Vintage v3 Group AE2FF2 (Nihil Spellbomb, Prismatic Ending) ⤴ Share image

Vintage Last 7 days v3_fpg:ae2ff2147f4d5c auto group

6Decks in Window

2Tournaments

54.6%Record Win Rate

51.5% Actual Match WR · 33 matches 95% CI 35.2%–67.5%

50.6%Actual Game WR

13Best Rank

57.2% Adjusted WR (90d) · 13 decks, 7 from cuts 95% CI 45.0%–68.8%

1.32× Cut conversion · 6 cut decks vs 3 expected

+2.7 Strength · how it works 5 full-field decks · 6 top-32 decks · 9 other

5% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 90%

$48,571.98Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Bilbo, Thief in the Night {1}{U} $4.43	20	100.0%	2.45
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.88	20	100.0%	1.05
Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $31.49	20	100.0%	2.25
Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01	20	100.0%	1.45
Psychic Frog {U}{B} $2.00	20	100.0%	3.9
Swords to Plowshares {W} $0.49	20	100.0%	2.95
Ancestral Recall {U} $5,000.00	20	100.0%	1.0
Black Lotus {0} $20,000.00	20	100.0%	1.0
Demonic Tutor {1}{B} $53.48	20	100.0%	1.0
Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	20	100.0%	2.8
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.00	20	100.0%	2.85
Force of Will {3}{U}{U} $53.72	20	100.0%	4.0
Gitaxian Probe {U/P} $1.95	20	100.0%	1.0
Lórien Revealed {3}{U}{U} $2.00	20	100.0%	2.8
Mental Misstep {U/P} $4.27	20	100.0%	1.0
Mox Jet {0} $3,880.00	20	100.0%	1.0
Mox Pearl {0} $2,750.99	20	100.0%	1.0

Colors

Color	Decks
Esper	6

Consensus 75

6 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $48,571.98 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $45,143.61

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
2	Bilbo, Thief in the Night {1}{U} $4.43	100.0%	$4.43
2	Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $31.49	83.3%	$31.49
4	Psychic Frog {U}{B} $2.00	100.0%	$2.00
1	Black Lotus {0} $20,000.00	100.0%	$20,000.00
1	Mox Jet {0} $3,880.00	100.0%	$3,880.00
1	Mox Pearl {0} $2,750.99	100.0%	$2,750.99
1	Mox Sapphire {0} $5,000.00	100.0%	$5,000.00
1	Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.88	83.3%	$1.88
1	Vexing Bauble {1} $1.25	50.0%	$1.25
1	Urza's Saga $30.22	100.0%	$30.22
1	Ancestral Recall {U} $5,000.00	100.0%	$5,000.00
1	Brainstorm {U} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Flusterstorm {U} $2.50	50.0%	$2.50
1	Mental Misstep {U/P} $4.27	100.0%	$4.27
2	Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	66.7%	$0.05
3	Swords to Plowshares {W} $0.49	100.0%	$0.49
3	Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.00	83.3%	$39.00
4	Force of Will {3}{U}{U} $53.72	100.0%	$53.72
1	Gitaxian Probe {U/P} $1.95	100.0%	$1.95
1	Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Thoughtseize {B} $4.98	83.3%	$4.98
1	Demonic Tutor {1}{B} $53.48	100.0%	$53.48
3	Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	100.0%	$0.75
1	Time Walk {1}{U} $4,500.00	100.0%	$4,500.00
3	Lórien Revealed {3}{U}{U} $2.00	66.7%	$2.00
1	Treasure Cruise {7}{U} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Flooded Strand $13.00	100.0%	$13.00
1	Island $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Karakas $11.76	100.0%	$11.76
1	Meticulous Archive $11.43	66.7%	$11.43
1	Misty Rainforest $32.56	50.0%	$32.56
1	Polluted Delta $18.00	100.0%	$18.00
1	Scalding Tarn $31.75	66.7%	$31.75
1	Strip Mine $11.65	100.0%	$11.65
3	Tundra $518.72	66.7%	$518.72
2	Underground Sea $878.72	100.0%	$878.72
4	Wasteland $11.69	100.0%	$11.69

Sideboard · $3,428.37

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Containment Priest {1}{W} $0.20	83.3%	$0.20
1	Lurrus of the Dream-Den {1}{W/B}{W/B} $0.99	66.7%	$0.99
1	Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.09	33.3%	$1.09
1	Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.88	50.0%	$1.88
1	Pithing Needle {1} $0.20	66.7%	$0.20
1	Null Rod {2} $87.90	50.0%	$87.90
2	Stony Silence {1}{W} $0.31	66.7%	$0.31
2	Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	66.7%	$2.30
1	Swords to Plowshares {W} $0.49	83.3%	$0.49
1	Long Goodbye {1}{B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale $3,329.99	83.3%	$3,329.99

