Standard v3 Group 4D038A (Sphinx of False Conclusions, Vraska's Final Mercy) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:4d038a27a3725a auto group

6Decks in Window

4Tournaments

55.0%Record Win Rate

52.4% Actual Match WR · 21 matches 95% CI 32.4%–71.7%

52.9%Actual Game WR

8Best Rank

56.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 10 decks, 4 from cuts 95% CI 43.5%–69.5%

0.79× Cut conversion · 4 cut decks vs 6 expected

-0.2 Strength · how it works 6 full-field decks · 4 top-32 decks · 0 other

23% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 17% stock · coherence 80%

$103.46Consensus 75 Price · 57/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	10	100.0%	2.1
Duress {B} $0.01	10	100.0%	2.1
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	10	100.0%	1.8
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	10	100.0%	1.0
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	10	100.0%	3.3
Theorix Charm {U}{B}	10	100.0%	1.9
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	10	100.0%	1.9
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	10	100.0%	3.6
Countersculpt {U}{U}	10	100.0%	3.5
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	10	100.0%	0.7
Requiting Hex {B} $0.15	8	80.0%	3.1
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	8	80.0%	1.9

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	6

Consensus 75

6 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $103.46 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $96.16

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	50.0%
1	Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U}	33.3%
4	The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	66.7%
3	Requiting Hex {B} $0.15	83.3%	$0.15
2	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	83.3%	$0.09
1	Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	50.0%	$2.75
2	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
4	Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	83.3%	$1.91
4	Countersculpt {U}{U}	66.7%
3	Theorix Charm {U}{B}	50.0%
2	Duress {B} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	33.3%	$0.20
1	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
2	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	83.3%	$0.19
1	Demolition Field $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
4	Gloomlake Verge $8.20	100.0%	$8.20
5	Island $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Petrified Hamlet $0.25	66.7%	$0.25
2	Restless Reef $0.89	66.7%	$0.89
4	Shipwreck Marsh $0.90	66.7%	$0.90
2	Swamp $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
2	Theorist's Sanctum	83.3%
2	Undercity Sewers $7.00	50.0%	$7.00
4	Watery Grave $8.00	100.0%	$8.00

Sideboard · $7.30

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	66.7%	$2.50
2	Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	50.0%	$2.25
1	Annul {U} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
1	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
1	Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Negate {1}{U} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Terminal Criticism {1}{B}	50.0%
2	Duress {B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	33.3%	$0.20
1	Feed the Swarm {1}{B} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
2	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01

Deck
3 Sphinx of False Conclusions
1 Chandra, Chill of Compliance
4 The Theorist, Jace Beleren
3 Requiting Hex
2 Spell Snare
1 Three Steps Ahead
2 Bitter Triumph
4 Consult the Star Charts
4 Countersculpt
3 Theorix Charm
2 Duress
1 Day of Black Sun
1 Strategic Betrayal
2 Deadly Cover-Up
1 Demolition Field
4 Gloomlake Verge
5 Island
1 Petrified Hamlet
2 Restless Reef
4 Shipwreck Marsh
2 Swamp
2 Theorist's Sanctum
2 Undercity Sewers
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Ghost Vacuum
2 Torpor Orb
1 Annul
1 Bitter Triumph
1 Disdainful Stroke
1 Flashfreeze
1 Negate
1 Terminal Criticism
2 Duress
1 Day of Black Sun
1 Feed the Swarm
2 Strategic Betrayal

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $92.80 High $143.13 −$6.78 (-6.4%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$80$100$120$140$160

