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Modern v3 Group AA433B (Portent of Calamity, Dress Down) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:aa433b125e44bc auto group
2Decks in Window
2Tournaments
41.7%Record Win Rate
44.4% Actual Match WR · 9 matches 95% CI 18.9%–73.3%
50.0%Actual Game WR
6Best Rank
41.0% Adjusted WR (90d) · 17 decks, 3 from cuts 95% CI 30.0%–52.8%
0.75× Cut conversion · 3 cut decks vs 6 expected
-3.4 Strength · how it works 13 full-field decks · 3 top-32 decks · 5 other
19% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 50% stock · coherence 85%
$396.82Consensus 75 Price · 74/75 copies priced

Metagame Share Trend

Each point is this archetype's share of all Modern decks over the previous 7 days latest 0.0% (5305 decks in window) peak 0.3% on 2026-10-08 -0.3 pp since 2026-10-07

0.00%0.09%0.18%0.27%0.36%
Oct 07Oct 09Oct 11Oct 13
7-day metagame share 0.0

Signature Cards

CardDecksShareAvg Copies
Emrakul, the Promised End {13} $20.00 21 100.0% 1.286
Expedition Map {1} $0.87 21 100.0% 4.0
Giant's Boulder {1} $0.01 21 100.0% 2.952
Kozilek's Command {X}{C}{C} $6.00 21 100.0% 4.0
Ugin, Eye of the Storms {7} $35.54 21 100.0% 3.857
Portent of Calamity {X}{U} $0.08 20 95.0% 3.333
Stock Up {2}{U} $0.59 20 95.0% 3.095
Dress Down {1}{U} $0.10 19 90.0% 2.524
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 19 90.0% 2.238
Emrakul, the Aeons Torn {15} $16.99 18 85.0% 1.619
Spell Snare {U} $0.01 15 70.0% 1.762
Talisman of Dominance {2} $0.50 10 50.0% 1.381

Colors

ColorDecks
Blue 2

Consensus 75

2 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $396.82 current botbox price

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $350.59

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
1 Subtlety {2}{U}{U} $7.99 50.0% $7.99
2 Nulldrifter {7} $0.15 50.0% $0.15
1 Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger {10} $16.01 50.0% $16.01
1 Emrakul, the Promised End {13} $20.00 100.0% $20.00
2 Emrakul, the Aeons Torn {15} $16.99 50.0% $16.99
2 Ugin, Eye of the Storms {7} $35.54 100.0% $35.54
1 Ugin, the Spirit Dragon {8} $7.99 100.0% $7.99
4 Expedition Map {1} $0.87 100.0% $0.87
3 Giant's Boulder {1} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
2 Dress Down {1}{U} $0.10 50.0% $0.10
2 Condescend {X}{U} $0.25 50.0% $0.25
1 Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 50.0% $2.15
1 Repeal {X}{U} $0.01 50.0% $0.01
1 Spell Snare {U} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Cyclonic Rift {1}{U} $26.00 50.0% $26.00
4 Kozilek's Command {X}{C}{C} $6.00 100.0% $6.00
1 Warping Wail {1}{C} $0.25 50.0% $0.25
1 Dismember {1}{B/P}{B/P} $1.49 50.0% $1.49
2 Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 50.0% $40.90
3 Portent of Calamity {X}{U} $0.08 100.0% $0.08
1 Stock Up {2}{U} $0.59 50.0% $0.59
1 Abstergo Entertainment $1.95 50.0% $1.95
1 Agna Qel'a $0.30 50.0% $0.30
2 Eldrazi Temple $2.00 50.0% $2.00
1 Hall of Storm Giants $0.25 50.0% $0.25
3 Island $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Otawara, Soaring City $25.00 50.0% $25.00
1 Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs $6.56 100.0% $6.56
1 Ugin's Labyrinth $11.00 50.0% $11.00
4 Urza's Mine $0.20 100.0% $0.20
4 Urza's Power Plant $0.37 100.0% $0.37
4 Urza's Tower $0.28 100.0% $0.28

