Modern v3 Group 8633D2 (Death's Shadow, Moonshadow) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:8633d27573a0f2 auto group

5Decks in Window

4Tournaments

44.1%Record Win Rate

46.2% Actual Match WR · 26 matches 95% CI 28.8%–64.5%

45.7%Actual Game WR

47Best Rank

38.0% Adjusted WR (90d) · 14 decks, 0 from cuts 95% CI 27.0%–50.2%

0.45× Cut conversion · 0 cut decks vs 6 expected

-6.4 Strength · how it works 14 full-field decks · 0 top-32 decks · 0 other

16% Spread (median rogueness) · 40% rogue builds 40% stock · coherence 82%

$513.09Consensus 75 Price · 74/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Fatal Push {B} $0.15	14	100.0%	3.143
Moonshadow {B} $13.40	14	100.0%	4.0
Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.04	14	100.0%	3.786
Thoughtseize {B} $4.55	14	100.0%	3.857
Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	14	100.0%	4.0
Death's Shadow {B} $0.50	12	85.7%	3.357
Psychic Frog {U}{B} $3.49	12	85.7%	3.429
Stubborn Denial {U} $2.75	11	78.6%	2.357
Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00	10	71.4%	2.143
Drown in the Loch {U}{B} $0.73	9	64.3%	1.143
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.00	9	64.3%	2.357
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	8	57.1%	1.143

Colors

Color	Decks
Black splash	2
Grixis	2
Dimir	1

Consensus 75

5 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $513.09 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $464.87

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Dark Matter Manipulator {B}	40.0%
4	Death's Shadow {B} $0.50	60.0%	$0.50
4	Moonshadow {B} $13.40	100.0%	$13.40
1	Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.00	40.0%	$36.00
1	Emperor of Bones {1}{B} $0.46	40.0%	$0.46
1	Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $39.37	40.0%	$39.37
4	Psychic Frog {U}{B} $3.49	60.0%	$3.49
1	Necrogoyf {3}{B}{B} $0.01	40.0%	$0.01
2	Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00	60.0%	$24.00
3	Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.04	100.0%	$0.04
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	100.0%	$1.00
1	Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.95	40.0%	$1.95
4	Fatal Push {B} $0.15	100.0%	$0.15
3	Stubborn Denial {U} $2.75	60.0%	$2.75
1	Drown in the Loch {U}{B} $0.73	40.0%	$0.73
1	Shadow of Doubt {U/B}{U/B} $2.00	40.0%	$2.00
1	Inquisition of Kozilek {B} $0.21	40.0%	$0.21
4	Thoughtseize {B} $4.55	60.0%	$4.55
1	Blood Crypt $7.16	40.0%	$7.16
4	Bloodstained Mire $13.00	60.0%	$13.00
1	Forest $0.01	40.0%	$0.01
1	Island $0.01	40.0%	$0.01
1	Marsh Flats $29.01	40.0%	$29.01
1	Overgrown Tomb $6.99	40.0%	$6.99
3	Polluted Delta $17.00	60.0%	$17.00
2	Scalding Tarn $33.24	60.0%	$33.24
2	Swamp $0.01	60.0%	$0.01
1	Undercity Sewers $6.75	60.0%	$6.75
2	Watery Grave $7.99	60.0%	$7.99

Sideboard · $48.22

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Emperor of Bones {1}{B} $0.46	40.0%	$0.46
1	Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $39.37	40.0%	$39.37
1	Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer {1}{B}{B} $1.00	40.0%	$1.00
1	Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.95	80.0%	$1.95
1	Illness in the Ranks {B} $0.09	40.0%	$0.09
1	Dress Down {1}{U} $0.10	40.0%	$0.10
3	Consign to Memory {U} $1.50	60.0%	$1.50
1	Abrupt Decay {B}{G} $0.25	40.0%	$0.25
2	Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	60.0%	$0.19
1	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	40.0%	$0.05
1	Break the Ice {B}{B} $0.02	40.0%	$0.02
1	Pyroclasm {1}{R} $0.05	40.0%	$0.05

