Standard v3 Group B4E360 (Sphinx of False Conclusions, Break Under Pressure) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:b4e360d3704a06 auto group

10Decks in Window

6Tournaments

55.9%Record Win Rate

46.7% Actual Match WR · 30 matches 95% CI 30.2%–63.9%

50.0%Actual Game WR

2Best Rank

58.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 10 decks, 3 from cuts 95% CI 45.8%–71.0%

0.78× Cut conversion · 3 cut decks vs 5 expected

+0.0 Strength · how it works 7 full-field decks · 3 top-32 decks · 1 other

2% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 70% stock · coherence 85%

$121.26Consensus 75 Price · 58/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	11	100.0%	4.0
Countersculpt {U}{U}	11	100.0%	4.0
Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	11	100.0%	2.727
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	11	100.0%	1.727
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	11	100.0%	3.909
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	11	100.0%	1.636
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	10	90.9%	3.545
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	10	90.9%	1.273
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	9	81.8%	1.273
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.24	9	81.8%	1.909
Break Under Pressure {2}{B}	7	63.6%	1.182
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	7	63.6%	1.182

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	9
Blue	1

Consensus 75

10 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $121.26 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $115.32

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.00	60.0%	$27.00
1	Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	90.0%
4	The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	90.0%
4	Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	90.0%	$0.20
1	Spell Snare {U} $0.08	100.0%	$0.08
2	Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	60.0%	$2.75
1	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	90.0%	$0.01
4	Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	100.0%	$1.91
4	Countersculpt {U}{U}	100.0%
2	Plunder the Trollshaws {1}{U} $0.01	60.0%	$0.01
1	Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.19	70.0%	$0.19
2	Break Under Pressure {2}{B}	60.0%
3	Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	70.0%
2	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	60.0%	$0.20
2	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.24	90.0%	$0.24
2	Demolition Field $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
4	Gloomlake Verge $8.29	90.0%	$8.29
2	Island $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Petrified Hamlet $0.25	80.0%	$0.25
4	Restless Reef $0.89	60.0%	$0.89
4	Shipwreck Marsh $0.99	80.0%	$0.99
2	Swamp $0.01	90.0%	$0.01
2	Theorist's Sanctum	90.0%
4	Watery Grave $7.99	90.0%	$7.99

Sideboard · $5.94

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
2	Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	80.0%	$2.25
2	Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
1	Terminal Criticism {1}{B}	90.0%
2	The End {2}{B}{B} $0.04	40.0%	$0.04
2	Duress {B} $0.01	70.0%	$0.01
1	Intimidation Tactics {B} $0.05	70.0%	$0.05
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	70.0%	$0.20
2	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.41	60.0%	$0.41
1	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.24	70.0%	$0.24

Deck
1 Wan Shi Tong, Librarian
1 Sphinx of False Conclusions
4 The Theorist, Jace Beleren
4 Requiting Hex
1 Spell Snare
2 Three Steps Ahead
1 Bitter Triumph
4 Consult the Star Charts
4 Countersculpt
2 Plunder the Trollshaws
1 Shoot the Sheriff
2 Break Under Pressure
3 Jace's Machinations
2 Day of Black Sun
2 Deadly Cover-Up
2 Demolition Field
4 Gloomlake Verge
2 Island
2 Petrified Hamlet
4 Restless Reef
4 Shipwreck Marsh
2 Swamp
2 Theorist's Sanctum
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
2 Torpor Orb
2 Disdainful Stroke
1 Flashfreeze
1 Terminal Criticism
2 The End
2 Duress
1 Intimidation Tactics
1 Day of Black Sun
2 Strategic Betrayal
1 Deadly Cover-Up

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $111.62 High $166.56 −$11.25 (-8.3%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$100$120$140$160$180

