Standard v3 Group 0DE4FD (Sphinx of False Conclusions, Vraska's Final Mercy) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:0de4fd367e504b auto group

5Decks in Window

3Tournaments

51.0%Record Win Rate

50.0% Actual Match WR · 16 matches 95% CI 28.0%–72.0%

51.3%Actual Game WR

8Best Rank

56.2% Adjusted WR (90d) · 11 decks, 4 from cuts 95% CI 43.5%–68.0%

0.64× Cut conversion · 4 cut decks vs 9 expected

-1.3 Strength · how it works 7 full-field decks · 4 top-32 decks · 2 other

8% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 60% stock · coherence 70%

$83.91Consensus 75 Price · 57/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	13	100.0%	2.462
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	13	100.0%	1.615
Duress {B} $0.01	13	100.0%	2.615
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	13	100.0%	1.615
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	13	100.0%	3.231
Theorix Charm {U}{B}	13	100.0%	1.462
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.80	13	100.0%	2.0
Countersculpt {U}{U}	13	100.0%	2.154
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	13	100.0%	0.538
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	10	80.0%	3.077
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	10	80.0%	0.769
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	10	80.0%	1.231

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	5

Consensus 75

5 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $83.91 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $76.55

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	80.0%
1	Uldaros Theorix {3}{U}{B}{B}	40.0%
4	The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	60.0%
3	Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	80.0%	$0.20
2	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	80.0%	$0.09
1	Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	60.0%	$2.75
3	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	60.0%	$0.01
4	Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.80	80.0%	$1.80
4	Countersculpt {U}{U}	100.0%
1	Theorix Charm {U}{B}	80.0%
3	Duress {B} $0.01	60.0%	$0.01
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	80.0%	$0.20
1	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
1	Vraska's Final Mercy {B}{B}	60.0%
1	Stock Up {2}{U} $0.44	40.0%	$0.44
2	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	100.0%	$0.19
1	Demolition Field $0.01	60.0%	$0.01
1	Fountainport $1.79	60.0%	$1.79
4	Gloomlake Verge $6.50	100.0%	$6.50
3	Island $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
1	Petrified Hamlet $0.25	100.0%	$0.25
2	Restless Reef $0.89	100.0%	$0.89
4	Shipwreck Marsh $0.90	60.0%	$0.90
3	Swamp $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
2	Theorist's Sanctum	100.0%
4	Watery Grave $7.81	100.0%	$7.81

Sideboard · $7.36

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	100.0%	$2.50
2	Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	80.0%	$2.25
1	Annul {U} $0.01	60.0%	$0.01
1	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	40.0%	$0.01
1	Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
2	Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	60.0%	$0.01
1	Negate {1}{U} $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
1	Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	60.0%	$0.08
2	Terminal Criticism {1}{B}	60.0%
1	Duress {B} $0.01	40.0%	$0.01
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	80.0%	$0.20
1	Feed the Swarm {1}{B} $0.01	40.0%	$0.01

Deck
3 Sphinx of False Conclusions
1 Uldaros Theorix
4 The Theorist, Jace Beleren
3 Requiting Hex
2 Spell Snare
1 Three Steps Ahead
3 Bitter Triumph
4 Consult the Star Charts
4 Countersculpt
1 Theorix Charm
3 Duress
1 Day of Black Sun
1 Strategic Betrayal
1 Vraska's Final Mercy
1 Stock Up
2 Deadly Cover-Up
1 Demolition Field
1 Fountainport
4 Gloomlake Verge
3 Island
1 Petrified Hamlet
2 Restless Reef
4 Shipwreck Marsh
3 Swamp
2 Theorist's Sanctum
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Ghost Vacuum
2 Torpor Orb
1 Annul
1 Bitter Triumph
1 Disdainful Stroke
2 Flashfreeze
1 Negate
1 Outrageous Robbery
2 Terminal Criticism
1 Duress
1 Day of Black Sun
1 Feed the Swarm

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $84.11 High $154.16 −$21.97 (-20.7%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$80$100$120$140$160

