Standard v3 Group 996451 (The Theorist, Jace Beleren, Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:996451e9e65050 auto group

3Decks in Window

1Tournaments

51.6%Record Win Rate

50.0% Actual Match WR · 16 matches 95% CI 28.0%–72.0%

51.3%Actual Game WR

8Best Rank

58.2% Adjusted WR (90d) · 13 decks, 4 from cuts 95% CI 46.5%–69.2%

0.54× Cut conversion · 4 cut decks vs 12 expected

-1.7 Strength · how it works 9 full-field decks · 4 top-32 decks · 2 other

12% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 33% stock · coherence 65%

$88.52Consensus 75 Price · 57/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	15	100.0%	2.4
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	15	100.0%	1.667
Duress {B} $0.01	15	100.0%	2.6
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	15	100.0%	2.867
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	15	100.0%	1.667
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	15	100.0%	2.8
Countersculpt {U}{U}	9	60.0%	1.867
Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer {1}{B}{B} $1.00	9	60.0%	0.6
Abhorrent Oculus {2}{U} $8.26	6	40.0%	0.533
Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U}	6	40.0%	0.333
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	6	40.0%	1.8
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	6	40.0%	0.6

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	3

Consensus 75

3 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $88.52 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $81.01

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	66.7%
2	Uldaros Theorix {3}{U}{B}{B}	66.7%
1	Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U}	33.3%
4	The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	66.7%
3	Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	66.7%	$0.20
2	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	66.7%	$0.09
1	Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	66.7%	$2.75
2	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
4	Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	66.7%	$1.91
4	Countersculpt {U}{U}	100.0%
2	Theorix Charm {U}{B}	66.7%
2	Duress {B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	66.7%	$0.20
2	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
2	Stock Up {2}{U} $0.10	66.7%	$0.10
2	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	100.0%	$0.19
4	Gloomlake Verge $7.83	100.0%	$7.83
3	Island $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Petrified Hamlet $0.25	100.0%	$0.25
3	Restless Reef $0.89	66.7%	$0.89
3	Shipwreck Marsh $0.90	66.7%	$0.90
3	Swamp $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
2	Theorist's Sanctum	100.0%
4	Watery Grave $8.00	100.0%	$8.00

Sideboard · $7.51

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	100.0%	$2.50
2	Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	66.7%	$2.25
1	Annul {U} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
1	Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	66.7%	$0.20
1	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Negate {1}{U} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
2	Duress {B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	66.7%	$0.20
1	Feed the Swarm {1}{B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Ancient Vendetta {3}{B} $0.02	33.3%	$0.02

Deck
3 Sphinx of False Conclusions
2 Uldaros Theorix
1 Chandra, Chill of Compliance
4 The Theorist, Jace Beleren
3 Requiting Hex
2 Spell Snare
1 Three Steps Ahead
2 Bitter Triumph
4 Consult the Star Charts
4 Countersculpt
2 Theorix Charm
2 Duress
1 Day of Black Sun
2 Strategic Betrayal
2 Stock Up
2 Deadly Cover-Up
4 Gloomlake Verge
3 Island
1 Petrified Hamlet
3 Restless Reef
3 Shipwreck Marsh
3 Swamp
2 Theorist's Sanctum
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Ghost Vacuum
2 Torpor Orb
1 Annul
1 Requiting Hex
1 Bitter Triumph
1 Disdainful Stroke
1 Flashfreeze
1 Negate
2 Duress
1 Day of Black Sun
1 Feed the Swarm
1 Strategic Betrayal
1 Ancient Vendetta

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $77.41 High $123.74 −$3.51 (-3.8%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$60$80$100$120$140