Deck
1 Dark Matter Manipulator
4 Death's Shadow
4 Moonshadow
1 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
1 Emperor of Bones
1 Orcish Bowmasters
4 Psychic Frog
1 Necrogoyf
2 Quantum Riddler
3 Street Wraith
4 Mishra's Bauble
1 Nihil Spellbomb
4 Fatal Push
3 Stubborn Denial
1 Drown in the Loch
1 Shadow of Doubt
1 Inquisition of Kozilek
4 Thoughtseize
1 Blood Crypt
4 Bloodstained Mire
1 Forest
1 Island
1 Marsh Flats
1 Overgrown Tomb
3 Polluted Delta
2 Scalding Tarn
2 Swamp
1 Undercity Sewers
2 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Emperor of Bones
1 Orcish Bowmasters
1 Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer
1 Nihil Spellbomb
1 Illness in the Ranks
1 Dress Down
3 Consign to Memory
1 Abrupt Decay
2 Mystical Dispute
1 Meltdown
1 Break the Ice
1 Pyroclasm

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $492.92 High $532.70 +$0.90 (0.2%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$490$500$510$520$530$540

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$513.52 · ▲ 0.2% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Broodscale Combo	6	3	2-4	33.3% 9.7%–70.0% CI	37.5%
Boros Energy	4	3	2-2	50.0% 15.0%–85.0% CI	50.0%
Affinity	3	3	2-1	66.7% 20.8%–93.9% CI	55.6%
Izzet Prowess	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	40.0%
Amulet Titan	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Boros Control	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Dimir Control	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Domain Zoo	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Eldrazi Tron	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Fight Rigging	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Goryo's Vengeance	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Jeskai Control	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Living End	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Modern v3 Group 4B6A9F (Springheart Nantuko, Ashaya, Soul of the Wild)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Modern v3 Group 614C43 (Dark Matter Manipulator, Fear of Missing Out)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Bloodstained Mire $13.00	main	5 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.23	2.80	Core
Fatal Push {B} $0.15	main	5 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	main	5 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Moonshadow {B} $13.40	main	5 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Polluted Delta $17.00	main	5 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.01	2.60	Core
Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.04	main	5 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.49	3.40	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	5 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.61	1.80	Core
Thoughtseize {B} $4.55	main	5 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.74	3.60	Core
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.95	sideboard	4 w 2.9	77.4% raw 80.0%	0.77	1.00	Core
Death's Shadow {B} $0.50	main	3 w 2.8	74.5% raw 60.0%	2.98	4.00	Flex
Psychic Frog {U}{B} $3.49	main	3 w 2.8	74.5% raw 60.0%	2.98	4.00	Flex
Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00	main	3 w 2.8	74.5% raw 60.0%	2.01	2.67	Flex
Scalding Tarn $33.24	main	3 w 2.8	74.5% raw 60.0%	2.27	3.00	Flex
Stubborn Denial {U} $2.75	main	3 w 2.8	74.5% raw 60.0%	2.46	3.33	Flex
Undercity Sewers $6.75	main	3 w 2.8	74.5% raw 60.0%	0.97	1.33	Flex
Watery Grave $7.99	main	3 w 2.8	74.5% raw 60.0%	1.94	2.67	Flex
Consign to Memory {U} $1.50	sideboard	3 w 2.8	74.5% raw 60.0%	2.72	3.67	Flex
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	sideboard	3 w 2.8	74.5% raw 60.0%	1.49	2.00	Flex
Blood Crypt $7.16	main	2 w 1.9	51.9% raw 40.0%	1.04	2.00	Flex
Dark Matter Manipulator {B}	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	1.02	4.00	Occasional
Drown in the Loch {U}{B} $0.73	main	2 w 1.9	51.9% raw 40.0%	0.78	1.50	Flex
Emperor of Bones {1}{B} $0.46	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.77	3.00	Occasional
Forest $0.01	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Inquisition of Kozilek {B} $0.21	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Island $0.01	main	2 w 1.8	48.5% raw 40.0%	0.48	1.00	Flex
Marsh Flats $29.01	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.51	2.00	Occasional
Necrogoyf {3}{B}{B} $0.01	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	1.02	4.00	Occasional