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$99.29 · ▼ 6.4% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Dimir Midrange	4	1	1-3	25.0% 4.6%–69.9% CI	36.4%
Dimir Excruciator	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	60.0%
Four-Color Control	2	1	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 3DC647 (Solitary Cell, Gideon's Memorial)	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Azorius Tempo	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Boros Dragons	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Izzet Prowess	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Izzet Spellementals	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Mono-Green Landfall	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Mono-Red Aggro	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Standard v3 Group 209665 (Firdoch Core, Unholy Annex // Ritual Chamber)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 27DAD6 (Chandra, Chill of Compliance, Ajani Unrelenting)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 3CBF54 (Formidable Speaker, The Seriema)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Standard v3 Group 41253F (Fatehold Charm, Countersculpt)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Standard v3 Group A66E3D (Maelstrom Pulse, Professor Dellian Fel)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Gloomlake Verge $8.20	main	6 w 4.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	6 w 4.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.67	3.67	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.15	main	6 w 4.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.11	3.17	Core
Shipwreck Marsh $0.90	main	6 w 4.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.26	3.33	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	6 w 4.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.25	2.17	Core
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	main	6 w 4.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.38	3.33	Core
Watery Grave $8.00	main	6 w 4.8	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	main	5 w 4.1	84.4% raw 83.3%	3.38	4.00	Core
Countersculpt {U}{U}	main	5 w 4.1	85.5% raw 83.3%	3.26	3.80	Core
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	main	5 w 4.0	83.6% raw 83.3%	2.12	2.60	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	5 w 4.1	84.4% raw 83.3%	1.99	2.40	Core
Theorist's Sanctum	main	5 w 4.1	85.5% raw 83.3%	1.87	2.20	Core
Theorix Charm {U}{B}	main	5 w 3.9	81.9% raw 83.3%	2.27	2.80	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	5 w 3.9	80.5% raw 83.3%	1.59	2.00	Core
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	main	4 w 3.3	67.8% raw 66.7%	1.55	2.25	Flex
Duress {B} $0.01	main	4 w 3.3	69.7% raw 66.7%	1.57	2.25	Flex
Petrified Hamlet $0.25	main	4 w 3.3	67.8% raw 66.7%	0.98	1.50	Flex
Restless Reef $0.89	main	4 w 3.3	67.8% raw 66.7%	1.86	2.75	Flex
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	main	4 w 3.3	67.8% raw 66.7%	1.05	1.50	Flex
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.1	64.1% raw 66.7%	1.44	2.25	Flex
Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	sideboard	4 w 3.3	69.1% raw 66.7%	0.69	1.00	Flex
Negate {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.2	66.0% raw 66.7%	0.98	1.50	Flex
Demolition Field $0.01	main	3 w 2.4	50.4% raw 50.0%	0.81	1.67	Flex
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	main	3 w 2.6	54.0% raw 50.0%	1.62	3.00	Flex
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	main	3 w 2.6	54.0% raw 50.0%	0.70	1.33	Flex
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	3 w 2.3	47.9% raw 50.0%	1.60	3.33	Flex
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.5	52.1% raw 50.0%	0.70	1.33	Flex
Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.6	54.0% raw 50.0%	0.90	1.67	Flex
Terminal Criticism {1}{B}	sideboard	3 w 2.4	50.4% raw 50.0%	0.86	1.67	Flex
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	3 w 2.6	53.5% raw 50.0%	1.07	2.00	Flex
Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U}	main	2 w 1.5	31.5% raw 33.3%	1.10	3.50	Occasional
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	main	2 w 1.8	37.6% raw 33.3%	0.38	1.00	Flex
Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	main	2 w 1.5	32.0% raw 33.3%	1.28	4.00	Occasional
Plunder the Trollshaws {1}{U} $0.01	main	2 w 1.5	30.3% raw 33.3%	0.75	2.50	Occasional
Stock Up {2}{U} $0.25	main	2 w 1.6	33.8% raw 33.3%	0.68	2.00	Occasional
Uldaros Theorix {3}{U}{B}{B}	main	2 w 1.6	33.8% raw 33.3%	0.68	2.00	Occasional
Vraska's Final Mercy {B}{B}	main	2 w 1.7	35.3% raw 33.3%	0.51	1.50	Flex
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $26.64	main	2 w 1.6	32.6% raw 33.3%	0.62	2.00	Occasional
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.6	34.0% raw 33.3%	0.48	1.50	Occasional
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.6	33.8% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	sideboard	2 w 1.7	35.1% raw 33.3%	0.51	1.50	Flex
Feed the Swarm {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.6	33.8% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	sideboard	2 w 1.6	34.0% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Requiting Hex {B} $0.15	sideboard	2 w 1.7	35.1% raw 33.3%	0.55	1.50	Flex
Riverchurn Monument {1}{U} $0.50	sideboard	2 w 1.7	35.9% raw 33.3%	0.72	2.00	Flex
Tishana's Tidebinder {2}{U} $0.99	sideboard	2 w 1.5	30.3% raw 33.3%	0.61	2.00	Occasional
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $26.64	sideboard	2 w 1.5	32.2% raw 33.3%	0.49	1.50	Occasional
Break Under Pressure {2}{B}	main	1 w 0.7	14.5% raw 16.7%	0.14	1.00	Occasional
Deceit {4}{U/B}{U/B} $2.00	main	1 w 0.7	15.6% raw 16.7%	0.47	3.00	Occasional
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	18.1% raw 16.7%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
End of the Hunt {1}{B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.7	14.5% raw 16.7%	0.14	1.00	Occasional
Enduring Curiosity {2}{U}{U} $4.13	main	1 w 0.9	18.1% raw 16.7%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.8	16.4% raw 16.7%	0.49	3.00	Occasional
Fountainport $1.99	main	1 w 0.9	19.5% raw 16.7%	0.39	2.00	Occasional
Malcolm, Alluring Scoundrel {1}{U} $0.75	main	1 w 0.9	18.1% raw 16.7%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Negate {1}{U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.7	14.5% raw 16.7%	0.14	1.00	Occasional
Realm of Koh $0.10	main	1 w 0.7	14.5% raw 16.7%	0.29	2.00	Occasional
Refute {1}{U}{U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.7	14.5% raw 16.7%	0.58	4.00	Occasional
Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.14	main	1 w 0.8	15.8% raw 16.7%	0.48	3.00	Occasional
Ancient Vendetta {3}{B} $0.02	sideboard	1 w 0.9	18.1% raw 16.7%	0.36	2.00	Occasional
Cruelclaw's Heist {B}{B} $0.12	sideboard	1 w 0.8	15.8% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	sideboard	1 w 0.8	16.4% raw 16.7%	0.33	2.00	Occasional
Decorum Dissertation {3}{B}{B} $3.51	sideboard	1 w 0.8	15.8% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
M.O.D.O.K. {3}{B}{B} $1.50	sideboard	1 w 0.9	18.1% raw 16.7%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Nowhere to Run {1}{B} $0.20	sideboard	1 w 0.7	14.5% raw 16.7%	0.29	2.00	Occasional
Null Summoner {2}{U}{B}	sideboard	1 w 0.7	14.5% raw 16.7%	0.29	2.00	Occasional
Oildeep Gearhulk {U}{U}{B}{B} $0.53	sideboard	1 w 0.7	15.6% raw 16.7%	0.31	2.00	Occasional
Qarsi Revenant {1}{B}{B} $0.75	sideboard	1 w 0.8	15.8% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
Stock Up {2}{U} $0.25	sideboard	1 w 0.7	15.6% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional

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MirIamcurrentlygaming	Sol4r1s Communityturnier 2026	2026-10-18	30	2-4-0	Dimir	6%