Modern v3 Group 3BC17E (Unholy Heat, Counterspell) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:3bc17e453f0941 auto group

7Decks in Window

6Tournaments

39.5%Record Win Rate

40.7% Actual Match WR · 27 matches 95% CI 24.5%–59.3%

42.6%Actual Game WR

10Best Rank

45.2% Adjusted WR (90d) · 16 decks, 2 from cuts 95% CI 33.5%–57.2%

0.82× Cut conversion · 3 cut decks vs 5 expected

-2.0 Strength · how it works 12 full-field decks · 3 top-32 decks · 4 other

5% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 86% stock · coherence 85%

$501.09Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $2.39	19	100.0%	3.737
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.50	19	100.0%	4.0
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	19	100.0%	3.474
Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	19	100.0%	4.0
Preordain {U} $0.01	19	100.0%	3.737
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	19	100.0%	2.632
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	19	100.0%	2.842
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	19	100.0%	3.368
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	19	100.0%	3.211
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $38.50	14	73.7%	1.368
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	14	73.7%	2.211
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $35.50	14	73.7%	2.947

Colors

Color	Decks
Izzet	7

Consensus 75

7 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $501.09 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $485.16

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.50	100.0%	$0.50
4	Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $35.50	100.0%	$35.50
3	Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	100.0%	$4.33
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	100.0%	$1.00
4	Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $2.39	85.7%	$2.39
4	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
3	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	57.1%	$0.09
3	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	71.4%	$0.25
2	Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $38.50	71.4%	$38.50
4	Preordain {U} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
4	Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Fiery Islet $3.16	85.7%	$3.16
2	Flooded Strand $13.00	57.1%	$13.00
3	Island $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Polluted Delta $17.99	71.4%	$17.99
4	Scalding Tarn $31.75	85.7%	$31.75
2	Spirebluff Canal $2.75	71.4%	$2.75
3	Steam Vents $8.47	100.0%	$8.47
1	Thundering Falls $13.00	100.0%	$13.00

Sideboard · $15.93

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	85.7%	$0.39
1	Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	100.0%	$0.09
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	85.7%	$5.00
4	Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	71.4%	$2.30
1	Fire Magic {R} $0.01	57.1%	$0.01
1	Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	100.0%	$0.02
1	Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	57.1%	$0.01
2	Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	85.7%	$0.19
1	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	85.7%	$0.05

Deck
4 Dragon's Rage Channeler
4 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
3 Murktide Regent
4 Mishra's Bauble
4 Cori-Steel Cutter
4 Lightning Bolt
3 Spell Snare
3 Unholy Heat
3 Counterspell
2 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
4 Expressive Iteration
1 Fiery Islet
2 Flooded Strand
3 Island
2 Polluted Delta
4 Scalding Tarn
2 Spirebluff Canal
3 Steam Vents
1 Thundering Falls

Sideboard
3 Obsidian Charmaw
1 Tormod's Crypt
1 Blood Moon
4 Consign to Memory
1 Fire Magic
1 Stern Scolding
1 Abrade
2 Mystical Dispute
1 Meltdown

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $514.72 High $564.18 −$16.85 (-3.2%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$500$520$540$560$580

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$514.88 · ▼ 3.2% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Broodscale Combo	6	3	0-6	0.0% 0.0%–39.0% CI	14.3%
Esper Blink	3	2	3-0	100.0% 43.9%–100.0% CI	85.7%
Eldrazi Tron	2	2	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Izzet Prowess	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	40.0%
Modern v3 Group 614C43 (Troll of Khazad-dûm, Dark Matter Manipulator)	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	40.0%
Neoform	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	60.0%
Affinity	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Boros Energy	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Domain Zoo	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Grixis Reanimator	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group 37F897 (Pompous Battlemage // Improvised Act, Boomerang Basics)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group 66E82A (Duskwatch Recruiter // Krallenhorde Howler, Ouroboroid)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group 719E2A (Omnath, Locus of Creation, Birthing Ritual)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group CC5D63 (No More Lies, Ketramose, the New Dawn)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group CCE004 (Through the Breach, Yggdrasil, Rebirth Engine)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Modern v3 Group EB59AA (Stitcher's Supplier, Flare of Malice)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $2.39	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.60	3.57	Core
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.99	3.00	Core
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.50	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Preordain {U} $0.01	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $35.50	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Scalding Tarn $31.75	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.87	3.86	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.57	2.57	Core
Spirebluff Canal $2.75	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.98	2.00	Core
Steam Vents $8.47	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Thundering Falls $13.00	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	main	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.28	3.29	Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	sideboard	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.71	3.71	Core
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	sideboard	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.12	2.14	Core
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	sideboard	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.28	3.29	Core
Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	sideboard	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	sideboard	7 w 6.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.14	1.14	Core
Fiery Islet $3.16	main	6 w 5.8	86.7% raw 85.7%	0.87	1.00	Core
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $38.50	main	6 w 5.8	86.7% raw 85.7%	1.73	2.00	Core
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	6 w 5.8	86.7% raw 85.7%	0.87	1.00	Core
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	6 w 5.8	86.7% raw 85.7%	0.87	1.00	Core
Polluted Delta $17.99	main	5 w 4.7	71.0% raw 71.4%	1.99	2.80	Flex
Flooded Strand $13.00	main	4 w 3.8	56.6% raw 57.1%	1.56	2.75	Flex
Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.9	58.1% raw 57.1%	0.58	1.00	Flex
Fire Magic {R} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.8	56.3% raw 57.1%	0.85	1.50	Flex
Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	main	2 w 1.9	28.6% raw 28.6%	0.29	1.00	Occasional
Misty Rainforest $32.00	main	2 w 2.0	29.4% raw 28.6%	0.74	2.50	Occasional
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	main	2 w 1.8	27.8% raw 28.6%	0.41	1.50	Occasional
Test of Talents {1}{U} $0.08	sideboard	2 w 1.9	28.6% raw 28.6%	0.29	1.00	Occasional
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	main	1 w 0.9	13.3% raw 14.3%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Brazen Borrower // Petty Theft {1}{U} $0.33	sideboard	1 w 1.0	14.3% raw 14.3%	0.14	1.00	Occasional
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 1.0	14.6% raw 14.3%	0.15	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 7 of 7

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
beauboudreau	LDXPSAC26 10/25 9:00 AM Modern $5K 2-Slot RCQ	2026-10-25	39	1-3-0	Izzet	5%
Bullard, Timothy	$uper $unday RCQ - Modern - SCG CON Hartford - Sunday - 10:00 am	2026-10-25	84	0-2-0	Izzet	5%
warpt	LDXPSAC26 10/24 3:30 PM Modern ReCQ	2026-10-24	10	1-1-0	Izzet	4%
Friedman, Ian	LDXPSAC26 10/24 9:00 AM Modern 10K – 8 Slot RCQ	2026-10-24	64	3-4-0	Izzet	11%
Thompson, Jake	LDXPSAC26 10/24 9:00 AM Modern 10K – 8 Slot RCQ	2026-10-24	102	1-3-0	Izzet	5%
JorgeCorpancho	South America Regional Championship Buenos Aires 2026	2026-10-24	59	6-3-0	Izzet	2%
Xsper	Modern Challenge 32	2026-10-20	12	4-2-0	Izzet	2%