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Modern v3 Group CC5D63 (No More Lies, Ketramose, the New Dawn) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:cc5d632f16f811 auto group
28Decks in Window
13Tournaments
44.1%Record Win Rate
49.5% Actual Match WR · 103 matches 95% CI 40.1%–59.0%
50.4%Actual Game WR
6Best Rank
55.5% Adjusted WR (90d) · 113 decks, 57 from cuts 95% CI 50.7%–60.2%
2.50× Cut conversion · 64 cut decks vs 23 expected
+7.3 Strength · how it works 44 full-field decks · 64 top-32 decks · 38 other
2% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 91%
$675.30Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Metagame Share Trend

Each point is this archetype's share of all Modern decks over the previous 7 days latest 0.5% (5436 decks in window) peak 0.9% on 2026-10-06 -0.4 pp since 2026-10-06

0.0%0.3%0.5%0.8%1.1%
Oct 06Oct 08Oct 10Oct 12
7-day metagame share 0.0

Signature Cards

CardDecksShareAvg Copies
Ketramose, the New Dawn {1}{W}{B} $1.99 146 100.0% 3.945
No More Lies {W}{U} $0.10 146 100.0% 1.911
Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01 146 100.0% 3.274
Psychic Frog {U}{B} $3.49 146 100.0% 4.0
Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00 146 100.0% 4.0
Relic of Progenitus {1} $4.20 146 100.0% 3.918
Solitude {3}{W}{W} $30.96 146 100.0% 3.993
Thoughtseize {B} $4.80 145 99.3% 3.137
Ephemerate {W} $3.43 143 98.0% 2.281
Spell Snare {U} $0.01 128 87.7% 1.582
March of Otherworldly Light {X}{W} $0.35 87 59.6% 1.144
Fatal Push {B} $0.15 84 57.5% 0.719

Colors

ColorDecks
Esper 28

Consensus 75

28 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $675.30 current botbox price

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $568.14

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
4 Psychic Frog {U}{B} $3.49 100.0% $3.49
4 Ketramose, the New Dawn {1}{W}{B} $1.99 100.0% $1.99
4 Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00 100.0% $24.00
4 Solitude {3}{W}{W} $30.96 100.0% $30.96
4 Relic of Progenitus {1} $4.20 96.4% $4.20
2 Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 57.1% $2.15
2 Ephemerate {W} $3.43 100.0% $3.43
1 Fatal Push {B} $0.15 96.4% $0.15
2 March of Otherworldly Light {X}{W} $0.35 96.4% $0.35
2 Spell Snare {U} $0.01 96.4% $0.01
2 No More Lies {W}{U} $0.10 92.9% $0.10
1 Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 85.7% $40.90
3 Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01 75.0% $0.01
3 Thoughtseize {B} $4.80 64.3% $4.80
1 Bleachbone Verge $7.30 96.4% $7.30
3 Flooded Strand $10.00 100.0% $10.00
1 Floodfarm Verge $7.50 96.4% $7.50
1 Gloomlake Verge $8.00 100.0% $8.00
1 Godless Shrine $7.00 100.0% $7.00
1 Hallowed Fountain $5.84 100.0% $5.84
1 Island $0.01 100.0% $0.01
3 Marsh Flats $29.01 78.6% $29.01
1 Meticulous Archive $9.72 100.0% $9.72
1 Plains $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Polluted Delta $14.00 96.4% $14.00
1 Shadowy Backstreet $9.11 100.0% $9.11
1 Swamp $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Undercity Sewers $6.50 100.0% $6.50
1 Watery Grave $7.99 100.0% $7.99

Sideboard · $107.16

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
2 Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $3.00 82.1% $3.00
2 High Noon {1}{W} $3.00 82.1% $3.00
3 Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 42.9% $2.15
1 Fatal Push {B} $0.15 78.6% $0.15
2 Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 46.4% $40.90
2 Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19 100.0% $0.19
1 Thoughtseize {B} $4.80 50.0% $4.80
2 Wrath of the Skies {X}{W}{W} $0.79 82.1% $0.79

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $667.78 High $737.80 +$23.22 (3.5%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$660$680$700$720$740
May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$691.00 · ▲ 3.5% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

