Standard v3 Group 8AF1D3 (Riverchurn Monument, Jace's Machinations) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:8af1d3b7e64092 auto group

8Decks in Window

6Tournaments

61.3%Record Win Rate

57.1% Actual Match WR · 14 matches 95% CI 32.6%–78.6%

56.8%Actual Game WR

1Best Rank

51.7% Adjusted WR (90d) · 9 decks, 2 from cuts 95% CI 32.5%–70.0%

0.59× Cut conversion · 2 cut decks vs 7 expected

-2.5 Strength · how it works 4 full-field decks · 1 top-32 decks · 1 other

3% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 91%

$176.01Consensus 75 Price · 61/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	9	100.0%	4.0
Countersculpt {U}{U}	9	100.0%	4.0
Day of Judgment {2}{W}{W} $0.19	9	100.0%	2.0
Get Lost {1}{W} $2.00	9	100.0%	4.0
Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	9	100.0%	3.333
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	9	100.0%	4.0
No More Lies {W}{U} $0.10	9	100.0%	3.556
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	9	100.0%	1.889
Erode {W} $4.50	8	88.9%	1.889
Riverchurn Monument {1}{U} $0.50	7	77.8%	0.778
Seam Rip {W} $0.01	7	77.8%	3.0
Settle the Wreckage {2}{W}{W} $0.20	2	22.2%	0.444

Colors

Color	Decks
Azorius	8

Consensus 75

8 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $176.01 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $112.38

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	100.0%
1	Riverchurn Monument {1}{U} $0.50	87.5%	$0.50
4	Seam Rip {W} $0.01	75.0%	$0.01
1	Erode {W} $4.50	87.5%	$4.50
2	Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	87.5%	$2.75
4	Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	100.0%	$1.91
4	Countersculpt {U}{U}	100.0%
4	Get Lost {1}{W} $2.00	100.0%	$2.00
4	No More Lies {W}{U} $0.10	62.5%	$0.10
3	Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	100.0%
2	Day of Judgment {2}{W}{W} $0.19	100.0%	$0.19
4	Deserted Beach $0.69	87.5%	$0.69
4	Floodfarm Verge $7.65	100.0%	$7.65
4	Hallowed Fountain $5.25	100.0%	$5.25
3	Island $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Meticulous Archive $10.00	87.5%	$10.00
4	Petrified Hamlet $0.25	75.0%	$0.25
3	Plains $0.01	87.5%	$0.01
2	Theorist's Sanctum	100.0%

Sideboard · $63.63

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
2	Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $26.64	87.5%	$26.64
1	Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	62.5%
2	Captain Marvel, Earth's Protector {3}{W}{W} $0.33	87.5%	$0.33
1	Sphinx of the Final Word {5}{U}{U} $0.05	62.5%	$0.05
2	Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	62.5%	$2.25
2	Pinnacle Starcage {1}{W}{W} $0.06	87.5%	$0.06
2	Rest in Peace {1}{W} $0.25	100.0%	$0.25
1	Annul {U} $0.01	62.5%	$0.01
1	Erode {W} $4.50	75.0%	$4.50
1	Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	87.5%	$0.01

Deck
4 The Theorist, Jace Beleren
1 Riverchurn Monument
4 Seam Rip
1 Erode
2 Three Steps Ahead
4 Consult the Star Charts
4 Countersculpt
4 Get Lost
4 No More Lies
3 Jace's Machinations
2 Day of Judgment
4 Deserted Beach
4 Floodfarm Verge
4 Hallowed Fountain
3 Island
3 Meticulous Archive
4 Petrified Hamlet
3 Plains
2 Theorist's Sanctum

Sideboard
2 Wan Shi Tong, Librarian
1 Sphinx of False Conclusions
2 Captain Marvel, Earth's Protector
1 Sphinx of the Final Word
2 Torpor Orb
2 Pinnacle Starcage
2 Rest in Peace
1 Annul
1 Erode
1 Flashfreeze

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $167.54 High $230.92 −$8.03 (-4.3%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$160$180$200$220$240