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$84.11 · ▼ 20.7% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Dimir Midrange	4	1	1-3	25.0% 4.6%–69.9% CI	36.4%
Dimir Excruciator	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	60.0%
Four-Color Control	2	1	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 1B6901 (Ajani Unrelenting, Gideon's Memorial)	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Izzet Self-Bounce	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Mono-Green Landfall	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Mono-Red Aggro	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Standard v3 Group 27DAD6 (The Theorist, Jace Beleren, Elspeth, Storm Slayer)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 41253F (Fatehold Charm, Countersculpt)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Standard v3 Group A66E3D (Maelstrom Pulse, Professor Dellian Fel)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.62	2.60	Core
Countersculpt {U}{U}	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Duress {B} $0.01	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.63	2.60	Core
Gloomlake Verge $6.50	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.21	3.20	Core
Petrified Hamlet $0.25	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.39	1.40	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.21	3.20	Core
Restless Reef $0.89	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.58	2.60	Core
Shipwreck Marsh $0.90	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.21	3.20	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.01	3.00	Core
Theorist's Sanctum	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.60	3.60	Core
Watery Grave $7.81	main	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	sideboard	5 w 4.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.20	1.20	Core
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.80	main	4 w 3.7	81.3% raw 80.0%	3.25	4.00	Core
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	main	4 w 3.7	81.3% raw 80.0%	0.81	1.00	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	4 w 3.7	81.3% raw 80.0%	1.63	2.00	Core
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	main	4 w 3.7	81.3% raw 80.0%	2.64	3.25	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	main	4 w 3.6	79.7% raw 80.0%	1.20	1.50	Core
Theorix Charm {U}{B}	main	4 w 3.6	80.4% raw 80.0%	1.38	1.75	Core
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	sideboard	4 w 3.6	80.4% raw 80.0%	0.99	1.25	Core
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.7	81.3% raw 80.0%	1.01	1.25	Core
Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.7	81.3% raw 80.0%	1.43	1.75	Core
Negate {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.6	80.4% raw 80.0%	0.99	1.25	Core
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	4 w 3.7	81.3% raw 80.0%	1.63	2.00	Core
Demolition Field $0.01	main	3 w 2.8	61.7% raw 60.0%	0.62	1.00	Flex
Fountainport $1.79	main	3 w 2.8	61.7% raw 60.0%	0.82	1.33	Flex
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	main	3 w 2.8	61.0% raw 60.0%	0.61	1.00	Flex
Vraska's Final Mercy {B}{B}	main	3 w 2.8	61.7% raw 60.0%	0.62	1.00	Flex
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.8	61.7% raw 60.0%	0.62	1.00	Flex
Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	sideboard	3 w 2.8	60.9% raw 60.0%	0.61	1.00	Flex
Terminal Criticism {1}{B}	sideboard	3 w 2.8	61.7% raw 60.0%	1.23	2.00	Flex
Stock Up {2}{U} $0.44	main	2 w 1.7	38.3% raw 40.0%	0.77	2.00	Flex
Uldaros Theorix {3}{U}{B}{B}	main	2 w 1.7	38.3% raw 40.0%	0.77	2.00	Flex
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.7	38.3% raw 40.0%	0.38	1.00	Flex
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.7	38.3% raw 40.0%	0.77	2.00	Flex
Feed the Swarm {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.7	38.3% raw 40.0%	0.38	1.00	Flex
Qarsi Revenant {1}{B}{B} $0.75	sideboard	2 w 1.9	41.3% raw 40.0%	0.83	2.00	Flex
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	sideboard	2 w 1.8	39.1% raw 40.0%	0.60	1.50	Flex
Riverchurn Monument {1}{U} $0.75	sideboard	2 w 1.9	41.4% raw 40.0%	0.62	1.50	Flex
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.7	38.3% raw 40.0%	0.57	1.50	Flex
Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U}	main	1 w 0.8	18.7% raw 20.0%	0.56	3.00	Occasional
Deceit {4}{U/B}{U/B} $1.50	main	1 w 0.8	18.7% raw 20.0%	0.56	3.00	Occasional
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	19.6% raw 20.0%	0.20	1.00	Occasional
Enduring Curiosity {2}{U}{U} $4.50	main	1 w 0.9	19.6% raw 20.0%	0.20	1.00	Occasional
Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	main	1 w 0.8	18.7% raw 20.0%	0.75	4.00	Occasional
Malcolm, Alluring Scoundrel {1}{U} $0.97	main	1 w 0.9	19.6% raw 20.0%	0.20	1.00	Occasional
Riverchurn Monument {1}{U} $0.75	main	1 w 0.9	20.3% raw 20.0%	0.20	1.00	Occasional
Singularity Rupture {3}{U}{B}{B} $0.40	main	1 w 0.9	20.3% raw 20.0%	0.20	1.00	Occasional
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	1 w 0.8	18.7% raw 20.0%	0.37	2.00	Occasional
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $28.00	main	1 w 0.9	19.6% raw 20.0%	0.20	1.00	Occasional
Ancient Vendetta {3}{B} $0.02	sideboard	1 w 0.9	19.6% raw 20.0%	0.39	2.00	Occasional
M.O.D.O.K. {3}{B}{B} $1.91	sideboard	1 w 0.9	19.6% raw 20.0%	0.20	1.00	Occasional
Oildeep Gearhulk {U}{U}{B}{B} $0.41	sideboard	1 w 0.8	18.7% raw 20.0%	0.37	2.00	Occasional
Stock Up {2}{U} $0.44	sideboard	1 w 0.8	18.7% raw 20.0%	0.19	1.00	Occasional

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