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$88.94 · ▼ 3.8% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Dimir Midrange	4	1	1-3	25.0% 4.6%–69.9% CI	36.4%
Dimir Excruciator	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	60.0%
Four-Color Control	2	1	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 1B6901 (Ajani Unrelenting, Chandra, Torch of Defiance)	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Izzet Self-Bounce	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Mono-Green Landfall	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Mono-Red Aggro	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Standard v3 Group 27DAD6 (The Theorist, Jace Beleren, Elspeth, Storm Slayer)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 41253F (Fatehold Charm, Countersculpt)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Standard v3 Group A66E3D (Maelstrom Pulse, Professor Dellian Fel)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.35	2.33	Core
Countersculpt {U}{U}	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Duress {B} $0.01	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.02	2.00	Core
Gloomlake Verge $7.83	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.37	3.33	Core
Petrified Hamlet $0.25	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.32	1.33	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.65	2.67	Core
Restless Reef $0.89	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.98	3.00	Core
Shipwreck Marsh $0.90	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.65	2.67	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.68	1.67	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.02	3.00	Core
Theorist's Sanctum	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.67	3.67	Core
Watery Grave $8.00	main	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	sideboard	3 w 2.6	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	main	2 w 1.8	68.3% raw 66.7%	2.73	4.00	Flex
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	main	2 w 1.8	68.3% raw 66.7%	0.68	1.00	Flex
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	2 w 1.8	68.3% raw 66.7%	1.37	2.00	Flex
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	main	2 w 1.8	68.3% raw 66.7%	2.05	3.00	Flex
Stock Up {2}{U} $0.10	main	2 w 1.7	65.1% raw 66.7%	1.30	2.00	Flex
Theorix Charm {U}{B}	main	2 w 1.8	66.6% raw 66.7%	1.65	2.50	Flex
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	main	2 w 1.8	68.3% raw 66.7%	0.68	1.00	Flex
Uldaros Theorix {3}{U}{B}{B}	main	2 w 1.7	65.1% raw 66.7%	1.30	2.00	Flex
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.7	65.1% raw 66.7%	0.65	1.00	Flex
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	sideboard	2 w 1.8	66.6% raw 66.7%	0.98	1.50	Flex
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.8	68.3% raw 66.7%	1.02	1.50	Flex
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.7	65.1% raw 66.7%	1.30	2.00	Flex
Feed the Swarm {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.7	65.1% raw 66.7%	0.65	1.00	Flex
Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.8	68.3% raw 66.7%	1.03	1.50	Flex
Negate {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.8	66.6% raw 66.7%	0.98	1.50	Flex
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	sideboard	2 w 1.8	66.6% raw 66.7%	1.02	1.50	Flex
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.7	65.1% raw 66.7%	0.97	1.50	Flex
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	2 w 1.8	68.3% raw 66.7%	1.37	2.00	Flex
Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U}	main	1 w 0.8	31.7% raw 33.3%	0.95	3.00	Occasional
Deceit {4}{U/B}{U/B} $2.00	main	1 w 0.8	31.7% raw 33.3%	0.95	3.00	Occasional
Demolition Field $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	34.9% raw 33.3%	0.35	1.00	Occasional
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	33.4% raw 33.3%	0.33	1.00	Occasional
Enduring Curiosity {2}{U}{U} $4.50	main	1 w 0.9	33.4% raw 33.3%	0.33	1.00	Occasional
Fountainport $1.79	main	1 w 0.9	34.9% raw 33.3%	0.70	2.00	Occasional
Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	main	1 w 0.8	31.7% raw 33.3%	1.27	4.00	Occasional
Malcolm, Alluring Scoundrel {1}{U} $0.75	main	1 w 0.9	33.4% raw 33.3%	0.33	1.00	Occasional
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	1 w 0.8	31.7% raw 33.3%	0.63	2.00	Occasional
Vraska's Final Mercy {B}{B}	main	1 w 0.9	34.9% raw 33.3%	0.35	1.00	Occasional
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $28.60	main	1 w 0.9	33.4% raw 33.3%	0.33	1.00	Occasional
Ancient Vendetta {3}{B} $0.02	sideboard	1 w 0.9	33.4% raw 33.3%	0.67	2.00	Occasional
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	34.9% raw 33.3%	0.35	1.00	Occasional
M.O.D.O.K. {3}{B}{B} $1.75	sideboard	1 w 0.9	33.4% raw 33.3%	0.33	1.00	Occasional
Oildeep Gearhulk {U}{U}{B}{B} $0.53	sideboard	1 w 0.8	31.7% raw 33.3%	0.63	2.00	Occasional
Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	sideboard	1 w 0.9	33.4% raw 33.3%	0.33	1.00	Occasional
Riverchurn Monument {1}{U} $0.75	sideboard	1 w 0.9	34.9% raw 33.3%	0.70	2.00	Occasional
Stock Up {2}{U} $0.10	sideboard	1 w 0.8	31.7% raw 33.3%	0.32	1.00	Occasional
Terminal Criticism {1}{B}	sideboard	1 w 0.9	34.9% raw 33.3%	0.70	2.00	Occasional

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