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$178.55 · ▼ 4.3% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Dimir Midrange	4	3	1-3	25.0% 4.6%–69.9% CI	40.0%
Dimir Excruciator	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Azorius Tempo	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Mono-Green Landfall	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Selesnya Gearhulk	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Standard v3 Group 07331F (Captain Marvel, Earth's Protector, Jace's Machinations)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Standard v3 Group B2AE1B (Patchwork Beastie, Wildfire Wickerfolk)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Standard v3 Group C1B5E0 (Basilisk Collar, Dwalin, Weaponmaster)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group DF9389 (Ajani Unrelenting, Chandra, Torch of Defiance)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Sultai Reanimator	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Countersculpt {U}{U}	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Day of Judgment {2}{W}{W} $0.19	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Deserted Beach $0.69	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.88	3.88	Core
Floodfarm Verge $7.65	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Get Lost {1}{W} $2.00	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Hallowed Fountain $5.25	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.25	3.25	Core
Meticulous Archive $10.00	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.88	2.88	Core
No More Lies {W}{U} $0.10	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.63	3.62	Core
Petrified Hamlet $0.25	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.75	3.75	Core
Plains $0.01	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.88	2.88	Core
Theorist's Sanctum	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	main	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.87	1.88	Core
Captain Marvel, Earth's Protector {3}{W}{W} $0.33	sideboard	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.88	1.88	Core
Rest in Peace {1}{W} $0.25	sideboard	8 w 7.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.13	2.12	Core
Erode {W} $4.50	main	7 w 6.8	87.2% raw 87.5%	1.61	1.86	Core
Riverchurn Monument {1}{U} $0.50	main	7 w 6.9	88.2% raw 87.5%	0.88	1.00	Core
Seam Rip {W} $0.01	main	7 w 6.9	88.2% raw 87.5%	3.40	3.86	Core
Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	7 w 6.8	87.2% raw 87.5%	0.99	1.14	Core
Pinnacle Starcage {1}{W}{W} $0.06	sideboard	7 w 6.8	87.2% raw 87.5%	1.74	2.00	Core
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	7 w 6.8	87.2% raw 87.5%	1.50	1.71	Core
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $26.64	sideboard	7 w 6.9	88.2% raw 87.5%	1.76	2.00	Core
Erode {W} $4.50	sideboard	6 w 5.9	75.4% raw 75.0%	0.75	1.00	Core
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	5 w 4.9	62.9% raw 62.5%	0.63	1.00	Flex
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	sideboard	5 w 4.9	62.4% raw 62.5%	1.12	1.80	Flex
Sphinx of the Final Word {5}{U}{U} $0.05	sideboard	5 w 4.9	62.6% raw 62.5%	0.87	1.40	Flex
Doorkeeper Thrull {1}{W} $0.22	sideboard	3 w 2.9	37.6% raw 37.5%	0.50	1.33	Flex
Ultima {3}{W}{W} $0.04	sideboard	2 w 2.0	25.6% raw 25.0%	0.38	1.50	Occasional
Fountainport $1.99	main	1 w 0.9	11.8% raw 12.5%	0.12	1.00	Occasional
Restless Anchorage $0.23	main	1 w 0.9	11.8% raw 12.5%	0.24	2.00	Occasional
Settle the Wreckage {2}{W}{W} $0.20	main	1 w 0.9	11.8% raw 12.5%	0.24	2.00	Occasional
Tishana's Tidebinder {2}{U} $0.99	main	1 w 1.0	12.8% raw 12.5%	0.26	2.00	Occasional
Ultima {3}{W}{W} $0.04	main	1 w 0.9	11.8% raw 12.5%	0.12	1.00	Occasional
Beza, the Bounding Spring {2}{W}{W} $3.00	sideboard	1 w 0.9	11.8% raw 12.5%	0.12	1.00	Occasional
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	11.8% raw 12.5%	0.12	1.00	Occasional
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	sideboard	1 w 0.9	11.8% raw 12.5%	0.24	2.00	Occasional
Voice of Victory {1}{W} $15.54	sideboard	1 w 1.0	12.8% raw 12.5%	0.26	2.00	Occasional

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