Modern v3 Group 860408 (Fear of Missing Out, Moonshadow) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:860408df67f6c2 auto group

3Decks in Window

2Tournaments

79.8%Record Win Rate

69.2% Actual Match WR · 26 matches 95% CI 50.0%–83.5%

60.6%Actual Game WR

54Best Rank

56.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 13 decks, 5 from cuts 95% CI 45.2%–67.8%

1.51× Cut conversion · 8 cut decks vs 4 expected

+3.3 Strength · how it works 7 full-field decks · 8 top-32 decks · 8 other

3% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 85%

$376.57Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Detective's Phoenix {2}{R} $0.09	24	100.0%	3.625
Fear of Missing Out {1}{R} $1.49	24	100.0%	3.583
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	24	100.0%	3.917
Moonshadow {B} $12.00	24	100.0%	4.0
Nethergoyf {B} $2.49	24	100.0%	3.667
Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.04	24	100.0%	4.0
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98	24	100.0%	4.0
Thoughtseize {B} $4.80	23	95.5%	3.375
Flare of Malice {2}{B}{B} $1.33	17	72.7%	2.667
Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $39.25	17	72.7%	1.25
Stitcher's Supplier {B} $0.01	17	72.7%	2.667
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.89	13	54.5%	0.5

Colors

Color	Decks
Rakdos	3

Consensus 75

3 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $376.57 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $370.39

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Moonshadow {B} $12.00	100.0%	$12.00
4	Nethergoyf {B} $2.49	100.0%	$2.49
4	Stitcher's Supplier {B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
4	Fear of Missing Out {1}{R} $1.49	100.0%	$1.49
2	Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $39.25	100.0%	$39.25
4	Detective's Phoenix {2}{R} $0.09	100.0%	$0.09
4	Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.04	100.0%	$0.04
1	Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.21	66.7%	$0.21
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98	100.0%	$0.98
4	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	100.0%	$0.25
4	Flare of Malice {2}{B}{B} $1.33	100.0%	$1.33
4	Thoughtseize {B} $4.80	100.0%	$4.80
1	Arid Mesa $22.25	33.3%	$22.25
3	Blood Crypt $7.16	100.0%	$7.16
4	Bloodstained Mire $13.00	100.0%	$13.00
1	Mountain $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Polluted Delta $14.00	66.7%	$14.00
1	Raucous Theater $9.00	100.0%	$9.00
2	Swamp $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Verdant Catacombs $27.50	66.7%	$27.50
2	Wooded Foothills $12.00	66.7%	$12.00

Sideboard · $6.18

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.25	100.0%	$0.25
1	Ashiok, Dream Render {1}{U/B}{U/B} $0.40	100.0%	$0.40
1	Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.42	100.0%	$1.42
1	Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.89	66.7%	$1.89
2	Damping Sphere {2} $0.33	100.0%	$0.33
1	Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.92	100.0%	$0.92
4	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	100.0%	$0.05

Deck
4 Moonshadow
4 Nethergoyf
4 Stitcher's Supplier
4 Fear of Missing Out
2 Orcish Bowmasters
4 Detective's Phoenix
4 Street Wraith
1 Troll of Khazad-dûm
4 Mishra's Bauble
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Flare of Malice
4 Thoughtseize
1 Arid Mesa
3 Blood Crypt
4 Bloodstained Mire
1 Mountain
1 Polluted Delta
1 Raucous Theater
2 Swamp
2 Verdant Catacombs
2 Wooded Foothills

Sideboard
3 Obsidian Charmaw
1 Ashiok, Dream Render
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Nihil Spellbomb
2 Damping Sphere
1 Surgical Extraction
4 Unholy Heat
2 Meltdown

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $369.05 High $405.75 +$9.49 (2.5%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$360$370$380$390$400$410

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$393.37 · ▲ 2.5% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Boros Energy	4	1	4-0	100.0% 51.0%–100.0% CI	72.7%
Affinity	3	1	3-0	100.0% 43.9%–100.0% CI	75.0%
Broodscale Combo	3	1	2-1	66.7% 20.8%–93.9% CI	62.5%
Goryo's Vengeance	3	1	0-3	0.0% 0.0%–56.1% CI	0.0%
Jeskai Control	3	1	3-0	100.0% 43.9%–100.0% CI	85.7%
Amulet Titan	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Esper Blink	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Izzet Prowess	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Jeskai Blink	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Modern v3 Group 09EDBA (Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers, Indomitable Creativity)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group 0FBAEC (Twinned Vision, Reckless Impulse)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group 1A6317 (Boomerang Basics, Stormchaser's Talent)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Modern v3 Group 213EA0 (Dark Matter Manipulator, Fear of Missing Out)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group FE3B0C (Beastrider Vanguard, Craterhoof Behemoth)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Mono-Blue Belcher	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Blood Crypt $7.16	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Bloodstained Mire $13.00	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Detective's Phoenix {2}{R} $0.09	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Fear of Missing Out {1}{R} $1.49	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Flare of Malice {2}{B}{B} $1.33	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Moonshadow {B} $12.00	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mountain $0.01	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Nethergoyf {B} $2.49	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $39.25	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Raucous Theater $9.00	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Stitcher's Supplier {B} $0.01	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.04	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Thoughtseize {B} $4.80	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Wooded Foothills $12.00	main	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.66	1.67	Core
Ashiok, Dream Render {1}{U/B}{U/B} $0.40	sideboard	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Damping Sphere {2} $0.33	sideboard	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.42	sideboard	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.34	1.33	Core
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.25	sideboard	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.92	sideboard	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Polluted Delta $14.00	main	2 w 1.9	66.4% raw 66.7%	1.64	2.50	Flex
Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.21	main	2 w 1.9	66.4% raw 66.7%	0.66	1.00	Flex
Verdant Catacombs $27.50	main	2 w 1.9	67.3% raw 66.7%	2.02	3.00	Flex
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.89	sideboard	2 w 1.9	66.4% raw 66.7%	0.66	1.00	Flex
Arid Mesa $22.25	main	1 w 1.0	33.8% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Marsh Flats $29.01	main	1 w 1.0	33.8% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.89	main	1 w 1.0	33.6% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 3 of 3

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
Rodriguez, Xabier	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	54	10-4-0	Rakdos	5%
darikun	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	66	9-4-1	Rakdos	2%
darikun	Modern League	2026-10-06		5-0-0	Rakdos	3%