Modern v3 Group 9C9047 (Unholy Heat, Counterspell) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:9c9047e4d8cfd6 auto group

3Decks in Window

3Tournaments

50.0%Record Win Rate

33.3% Actual Match WR · 9 matches 95% CI 12.1%–64.6%

36.8%Actual Game WR

44Best Rank

33.2% Adjusted WR (90d) · 13 decks, 2 from cuts 95% CI 21.0%–47.2%

0.83× Cut conversion · 3 cut decks vs 5 expected

-3.7 Strength · how it works 9 full-field decks · 3 top-32 decks · 5 other

6% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 67% stock · coherence 74%

$453.89Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66	17	100.0%	3.824
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	17	100.0%	3.0
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98	17	100.0%	3.824
Preordain {U} $0.01	17	100.0%	3.176
Spell Snare {U} $0.01	17	100.0%	2.353
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	17	100.0%	3.235
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	16	94.1%	2.765
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	16	94.1%	2.706
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.25	12	70.6%	2.647
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90	12	70.6%	1.235
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	11	64.7%	1.765
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.40	10	58.8%	2.059

Colors

Color	Decks
Izzet	3

Consensus 75

3 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $453.89 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $438.94

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66	100.0%	$0.66
4	Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.40	100.0%	$36.40
3	Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	100.0%	$4.33
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98	100.0%	$0.98
4	Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.25	66.7%	$3.25
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	33.3%	$5.00
1	Consider {U} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
1	Consign to Memory {U} $2.15	33.3%	$2.15
4	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	66.7%	$0.25
3	Spell Snare {U} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	100.0%	$0.25
2	Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90	66.7%	$40.90
4	Preordain {U} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
4	Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Fiery Islet $1.00	66.7%	$1.00
3	Island $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
2	Misty Rainforest $32.56	66.7%	$32.56
2	Scalding Tarn $29.00	66.7%	$29.00
3	Spirebluff Canal $3.00	66.7%	$3.00
3	Steam Vents $8.00	66.7%	$8.00
1	Thundering Falls $12.79	66.7%	$12.79

Sideboard · $14.95

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.25	66.7%	$0.25
1	Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	66.7%	$0.09
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	66.7%	$5.00
4	Consign to Memory {U} $2.15	66.7%	$2.15
1	Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	66.7%	$0.02
1	Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
2	Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	66.7%	$0.19
2	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	66.7%	$0.05

Deck
4 Dragon's Rage Channeler
4 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
3 Murktide Regent
4 Mishra's Bauble
4 Cori-Steel Cutter
1 Blood Moon
1 Consider
1 Consign to Memory
4 Lightning Bolt
3 Spell Snare
3 Unholy Heat
3 Counterspell
2 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
4 Expressive Iteration
1 Fiery Islet
3 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
2 Scalding Tarn
3 Spirebluff Canal
3 Steam Vents
1 Thundering Falls

Sideboard
3 Obsidian Charmaw
1 Tormod's Crypt
1 Blood Moon
4 Consign to Memory
1 Stern Scolding
1 Abrade
2 Mystical Dispute
2 Meltdown

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $464.68 High $524.72 −$2.19 (-0.5%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$460$480$500$520$540

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$464.68 · ▼ 0.5% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Broodscale Combo	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Jeskai Control	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Boros Energy	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Domain Zoo	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Izzet Prowess	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Living End	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group 0CD887 (Beastrider Vanguard, Fiend Artisan)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.31	3.33	Core
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.69	1.67	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.69	3.67	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.40	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.01	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Spirebluff Canal $3.00	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.96	3.00	Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	main	3 w 2.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.31	3.33	Core
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.25	main	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	2.78	4.00	Flex
Fiery Islet $1.00	main	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	0.69	1.00	Flex
Island $0.01	main	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	2.08	3.00	Flex
Misty Rainforest $32.56	main	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	2.09	3.00	Flex
Preordain {U} $0.01	main	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	2.78	4.00	Flex
Scalding Tarn $29.00	main	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	2.09	3.00	Flex
Steam Vents $8.00	main	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	2.08	3.00	Flex
Thundering Falls $12.79	main	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	0.69	1.00	Flex
Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	0.69	1.00	Flex
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	0.69	1.00	Flex
Consign to Memory {U} $2.15	sideboard	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	2.78	4.00	Flex
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	1.39	2.00	Flex
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	sideboard	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	1.39	2.00	Flex
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.25	sideboard	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	2.08	3.00	Flex
Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	sideboard	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	0.69	1.00	Flex
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	sideboard	2 w 1.9	69.5% raw 66.7%	0.69	1.00	Flex
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	main	1 w 0.8	30.5% raw 33.3%	0.31	1.00	Occasional
Consider {U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.8	30.5% raw 33.3%	1.22	4.00	Occasional
Consign to Memory {U} $2.15	main	1 w 0.8	30.5% raw 33.3%	0.31	1.00	Occasional
Flooded Strand $10.00	main	1 w 0.9	34.6% raw 33.3%	0.35	1.00	Occasional
Polluted Delta $14.00	main	1 w 0.9	34.6% raw 33.3%	0.69	2.00	Occasional
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	main	1 w 0.8	30.5% raw 33.3%	0.31	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 3 of 3

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
Kloss, David	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	1168	0-4-0	Izzet	6%
CSE	$1K Modern RCQ - SCG CON Los Angeles - Friday - 10:00 am	2026-10-09	44	3-3-1	Izzet	17%
ZKG	Modern League	2026-10-08		5-0-0	Izzet	5%