Standard v3 Group 4D038A (Sphinx of False Conclusions, Vraska's Final Mercy) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:4d038a27a3725a auto group

3Decks in Window

3Tournaments

58.3%Record Win Rate

60.0% Actual Match WR · 5 matches 95% CI 23.1%–88.2%

58.3%Actual Game WR

14Best Rank

56.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 10 decks, 4 from cuts 95% CI 43.5%–69.5%

0.79× Cut conversion · 4 cut decks vs 6 expected

-0.2 Strength · how it works 6 full-field decks · 4 top-32 decks · 0 other

24% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 0% stock · coherence 80%

$138.15Consensus 75 Price · 59/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	10	100.0%	2.1
Duress {B} $0.01	10	100.0%	2.1
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	10	100.0%	1.8
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	10	100.0%	1.0
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	10	100.0%	3.3
Theorix Charm {U}{B}	10	100.0%	1.9
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	10	100.0%	1.9
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	10	100.0%	3.6
Countersculpt {U}{U}	10	100.0%	3.5
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	10	100.0%	0.7
Requiting Hex {B} $0.15	8	80.0%	3.1
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	8	80.0%	1.9

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	3

Consensus 75

3 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $138.15 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $105.63

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U}	33.3%
4	The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	66.7%
4	Requiting Hex {B} $0.15	66.7%	$0.15
3	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	66.7%	$0.09
1	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
4	Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	100.0%	$1.91
3	Countersculpt {U}{U}	66.7%
1	Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
1	Negate {1}{U} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
2	Plunder the Trollshaws {1}{U} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
3	Theorix Charm {U}{B}	66.7%
1	Break Under Pressure {2}{B}	33.3%
1	Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	33.3%
1	Duress {B} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
1	End of the Hunt {1}{B} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
3	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	66.7%	$0.19
2	Demolition Field $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
4	Gloomlake Verge $8.20	100.0%	$8.20
5	Island $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
4	Shipwreck Marsh $0.90	100.0%	$0.90
1	Swamp $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Theorist's Sanctum	66.7%
4	Undercity Sewers $7.00	66.7%	$7.00
4	Watery Grave $8.00	100.0%	$8.00

Sideboard · $32.52

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $26.64	66.7%	$26.64
2	Tishana's Tidebinder {2}{U} $0.99	66.7%	$0.99
1	Annul {U} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
1	Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
1	Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	33.3%	$0.01
1	Negate {1}{U} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Terminal Criticism {1}{B}	66.7%
2	Duress {B} $0.01	66.7%	$0.01
1	Cruelclaw's Heist {B}{B} $0.12	33.3%	$0.12
2	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	33.3%	$0.19
1	Decorum Dissertation {3}{B}{B} $3.51	33.3%	$3.51

Deck
1 Chandra, Chill of Compliance
4 The Theorist, Jace Beleren
4 Requiting Hex
3 Spell Snare
1 Bitter Triumph
4 Consult the Star Charts
3 Countersculpt
1 Feed the Cycle
1 Negate
2 Plunder the Trollshaws
3 Theorix Charm
1 Break Under Pressure
1 Jace's Machinations
1 Duress
1 End of the Hunt
3 Deadly Cover-Up
2 Demolition Field
4 Gloomlake Verge
5 Island
4 Shipwreck Marsh
1 Swamp
2 Theorist's Sanctum
4 Undercity Sewers
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Wan Shi Tong, Librarian
2 Tishana's Tidebinder
1 Annul
1 Disdainful Stroke
1 Flashfreeze
1 Negate
1 Terminal Criticism
2 Duress
1 Cruelclaw's Heist
2 Strategic Betrayal
1 Deadly Cover-Up
1 Decorum Dissertation

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $134.79 High $204.92 −$19.22 (-11.9%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$120$140$160$180$200$220

