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Premodern v3 Group 4DC50D (Lava Dart, Ball Lightning) ⤴ Share image

Premodern Last 7 days v3_fpg:4dc50d50c44355 auto group
2Decks in Window
2Tournaments
75.0%Record Win Rate
75.0% Actual Match WR · 8 matches 95% CI 40.9%–92.9%
63.2%Actual Game WR
2Best Rank
54.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 26 decks, 7 from cuts 95% CI 46.2%–63.0%
0.39× Cut conversion · 0 cut decks vs 8 expected
-3.5 Strength · how it works 18 full-field decks · 0 top-32 decks · 13 other
1% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 91%
$285.87Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Metagame Share Trend

Each point is this archetype's share of all Premodern decks over the previous 7 days latest 0.8% (258 decks in window) peak 1.2% on 2026-10-30 -0.0 pp since 2026-10-27

0.0%0.3%0.7%1.0%1.3%
Oct 27Oct 29Oct 31Nov 02
7-day metagame share 0.0

Signature Cards

CardDecksShareAvg Copies
Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05 33 100.0% 3.848
Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11 33 100.0% 3.879
Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 33 100.0% 4.0
Jackal Pup {R} $0.05 33 100.0% 3.97
Lava Dart {R} $0.44 33 100.0% 1.333
Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.40 33 100.0% 2.515
Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05 33 100.0% 3.879
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10 33 100.0% 4.0
Cursed Scroll {1} $65.00 31 93.5% 2.182
Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08 31 93.5% 3.758
Seal of Fire {R} $0.01 31 93.5% 3.091
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 14 41.9% 0.485

Colors

ColorDecks
Red 2

Consensus 75

2 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $285.87 current botbox price

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $261.41

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
4 Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05 100.0% $0.05
4 Jackal Pup {R} $0.05 100.0% $0.05
4 Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08 100.0% $0.08
4 Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05 100.0% $0.05
2 Cursed Scroll {1} $65.00 100.0% $65.00
4 Seal of Fire {R} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
3 Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.40 100.0% $0.40
1 Lava Dart {R} $0.44 100.0% $0.44
4 Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10 100.0% $0.10
4 Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 50.0% $2.16
4 Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11 100.0% $0.11
1 Volcanic Hammer {1}{R} $0.01 50.0% $0.01
2 Barbarian Ring $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Bloodstained Mire $17.00 100.0% $17.00
10 Mountain $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Wooded Foothills $14.41 100.0% $14.41

Sideboard · $24.46

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
2 Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09 100.0% $0.09
1 Ensnaring Bridge {3} $3.57 50.0% $3.57
1 Pyrostatic Pillar {1}{R} $0.80 50.0% $0.80
2 Overload {R} $0.14 100.0% $0.14
2 Pyroblast {R} $6.50 100.0% $6.50
2 Red Elemental Blast {R} $1.00 100.0% $1.00
1 Flaring Pain {1}{R} $0.66 50.0% $0.66
1 Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 100.0% $2.16
1 Earthquake {X}{R} $0.10 100.0% $0.10
1 Pyroclasm {1}{R} $0.03 50.0% $0.03
1 Anarchy {2}{R}{R} $1.68 100.0% $1.68

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $281.83 High $331.94 −$23.41 (-7.4%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$280$300$320$340
Jun 2026JulAugSepOct

$294.18 · ▼ 7.4% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

OpponentMatchesTournamentsW-LMatch WRGame WR
Premodern v3 Group 0F50E1 (Humility, Standstill) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Premodern v3 Group 13308F (Goblin Vandal, Ball Lightning) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Premodern v3 Group 1CF487 (Ill-Gotten Gains, Cabal Ritual) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Premodern v3 Group 32D1F3 (Phyrexian Arena, Nantuko Shade) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Premodern v3 Group 3D7DDF (Nantuko Shade, Gerrard's Verdict) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Premodern v3 Group 610310 (Knight of Stromgald, Plaguebearer) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Premodern v3 Group 6E9E53 (Upheaval, Mana Short) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Premodern v3 Group 8552DB (Nantuko Shade, Snuff Out) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

CardBoardDecksInclusionAvg / DeckAvg When PlayedRole
Ball Lightning {R}{R}{R} $0.05 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Barbarian Ring $0.01 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Bloodstained Mire $17.00 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Cursed Scroll {1} $65.00 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.50 2.50 Core
Fireblast {4}{R}{R} $0.11 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Grim Lavamancer {R} $0.05 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Incinerate {1}{R} $0.01 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Jackal Pup {R} $0.05 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Lava Dart {R} $0.44 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.50 1.50 Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Mogg Fanatic {R} $0.08 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Mountain $0.01 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
10.00 10.00 Core
Seal of Fire {R} $0.01 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Sulfuric Vortex {1}{R}{R} $0.40 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.00 3.00 Core
Wooded Foothills $14.41 main 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Anarchy {2}{R}{R} $1.68 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.50 1.50 Core
Earthquake {X}{R} $0.10 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.50 1.50 Core
Overload {R} $0.14 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.50 2.50 Core
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.50 1.50 Core
Pyroblast {R} $6.50 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Red Elemental Blast {R} $1.00 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09 sideboard 2
w 2.0
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Price of Progress {1}{R} $2.16 main 1
w 1.0
50.1%
raw 50.0%
0.50 1.00 Flex
Volcanic Hammer {1}{R} $0.01 main 1
w 1.0
49.9%
raw 50.0%
0.50 1.00 Flex
Ensnaring Bridge {3} $3.57 sideboard 1
w 1.0
49.9%
raw 50.0%
0.50 1.00 Flex
Flaring Pain {1}{R} $0.66 sideboard 1
w 1.0
50.1%
raw 50.0%
0.50 1.00 Flex
Pyroclasm {1}{R} $0.03 sideboard 1
w 1.0
50.1%
raw 50.0%
0.50 1.00 Flex
Pyrostatic Pillar {1}{R} $0.80 sideboard 1
w 1.0
50.1%
raw 50.0%
0.50 1.00 Flex

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