Sideboard · $46.23

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
1 Theorist's Proxy {1}{U} 50.0%
1 Engineered Explosives {X} $2.80 50.0% $2.80
1 Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.42 100.0% $1.42
1 Vexing Bauble {1} $1.30 50.0% $1.30
1 Trinisphere {3} $29.20 50.0% $29.20
3 Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 100.0% $2.15
1 Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.92 100.0% $0.92
1 Hurkyl's Recall {1}{U} $0.70 50.0% $0.70
1 Test of Talents {1}{U} $0.08 50.0% $0.08
2 Dismember {1}{B/P}{B/P} $1.49 50.0% $1.49
2 Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19 50.0% $0.19

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $361.66 High $420.27 +$25.08 (6.8%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$360$380$400$420$440
May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$392.59 · ▲ 6.8% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

OpponentMatchesTournamentsW-LMatch WRGame WR
Goryo's Vengeance 2 2 1-1 50.0%
9.5%–90.5% CI
60.0%
Broodscale Combo 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Fight Rigging 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Izzet Prowess 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Jeskai Control 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Modern v3 Group 28C062 (Teferi, Hero of Dominaria, Consult the Star Charts) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Modern v3 Group 927F8F (Spoils of the Vault, Thud) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Neoform 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

CardBoardDecksInclusionAvg / DeckAvg When PlayedRole
Condescend {X}{U} $0.25 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.32 2.50 Core
Dress Down {1}{U} $0.10 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.44 1.50 Core
Emrakul, the Aeons Torn {15} $16.99 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.68 2.50 Core
Emrakul, the Promised End {13} $20.00 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Expedition Map {1} $0.87 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Giant's Boulder {1} $0.01 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.56 3.50 Core
Island $0.01 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.00 3.00 Core
Kozilek's Command {X}{C}{C} $6.00 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Portent of Calamity {X}{U} $0.08 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.56 3.50 Core
Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs $6.56 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.01 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.44 1.50 Core
Ugin, Eye of the Storms {7} $35.54 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.12 3.00 Core
Ugin, the Spirit Dragon {8} $7.99 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.44 1.50 Core
Urza's Mine $0.20 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Urza's Power Plant $0.37 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Urza's Tower $0.28 main 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 sideboard 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.00 3.00 Core
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.42 sideboard 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19 sideboard 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.88 2.00 Core
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.92 sideboard 2
w 1.6
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.44 1.50 Core
Abstergo Entertainment $1.95 main 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
0.44 1.00 Flex
Agna Qel'a $0.30 main 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
0.44 1.00 Flex
Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 main 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
0.56 1.00 Flex
Cyclonic Rift {1}{U} $26.00 main 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
0.56 1.00 Flex
Dismember {1}{B/P}{B/P} $1.49 main 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
0.56 1.00 Flex
Eldrazi Temple $2.00 main 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
1.32 3.00 Flex
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 main 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
1.12 2.00 Flex
Hall of Storm Giants $0.25 main 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
0.44 1.00 Flex
Nulldrifter {7} $0.15 main 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
1.76 4.00 Flex
Otawara, Soaring City $25.00 main 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
0.56 1.00 Flex
Repeal {X}{U} $0.01 main 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
1.32 3.00 Flex
Stock Up {2}{U} $0.59 main 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
2.24 4.00 Flex
Subtlety {2}{U}{U} $7.99 main 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
1.12 2.00 Flex
Ugin's Labyrinth $11.00 main 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
2.24 4.00 Flex
Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger {10} $16.01 main 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
0.44 1.00 Flex
Warping Wail {1}{C} $0.25 main 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
0.88 2.00 Flex
Dismember {1}{B/P}{B/P} $1.49 sideboard 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
1.12 2.00 Flex
Engineered Explosives {X} $2.80 sideboard 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
0.56 1.00 Flex
Hurkyl's Recall {1}{U} $0.70 sideboard 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
0.44 1.00 Flex
Test of Talents {1}{U} $0.08 sideboard 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
0.88 2.00 Flex
Theorist's Proxy {1}{U} sideboard 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
1.68 3.00 Flex
Trinisphere {3} $29.20 sideboard 1
w 0.9
56.1%
raw 50.0%
1.68 3.00 Flex
Vexing Bauble {1} $1.30 sideboard 1
w 0.7
43.9%
raw 50.0%
1.32 3.00 Flex

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