Modern v3 Group 3BC17E (Unholy Heat, Expressive Iteration) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:3bc17e453f0941 auto group

6Decks in Window

6Tournaments

41.7%Record Win Rate

46.2% Actual Match WR · 13 matches 95% CI 23.2%–70.9%

47.1%Actual Game WR

10Best Rank

50.0% Adjusted WR (90d) · 15 decks, 2 from cuts 95% CI 36.5%–63.2%

0.84× Cut conversion · 3 cut decks vs 5 expected

-0.9 Strength · how it works 11 full-field decks · 3 top-32 decks · 4 other

9% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 50% stock · coherence 82%

$458.05Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $2.39	18	100.0%	3.889
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.50	18	100.0%	4.0
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	18	100.0%	3.111
Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	18	100.0%	4.0
Preordain {U} $0.01	18	100.0%	3.722
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	18	100.0%	2.611
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	18	100.0%	3.333
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	18	100.0%	3.111
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	15	83.3%	2.333
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $38.50	14	77.8%	1.333
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	13	72.2%	2.167
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $35.50	13	72.2%	2.389

Colors

Color	Decks
Izzet	3
Izzet splash	3

Consensus 75

6 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $458.05 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $439.51

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.50	100.0%	$0.50
2	Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $35.50	50.0%	$35.50
1	Thundertrap Trainer {1}{U} $0.25	50.0%	$0.25
3	Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	100.0%	$4.33
1	Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar $14.00	50.0%	$14.00
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	100.0%	$1.00
1	Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	50.0%	$0.09
4	Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $2.39	100.0%	$2.39
4	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
2	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	100.0%	$0.09
3	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	50.0%	$0.25
1	Manamorphose {1}{R/G} $2.50	50.0%	$2.50
2	Flare of Denial {1}{U}{U} $2.38	50.0%	$2.38
2	Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $38.50	66.7%	$38.50
4	Preordain {U} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Fiery Islet $3.16	100.0%	$3.16
3	Flooded Strand $13.00	66.7%	$13.00
1	Hallowed Fountain $5.50	50.0%	$5.50
2	Island $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Polluted Delta $17.99	83.3%	$17.99
1	Sacred Foundry $8.00	50.0%	$8.00
4	Scalding Tarn $31.75	100.0%	$31.75
1	Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs $6.83	50.0%	$6.83
1	Spirebluff Canal $2.75	50.0%	$2.75
2	Steam Vents $8.47	100.0%	$8.47
1	Thundering Falls $13.00	100.0%	$13.00

Sideboard · $18.54

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	66.7%	$0.39
1	Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $2.23	50.0%	$2.23
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	100.0%	$5.00
3	Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	100.0%	$2.30
1	Flusterstorm {U} $2.50	50.0%	$2.50
1	Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	50.0%	$0.05
1	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	50.0%	$0.09
1	Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	50.0%	$0.02
1	Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.92	50.0%	$0.92
1	Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
2	Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	83.3%	$0.19
1	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	83.3%	$0.05

Deck
4 Dragon's Rage Channeler
2 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
1 Thundertrap Trainer
3 Murktide Regent
1 Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar
4 Mishra's Bauble
1 Tormod's Crypt
4 Cori-Steel Cutter
4 Lightning Bolt
2 Spell Snare
3 Unholy Heat
2 Counterspell
1 Manamorphose
2 Flare of Denial
2 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
2 Expressive Iteration
1 Fiery Islet
3 Flooded Strand
1 Hallowed Fountain
2 Island
1 Polluted Delta
1 Sacred Foundry
4 Scalding Tarn
1 Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs
1 Spirebluff Canal
2 Steam Vents
1 Thundering Falls

Sideboard
1 Obsidian Charmaw
1 Teferi, Time Raveler
1 Blood Moon
3 Consign to Memory
1 Flusterstorm
1 Spell Pierce
1 Spell Snare
1 Stern Scolding
1 Surgical Extraction
1 Abrade
2 Mystical Dispute
1 Meltdown

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $471.59 High $509.69 −$9.96 (-2.1%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$470$480$490$500$510