OpponentMatchesTournamentsW-LMatch WRGame WR
Broodscale Combo 20 5 11-9 55.0%
34.2%–74.2% CI
52.9%
Izzet Prowess 11 4 6-5 54.5%
28.0%–78.7% CI
51.9%
Jeskai Control 10 8 1-9 10.0%
1.8%–40.4% CI
26.9%
Domain Zoo 7 3 4-3 57.1%
25.0%–84.2% CI
55.6%
Affinity 6 5 3-3 50.0%
18.8%–81.2% CI
50.0%
Esper Blink 6 5 3-3 50.0%
18.8%–81.2% CI
52.9%
Boros Energy 5 3 4-1 80.0%
37.6%–96.4% CI
57.1%
Modern v3 Group 0ECA12 (Duskwatch Recruiter // Krallenhorde Howler, Tyvar, the Pummeler) 5 3 4-1 80.0%
37.6%–96.4% CI
69.2%
Modern v3 Group 213EA0 (Dark Matter Manipulator, Fear of Missing Out) 5 3 1-4 20.0%
3.6%–62.4% CI
27.3%
Eldrazi Tron 4 2 2-2 50.0%
15.0%–85.0% CI
50.0%
Neoform 4 2 2-2 50.0%
15.0%–85.0% CI
55.6%
Living End 2 2 1-1 50.0%
9.5%–90.5% CI
60.0%
Modern v3 Group FE3B0C (Beastrider Vanguard, Craterhoof Behemoth) 2 2 2-0 100.0%
34.2%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Mono-Blue Belcher 2 2 0-2 0.0%
0.0%–65.8% CI
0.0%
Amulet Titan 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Birthing Ritual 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Boros Control 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Dimir Control 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Dimir Murktide 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Fight Rigging 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Goryo's Vengeance 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Jeskai Blink 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Modern v3 Group 1A6317 (Boomerang Basics, Stormchaser's Talent) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Modern v3 Group 927F8F (Spoils of the Vault, Thud) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Modern v3 Group A568D4 (Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy, Grapeshot) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Modern v3 Group F3E4CC (Murktide Regent, Spell Pierce) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Modern v3 Group F7ACED (Stitcher's Supplier, Flare of Malice) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Yawgmoth 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

CardBoardDecksInclusionAvg / DeckAvg When PlayedRole
Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.57 1.57 Core
Ephemerate {W} $3.43 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Flooded Strand $10.00 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.53 3.54 Core
Gloomlake Verge $8.00 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.04 1.04 Core
Godless Shrine $7.00 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Hallowed Fountain $5.84 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.07 1.07 Core
Island $0.01 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.04 1.04 Core
Ketramose, the New Dawn {1}{W}{B} $1.99 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
March of Otherworldly Light {X}{W} $0.35 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.96 1.96 Core
Marsh Flats $29.01 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.26 3.25 Core
Meticulous Archive $9.72 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
No More Lies {W}{U} $0.10 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.93 1.93 Core
Plains $0.01 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Polluted Delta $14.00 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.97 3.96 Core
Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.75 2.75 Core
Psychic Frog {U}{B} $3.49 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Relic of Progenitus {1} $4.20 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.96 3.96 Core
Shadowy Backstreet $9.11 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Solitude {3}{W}{W} $30.96 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Swamp $0.01 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Thoughtseize {B} $4.80 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.64 2.64 Core
Undercity Sewers $6.50 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Watery Grave $7.99 main 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 sideboard 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.43 2.43 Core
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19 sideboard 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.10 2.11 Core
Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $3.00 sideboard 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.97 1.96 Core
Wrath of the Skies {X}{W}{W} $0.79 sideboard 28
w 27.5
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.93 1.93 Core
Bleachbone Verge $7.30 main 27
w 26.6
96.5%
raw 96.4%
0.96 1.00 Core
Fatal Push {B} $0.15 main 27
w 26.6
96.5%
raw 96.4%
1.18 1.22 Core
Floodfarm Verge $7.50 main 27
w 26.6
96.5%
raw 96.4%
0.96 1.00 Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.01 main 27
w 26.6
96.6%
raw 96.4%
1.93 2.00 Core
High Noon {1}{W} $3.00 sideboard 27
w 26.6
96.5%
raw 96.4%
1.89 1.96 Core
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 main 24
w 23.6
85.9%
raw 85.7%
0.86 1.00 Core
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 sideboard 23
w 22.6
82.2%
raw 82.1%
1.43 1.74 Core
Fatal Push {B} $0.15 sideboard 22
w 21.6
78.6%
raw 78.6%
0.89 1.14 Core
Thoughtseize {B} $4.80 sideboard 14
w 13.8
50.1%
raw 50.0%
0.57 1.14 Flex
Break the Ice {B}{B} $0.01 sideboard 11
w 10.8
39.4%
raw 39.3%
0.57 1.45 Flex
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.42 sideboard 11
w 10.8
39.2%
raw 39.3%
0.60 1.55 Flex
Spell Snare {U} $0.01 sideboard 7
w 6.9
25.0%
raw 25.0%
0.28 1.14 Occasional
River of Tears $0.09 main 5
w 4.9
17.7%
raw 17.9%
0.18 1.00 Occasional
Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $3.00 main 4
w 3.9
14.0%
raw 14.3%
0.14 1.00 Occasional
Wrath of the Skies {X}{W}{W} $0.79 main 2
w 1.9
6.9%
raw 7.1%
0.07 1.00 Occasional
Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines {4}{W} $19.95 sideboard 2
w 1.9
6.9%
raw 7.1%
0.07 1.00 Occasional
Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01 sideboard 2
w 1.9
6.9%
raw 7.1%
0.07 1.00 Occasional
Clarion Conqueror {2}{W} $1.00 sideboard 1
w 1.0
3.5%
raw 3.6%
0.07 2.00 Occasional
Containment Priest {1}{W} $0.01 sideboard 1
w 1.0
3.6%
raw 3.6%
0.04 1.00 Occasional
Force of Despair {1}{B}{B} $4.80 sideboard 1
w 1.0
3.6%
raw 3.6%
0.04 1.00 Occasional
Test of Talents {1}{U} $0.08 sideboard 1
w 1.0
3.6%
raw 3.6%
0.04 1.00 Occasional

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