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$142.91 · ▼ 11.9% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Azorius Tempo	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Boros Dragons	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Izzet Spellementals	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 209665 (Firdoch Core, Unholy Annex // Ritual Chamber)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 3CBF54 (Formidable Speaker, The Seriema)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Gloomlake Verge $8.20	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.95	4.00	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.15	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.65	3.67	Core
Shipwreck Marsh $0.90	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.65	2.67	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.35	1.33	Core
Theorix Charm {U}{B}	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.03	3.00	Core
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.07	3.00	Core
Watery Grave $8.00	main	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.35	2.33	Core
Countersculpt {U}{U}	main	2 w 1.5	69.0% raw 66.7%	2.42	3.50	Flex
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	main	2 w 1.5	64.9% raw 66.7%	2.26	3.50	Flex
Demolition Field $0.01	main	2 w 1.5	66.1% raw 66.7%	1.32	2.00	Flex
Plunder the Trollshaws {1}{U} $0.01	main	2 w 1.5	64.9% raw 66.7%	1.61	2.50	Flex
Theorist's Sanctum	main	2 w 1.5	69.0% raw 66.7%	1.73	2.50	Flex
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	2 w 1.5	69.0% raw 66.7%	2.76	4.00	Flex
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.5	64.9% raw 66.7%	1.64	2.50	Flex
Negate {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.5	66.1% raw 66.7%	1.01	1.50	Flex
Terminal Criticism {1}{B}	sideboard	2 w 1.5	66.1% raw 66.7%	1.01	1.50	Flex
Tishana's Tidebinder {2}{U} $0.99	sideboard	2 w 1.5	64.9% raw 66.7%	1.30	2.00	Flex
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $26.64	sideboard	2 w 1.5	69.0% raw 66.7%	1.04	1.50	Flex
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.62	2.00	Occasional
Break Under Pressure {2}{B}	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.31	1.00	Occasional
Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U}	main	1 w 0.8	33.9% raw 33.3%	1.36	4.00	Occasional
Duress {B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.8	35.1% raw 33.3%	1.05	3.00	Flex
End of the Hunt {1}{B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.31	1.00	Occasional
Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.8	35.1% raw 33.3%	1.05	3.00	Flex
Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	main	1 w 0.8	35.1% raw 33.3%	1.40	4.00	Flex
Negate {1}{U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.31	1.00	Occasional
Petrified Hamlet $0.25	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.62	2.00	Occasional
Realm of Koh $0.10	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.62	2.00	Occasional
Refute {1}{U}{U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	1.24	4.00	Occasional
Restless Reef $0.89	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.62	2.00	Occasional
Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.14	main	1 w 0.8	33.9% raw 33.3%	1.02	3.00	Occasional
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	main	1 w 0.8	35.1% raw 33.3%	1.05	3.00	Flex
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.31	1.00	Occasional
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	main	1 w 0.8	35.1% raw 33.3%	0.70	2.00	Flex
Vraska's Final Mercy {B}{B}	main	1 w 0.8	33.9% raw 33.3%	0.68	2.00	Occasional
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $26.64	main	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.93	3.00	Occasional
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.62	2.00	Occasional
Cruelclaw's Heist {B}{B} $0.12	sideboard	1 w 0.8	33.9% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	sideboard	1 w 0.8	35.1% raw 33.3%	0.70	2.00	Flex
Decorum Dissertation {3}{B}{B} $3.51	sideboard	1 w 0.8	33.9% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.31	1.00	Occasional
Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.8	35.1% raw 33.3%	0.70	2.00	Flex
Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	sideboard	1 w 0.8	33.9% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Nowhere to Run {1}{B} $0.20	sideboard	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.62	2.00	Occasional
Null Summoner {2}{U}{B}	sideboard	1 w 0.7	31.0% raw 33.3%	0.62	2.00	Occasional
Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	sideboard	1 w 0.8	33.9% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Qarsi Revenant {1}{B}{B} $0.75	sideboard	1 w 0.8	33.9% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Riverchurn Monument {1}{U} $0.50	sideboard	1 w 0.8	35.1% raw 33.3%	0.70	2.00	Flex
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	1 w 0.8	33.9% raw 33.3%	0.68	2.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 3 of 3

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
Hughes, Dylan	$1K Standard RCQ - SCG CON Hartford - Friday - 10:00 am	2026-10-23	32	3-2-1	Dimir	30%
yamipino	Standard Challenge 16	2026-10-22	14	4-2-0	Dimir	21%
lmly	Standard Challenge 32	2026-10-19	32	2-2-0	Dimir	24%