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$471.59 · ▼ 2.1% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Affinity	2	2	0-2	0.0% 0.0%–65.8% CI	20.0%
Esper Blink	2	1	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	80.0%
Modern v3 Group 614C43 (Troll of Khazad-dûm, Dark Matter Manipulator)	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Boros Energy	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Broodscale Combo	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Domain Zoo	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Eldrazi Tron	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Modern v3 Group 66E82A (Duskwatch Recruiter // Krallenhorde Howler, Ouroboroid)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group CC5D63 (No More Lies, Ketramose, the New Dawn)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Neoform	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $2.39	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.50	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.07	3.00	Core
Fiery Islet $3.16	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $38.50	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.67	1.67	Core
Island $0.01	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.54	2.50	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Preordain {U} $0.01	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $35.50	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.61	2.50	Core
Scalding Tarn $31.75	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.54	2.50	Core
Steam Vents $8.47	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.54	2.50	Core
Thundering Falls $13.00	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	main	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	sideboard	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.54	3.50	Core
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	sideboard	6 w 5.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Flooded Strand $13.00	main	5 w 4.5	82.0% raw 83.3%	2.74	3.40	Core
Polluted Delta $17.99	main	5 w 4.5	82.0% raw 83.3%	1.18	1.40	Core
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	5 w 4.6	84.7% raw 83.3%	0.85	1.00	Core
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	sideboard	4 w 3.8	69.0% raw 66.7%	1.94	2.75	Flex
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	main	3 w 2.9	53.6% raw 50.0%	1.61	3.00	Flex
Flare of Denial {1}{U}{U} $2.38	main	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	1.39	3.00	Flex
Hallowed Fountain $5.50	main	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Manamorphose {1}{R/G} $2.50	main	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Sacred Foundry $8.00	main	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs $6.83	main	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Spirebluff Canal $2.75	main	3 w 2.9	53.6% raw 50.0%	0.72	1.33	Flex
Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar $14.00	main	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Thundertrap Trainer {1}{U} $0.25	main	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	1.39	3.00	Flex
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	main	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.9	53.6% raw 50.0%	0.54	1.00	Flex
Flusterstorm {U} $2.50	sideboard	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	sideboard	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.77	1.67	Flex
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	sideboard	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	sideboard	3 w 2.9	53.6% raw 50.0%	0.54	1.00	Flex
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.92	sideboard	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $2.23	sideboard	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.46	1.00	Flex
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	sideboard	3 w 2.9	53.6% raw 50.0%	0.54	1.00	Flex
Wear // Tear {1}{R} $0.61	sideboard	3 w 2.5	46.4% raw 50.0%	0.93	2.00	Flex
Misty Rainforest $32.00	main	2 w 2.0	36.0% raw 33.3%	0.90	2.50	Flex
Flashback {R} $1.96	main	1 w 0.8	15.3% raw 16.7%	0.15	1.00	Occasional
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	main	1 w 1.0	17.7% raw 16.7%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Fire Magic {R} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 1.0	17.7% raw 16.7%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Koth of the Hammer {2}{R}{R} $1.26	sideboard	1 w 0.8	15.3% raw 16.7%	0.15	1.00	Occasional
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 1.0	17.9% raw 16.7%	0.18	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 6 of 6

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
warpt	LDXPSAC26 10/24 3:30 PM Modern ReCQ	2026-10-24	10	1-1-0	Izzet	3%
Aychimunga	ReCQ - Modern - SCG CON Hartford - Saturday - 3:00 pm	2026-10-24	16	2-1-0	Izzet splash	15%
Aychimunga	ReCQ - Modern - SCG CON Hartford - Saturday - 12:00 pm	2026-10-24	42	0-1-0	Izzet splash	15%
JorgeCorpancho	South America Regional Championship Buenos Aires 2026	2026-10-24	59	6-3-0	Izzet	2%
Aychimunga	ReCQ - Modern - SCG CON Hartford - Friday - 1:00 pm	2026-10-23	19	0-1-0	Izzet splash	16%
Xsper	Modern Challenge 32	2026-10-20	12	4-2-0	Izzet	1%