Deck
2 Bilbo, Thief in the Night
2 Orcish Bowmasters
4 Psychic Frog
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Pearl
1 Mox Sapphire
1 Nihil Spellbomb
1 Vexing Bauble
1 Urza's Saga
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Flusterstorm
1 Mental Misstep
2 Spell Pierce
3 Swords to Plowshares
3 Force of Negation
4 Force of Will
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Prismatic Ending
1 Thoughtseize
1 Demonic Tutor
3 Flow State
1 Time Walk
3 Lórien Revealed
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Flooded Strand
1 Island
1 Karakas
1 Meticulous Archive
1 Misty Rainforest
1 Polluted Delta
1 Scalding Tarn
1 Strip Mine
3 Tundra
2 Underground Sea
4 Wasteland

Sideboard
3 Containment Priest
1 Lurrus of the Dream-Den
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Nihil Spellbomb
1 Pithing Needle
1 Null Rod
2 Stony Silence
2 Consign to Memory
1 Swords to Plowshares
1 Long Goodbye
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $41805.77 High $49888.81 +$6768.39 (16.2%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$40,000$42,000$44,000$46,000$48,000$50,000

Jun 2026JulAugSepOct

$48,583.24 · ▲ 16.2% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Vintage v3 Group 2C306F (Lurrus of the Dream-Den, Nihil Spellbomb)	5	1	2-3	40.0% 11.8%–76.9% CI	46.2%
Vintage v3 Group 076DF5 (Lurrus of the Dream-Den, Forth Eorlingas!)	3	1	3-0	100.0% 43.9%–100.0% CI	75.0%
Vintage v3 Group 1E7374 (Silversmote Ghoul, Prized Amalgam)	3	1	2-1	66.7% 20.8%–93.9% CI	57.1%
Vintage v3 Group B5840D (Anointed Peacekeeper, Chancellor of the Annex)	3	1	2-1	66.7% 20.8%–93.9% CI	62.5%
Vintage v3 Group 1C72F8 (Flash, Gaea's Blessing)	2	1	0-2	0.0% 0.0%–65.8% CI	20.0%
Vintage v3 Group 27C0E2 (Nihil Spellbomb, Null Rod)	2	1	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Vintage v3 Group 3AA4D5 (Suplex, Pyroblast)	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Vintage v3 Group 652126 (Commandeer, Force of Vigor)	2	1	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	80.0%
Vintage v3 Group 28B007 (Timetwister, Treasure Cruise)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Vintage v3 Group 6030B4 (Mai, Scornful Striker, Reanimate)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Vintage v3 Group 632243 (Stony Silence, Nihil Spellbomb)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Vintage v3 Group 6A63A4 (Scrawling Crawler, Glaring Fleshraker)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Vintage v3 Group B4A4E8 (Force of Vigor, Subtlety)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Vintage v3 Group BA78C5 (Feed the Swarm, Nihil Spellbomb)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Vintage v3 Group C05383 (Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers, Flash)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Vintage v3 Group C27566 (Reanimate, Troll of Khazad-dûm)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Vintage v3 Group D8A8DB (Pyroblast, Dress Down)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Vintage v3 Group FB63B6 (Assassin's Trophy, Leovold, Emissary of Trest)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Vintage v3 Group FF2C48 (Lurrus of the Dream-Den, Null Rod)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Ancestral Recall {U} $5,000.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Bilbo, Thief in the Night {1}{U} $4.43	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.50	2.50	Core
Black Lotus {0} $20,000.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Demonic Tutor {1}{B} $53.48	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Flooded Strand $13.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.33	1.33	Core
Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.51	3.50	Core
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.84	2.83	Core
Force of Will {3}{U}{U} $53.72	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Gitaxian Probe {U/P} $1.95	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Karakas $11.76	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Lórien Revealed {3}{U}{U} $2.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.67	2.67	Core
Mental Misstep {U/P} $4.27	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mox Jet {0} $3,880.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mox Pearl {0} $2,750.99	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mox Sapphire {0} $5,000.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $31.49	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.83	1.83	Core
Polluted Delta $18.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.49	1.50	Core
Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Psychic Frog {U}{B} $2.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Strip Mine $11.65	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Swords to Plowshares {W} $0.49	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.16	3.17	Core