Jun 2026JulAugSepOct

$123.77 · ▼ 8.3% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Mono-Green Landfall	5	1	3-2	60.0% 23.1%–88.2% CI	53.8%
Dimir Excruciator	4	1	1-3	25.0% 4.6%–69.9% CI	40.0%
Azorius Momo	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Four-Color Control	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	60.0%
Standard v3 Group 3388E5 (Enduring Innocence, Voice of Victory)	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	40.0%
Standard v3 Group 9998FF (Chainsaw, Skateboard)	2	1	0-2	0.0% 0.0%–65.8% CI	33.3%
Token Sacrifice Combo	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	60.0%
Boros Dragons	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Dimir Midrange	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Izzet Spellementals	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Jeskai Lessons	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Standard v3 Group 209665 (Down, Down to Goblin-town, Iroh, Tea Master)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Standard v3 Group 59780F (Enlightened Confidant, Liliana the Faultless)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group 8E8522 (Captain Marvel, Earth's Protector, Jace's Machinations)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Standard v3 Group A6F208 (Corpses of the Lost, Forsaken Miner)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Standard v3 Group B3D3E5 (Jace's Machinations, Countersculpt)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Standard v3 Group EB7B77 (Uldaros Theorix, Kavaero, Mind-Bitten)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Sultai Reanimator	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	main	10 w 9.1	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Countersculpt {U}{U}	main	10 w 9.1	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Demolition Field $0.01	main	10 w 9.1	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.87	1.90	Core
Island $0.01	main	10 w 9.1	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.38	4.00	Core
Jace's Machinations {2}{U}	main	10 w 9.1	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.58	2.60	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	main	10 w 9.1	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.61	1.70	Core
Theorist's Sanctum	main	10 w 9.1	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.91	1.90	Core
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U}	main	10 w 9.1	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.94	3.90	Core
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	main	10 w 9.1	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.64	1.60	Core
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	main	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	1.41	1.56	Core
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.24	main	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	2.17	2.33	Core
Gloomlake Verge $8.29	main	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	3.75	4.00	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	main	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	3.75	4.00	Core
Restless Reef $0.89	main	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	3.17	3.33	Core
Shipwreck Marsh $0.99	main	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	3.66	3.89	Core
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	main	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	1.13	1.22	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	2.17	2.33	Core
Watery Grave $7.99	main	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	3.75	4.00	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.41	sideboard	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	1.59	1.67	Core
Terminal Criticism {1}{B}	sideboard	9 w 8.5	93.8% raw 90.0%	1.24	1.33	Core
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	9 w 8.2	90.7% raw 90.0%	1.72	1.89	Core
Petrified Hamlet $0.25	main	8 w 7.6	84.0% raw 80.0%	1.68	2.00	Core
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	8 w 7.6	83.7% raw 80.0%	1.38	1.62	Core
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	8 w 7.6	84.0% raw 80.0%	1.69	2.00	Core
Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	8 w 7.3	80.7% raw 80.0%	0.87	1.12	Core
Break Under Pressure {2}{B}	main	7 w 6.8	74.8% raw 70.0%	1.39	1.86	Flex
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	main	7 w 6.8	74.5% raw 70.0%	1.39	1.86	Flex
Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.19	main	7 w 6.8	74.8% raw 70.0%	0.75	1.00	Flex
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	sideboard	7 w 6.8	74.5% raw 70.0%	0.74	1.00	Flex
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.24	sideboard	7 w 6.7	73.9% raw 70.0%	0.74	1.00	Flex
Intimidation Tactics {B} $0.05	sideboard	7 w 6.8	74.8% raw 70.0%	0.75	1.00	Flex
Plunder the Trollshaws {1}{U} $0.01	main	6 w 5.9	64.7% raw 60.0%	1.29	2.00	Flex
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.00	main	6 w 5.9	64.7% raw 60.0%	0.65	1.00	Flex
The End {2}{B}{B} $0.04	sideboard	6 w 5.7	63.3% raw 60.0%	1.06	1.67	Flex
Tishana's Tidebinder {2}{U} $0.80	sideboard	3 w 2.4	26.6% raw 30.0%	0.43	1.67	Occasional
Duress {B} $0.01	main	2 w 1.7	19.0% raw 20.0%	0.57	3.00	Occasional
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	2 w 1.8	19.3% raw 20.0%	0.29	1.50	Occasional
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.8	19.9% raw 20.0%	0.40	2.00	Occasional
Garruk, Veiled Butcher {3}{B}{B}	sideboard	2 w 2.0	21.5% raw 20.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	sideboard	2 w 1.8	19.9% raw 20.0%	0.20	1.00	Occasional
Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	sideboard	2 w 1.8	19.9% raw 20.0%	0.20	1.00	Occasional
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U}	sideboard	2 w 1.5	16.0% raw 20.0%	0.22	1.50	Occasional
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.00	sideboard	2 w 1.5	16.3% raw 20.0%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
Aetherize {3}{U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.18	3.00	Occasional
Agna Qel'a $0.21	main	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.06	1.00	Occasional
Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U}	main	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.06	1.00	Occasional
Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.83	main	1 w 1.0	10.7% raw 10.0%	0.11	1.00	Occasional
Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.05	main	1 w 0.9	10.1% raw 10.0%	0.10	1.00	Occasional
Fountainport $1.69	main	1 w 0.9	9.8% raw 10.0%	0.20	2.00	Occasional
Into the Flood Maw {U} $1.38	main	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.12	2.00	Occasional
Jace, Reality Sculptor {3}{U}{U}	main	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.18	3.00	Occasional
Jace Reawakened {U}{U} $0.97	main	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.12	2.00	Occasional
Long River's Pull {U}{U} $0.12	main	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.25	4.00	Occasional
Mistrise Village $5.00	main	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Nowhere to Run {1}{B} $0.19	main	1 w 0.9	10.1% raw 10.0%	0.10	1.00	Occasional
Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	main	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.41	main	1 w 0.9	9.8% raw 10.0%	0.10	1.00	Occasional
The End {2}{B}{B} $0.04	main	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Twinned Vision {1}{U/R}	main	1 w 0.9	10.1% raw 10.0%	0.10	1.00	Occasional
Unable to Scream {U} $0.07	main	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.12	2.00	Occasional
Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.83	sideboard	1 w 0.9	10.1% raw 10.0%	0.10	1.00	Occasional
Feed the Swarm {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Floodpits Drowner {1}{U} $0.11	sideboard	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.12	2.00	Occasional
Fresh Start {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.06	1.00	Occasional
Glen Elendra Guardian {2}{U} $0.11	sideboard	1 w 0.9	9.8% raw 10.0%	0.10	1.00	Occasional
Mazemind Tome {2} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Negate {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Overwrite the Multiverse {4}{B}{B}	sideboard	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Precise Redaction {1}{U}	sideboard	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Samut, Tyrant of Naktamun {1}{U}	sideboard	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Soul-Guide Lantern {1} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.19	2.00	Occasional
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	sideboard	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.06	1.00	Occasional
Uldaros Theorix {3}{U}{B}{B}	sideboard	1 w 0.8	9.3% raw 10.0%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Unable to Scream {U} $0.07	sideboard	1 w 0.6	6.2% raw 10.0%	0.12	2.00	Occasional

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