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.95	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $39.37	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Overgrown Tomb $6.99	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.00	main	2 w 1.9	51.9% raw 40.0%	2.08	4.00	Flex
Shadow of Doubt {U/B}{U/B} $2.00	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.64	2.50	Occasional
Spreading Algae {G} $0.14	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.38	1.50	Occasional
Steam Vents $8.00	main	2 w 1.9	51.9% raw 40.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex
Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.25	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.51	2.00	Occasional
Underground Mortuary $12.32	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth $49.00	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	1.02	4.00	Occasional
Verdant Catacombs $27.03	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	1.02	4.00	Occasional
Witherbloom Charm {B}{G} $0.01	main	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.51	2.00	Occasional
Abrupt Decay {B}{G} $0.25	sideboard	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.51	2.00	Occasional
Break the Ice {B}{B} $0.02	sideboard	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.77	3.00	Occasional
Dress Down {1}{U} $0.10	sideboard	2 w 1.9	51.9% raw 40.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex
Emperor of Bones {1}{B} $0.46	sideboard	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Illness in the Ranks {B} $0.09	sideboard	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	2 w 1.9	51.9% raw 40.0%	0.78	1.50	Flex
Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $39.37	sideboard	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.51	2.00	Occasional
Pyroclasm {1}{R} $0.05	sideboard	2 w 1.9	51.9% raw 40.0%	1.04	2.00	Flex
Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer {1}{B}{B} $1.00	sideboard	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.82	sideboard	2 w 1.9	51.9% raw 40.0%	0.78	1.50	Flex
Tourach, Dread Cantor {1}{B} $0.36	sideboard	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Vexing Bauble {1} $1.30	sideboard	2 w 1.8	48.5% raw 40.0%	0.71	1.50	Flex
Vraska's Final Mercy {B}{B}	sideboard	2 w 0.9	25.5% raw 40.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	main	1 w 1.0	25.9% raw 20.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Break the Ice {B}{B} $0.02	main	1 w 0.5	12.7% raw 20.0%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Cecil, Dark Knight // Cecil, Redeemed Paladin $0.21	main	1 w 0.8	22.6% raw 20.0%	0.68	3.00	Occasional
Dismember {1}{B/P}{B/P} $1.65	main	1 w 0.8	22.6% raw 20.0%	0.23	1.00	Occasional
Dreams of Steel and Oil {B} $0.07	main	1 w 1.0	26.0% raw 20.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Dress Down {1}{U} $0.10	main	1 w 1.0	25.9% raw 20.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $17.23	main	1 w 0.5	12.9% raw 20.0%	0.26	2.00	Occasional
Petrified Hamlet $0.25	main	1 w 0.5	12.7% raw 20.0%	0.25	2.00	Occasional
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.82	main	1 w 0.8	22.6% raw 20.0%	0.45	2.00	Occasional
Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar $15.30	main	1 w 0.8	22.6% raw 20.0%	0.45	2.00	Occasional
Temur Battle Rage {1}{R} $0.05	main	1 w 1.0	26.0% raw 20.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Abigale, Eloquent First-Year {W/B}{W/B} $0.05	sideboard	1 w 1.0	26.0% raw 20.0%	0.52	2.00	Occasional
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	1 w 1.0	25.9% raw 20.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Brotherhood's End {1}{R}{R} $0.61	sideboard	1 w 1.0	25.9% raw 20.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Dismember {1}{B/P}{B/P} $1.65	sideboard	1 w 0.8	22.6% raw 20.0%	0.23	1.00	Occasional
Harbinger of the Seas {1}{U}{U} $0.45	sideboard	1 w 0.8	22.6% raw 20.0%	0.45	2.00	Occasional
Inquisition of Kozilek {B} $0.21	sideboard	1 w 0.5	12.7% raw 20.0%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00	sideboard	1 w 0.8	22.6% raw 20.0%	0.45	2.00	Occasional
Shadow of Doubt {U/B}{U/B} $2.00	sideboard	1 w 0.5	12.9% raw 20.0%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Spreading Algae {G} $0.14	sideboard	1 w 0.5	12.7% raw 20.0%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Thoughtseize {B} $4.55	sideboard	1 w 0.5	12.9% raw 20.0%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Toxic Deluge {2}{B} $3.60	sideboard	1 w 0.8	22.6% raw 20.0%	0.45	2.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

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