Time Walk {1}{U} $4,500.00	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Tundra $518.72	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.66	2.67	Core
Underground Sea $878.72	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.50	2.50	Core
Urza's Saga $30.22	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Wasteland $11.69	main	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Containment Priest {1}{W} $0.20	sideboard	6 w 5.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.18	3.17	Core
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.88	main	5 w 4.8	84.0% raw 83.3%	0.84	1.00	Core
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	main	5 w 4.8	84.0% raw 83.3%	1.51	1.80	Core
Thoughtseize {B} $4.98	main	5 w 4.8	83.3% raw 83.3%	1.00	1.20	Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	sideboard	5 w 4.8	83.4% raw 83.3%	1.50	1.80	Core
Stony Silence {1}{W} $0.31	sideboard	5 w 4.8	83.3% raw 83.3%	1.50	1.80	Core
Swords to Plowshares {W} $0.49	sideboard	5 w 4.8	84.0% raw 83.3%	0.84	1.00	Core
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale $3,329.99	sideboard	5 w 4.8	83.3% raw 83.3%	0.83	1.00	Core
Brainstorm {U} $0.01	main	4 w 3.8	65.9% raw 66.7%	0.66	1.00	Flex
Meticulous Archive $11.43	main	4 w 3.8	66.2% raw 66.7%	0.66	1.00	Flex
Scalding Tarn $31.75	main	4 w 3.8	67.3% raw 66.7%	0.67	1.00	Flex
Treasure Cruise {7}{U} $0.01	main	4 w 3.8	67.4% raw 66.7%	0.67	1.00	Flex
Long Goodbye {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.8	66.7% raw 66.7%	1.00	1.50	Flex
Lurrus of the Dream-Den {1}{W/B}{W/B} $0.99	sideboard	4 w 3.8	66.8% raw 66.7%	0.67	1.00	Flex
Pithing Needle {1} $0.20	sideboard	4 w 3.8	66.4% raw 66.7%	0.66	1.00	Flex
Flusterstorm {U} $2.50	main	3 w 2.9	50.7% raw 50.0%	0.51	1.00	Flex
Misty Rainforest $32.56	main	3 w 2.9	50.7% raw 50.0%	0.51	1.00	Flex
Vexing Bauble {1} $1.25	main	3 w 2.8	49.2% raw 50.0%	0.49	1.00	Flex
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.88	sideboard	3 w 2.9	50.8% raw 50.0%	0.51	1.00	Flex
Null Rod {2} $87.90	sideboard	3 w 2.8	49.9% raw 50.0%	0.83	1.67	Flex
Dress Down {1}{U} $0.10	main	2 w 1.9	34.1% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Lurrus of the Dream-Den {1}{W/B}{W/B} $0.99	main	2 w 1.9	33.2% raw 33.3%	0.33	1.00	Occasional
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	2 w 1.9	33.8% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.09	sideboard	2 w 1.9	32.6% raw 33.3%	0.49	1.50	Occasional
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.18	sideboard	2 w 1.9	33.6% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.9	33.6% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Seal of Cleansing {1}{W} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.9	33.1% raw 33.3%	0.33	1.00	Occasional
Lavinia, Azorius Renegade {W}{U} $0.10	main	1 w 0.9	16.0% raw 16.7%	0.32	2.00	Occasional
Long Goodbye {1}{B} $0.01	main	1 w 1.0	16.7% raw 16.7%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75	main	1 w 0.9	16.0% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.18	main	1 w 1.0	16.7% raw 16.7%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Soul-Guide Lantern {1} $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	16.0% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
Stony Silence {1}{W} $0.31	main	1 w 0.9	16.6% raw 16.7%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Timetwister {2}{U} $5,999.99	main	1 w 0.9	16.0% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
Dismember {1}{B/P}{B/P} $1.19	sideboard	1 w 0.9	16.6% raw 16.7%	0.33	2.00	Occasional
Fatal Push {B} $0.15	sideboard	1 w 0.9	16.6% raw 16.7%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Feed the Swarm {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	16.6% raw 16.7%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Flusterstorm {U} $2.50	sideboard	1 w 1.0	16.7% raw 16.7%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Momentum Breaker {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	16.0% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $31.49	sideboard	1 w 0.9	16.6% raw 16.7%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Overencumbered {1}{W} $0.07	sideboard	1 w 1.0	16.7% raw 16.7%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Steel Sabotage {U} $0.10	sideboard	1 w 1.0	16.7% raw 16.7%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Virtue's Ruin {2}{B} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	16.0% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 6 of 6

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
Montolio	Vintage Challenge 32	2026-10-31	13	4-2-0	Esper	3%
bestpinoza	North American Eternal Weekend - Vintage Championship	2026-10-30	59	7-3-0	Esper	5%
Tubergen, Pieter	North American Eternal Weekend - Vintage Championship	2026-10-30	162	5-5-0	Esper	5%
caio402	North American Eternal Weekend - Vintage Championship	2026-10-30	179	4-3-3	Esper	2%
Alberty, Giovanni	North American Eternal Weekend - Vintage Championship	2026-10-30	250	3-4-0	Esper	9%
Mitchell, Greg	North American Eternal Weekend - Vintage Championship	2026-10-30	256	3-4-0	Esper	5%