faerie Conclave $0.18 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Impulse {1}{U} $0.01 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.15 3.00 Core
Island $0.01 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
9.02 8.50 Core
Mishra's Factory $0.01 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Nevinyrral's Disk {4} $0.19 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.57 3.50 Core
Prohibit {1}{U} $0.01 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.43 1.50 Core
Rainbow Efreet {3}{U} $0.45 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.43 1.50 Core
Annul {U} $0.01 sideboard 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.57 2.50 Core
Hydroblast {U} $3.24 sideboard 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.57 2.50 Core
Capsize {1}{U}{U} $0.38 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Chain of Vapor {U} $5.99 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
2.30 4.00 Flex
Control Magic {2}{U}{U} $0.25 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Dust Bowl $0.20 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
1.15 2.00 Flex
Earthquake {X}{R} $0.01 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.85 2.00 Flex
Fact or Fiction {3}{U} $0.01 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
1.15 2.00 Flex
Fire // Ice {1}{R} $0.01 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
1.70 4.00 Flex
Flash of Insight {X}{1}{U} $0.20 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Forbid {1}{U}{U} $0.25 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Force Spike {U} $0.71 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
1.15 2.00 Flex
Ghitu Encampment $0.01 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.43 1.00 Flex
Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.85 2.00 Flex
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
1.70 4.00 Flex
Mana Leak {1}{U} $0.04 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
1.15 2.00 Flex
Miscalculation {1}{U} $0.20 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Morphling {3}{U}{U} $29.74 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Mountain $0.01 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
2.13 5.00 Flex
Powder Keg {2} $30.18 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Prophetic Bolt {3}{U}{R} $0.01 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
1.28 3.00 Flex
Quicksand $0.01 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
1.15 2.00 Flex
Repulse {2}{U} $0.01 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.85 2.00 Flex
Shivan Reef $0.13 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
1.70 4.00 Flex
Soldevi Excavations $5.82 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.43 1.00 Flex
Thawing Glaciers $18.73 main 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Urza's Rage {2}{R} $0.01 main 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.85 2.00 Flex
Arcane Laboratory {2}{U} $0.25 sideboard 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
1.15 2.00 Flex
Blue Elemental Blast {U} $0.48 sideboard 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
1.72 3.00 Flex
Envelop {U} $2.17 sideboard 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Essence Flare {U} $0.02 sideboard 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.00 Flex
Kaervek's Torch {X}{R} $0.08 sideboard 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.85 2.00 Flex
Overload {R} $0.22 sideboard 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.43 1.00 Flex
Powder Keg {2} $30.18 sideboard 1
w 0.9
57.4%
raw 50.0%
1.15 2.00 Flex
Pyroblast {R} $5.18 sideboard 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.85 2.00 Flex
Pyroclasm {1}{R} $0.01 sideboard 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
1.28 3.00 Flex
Shattering Pulse {1}{R} $0.15 sideboard 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.43 1.00 Flex
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.20 sideboard 1
w 0.7
42.6%
raw 50.0%
0.85 2.00 Flex

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