Vintage v3 Group EBC42F (Misdirection, Paradoxical Outcome) ⤴ Share image

Vintage Last 7 days v3_fpg:ebc42f68bcac95 auto group

6Decks in Window

3Tournaments

61.1%Record Win Rate

0.0% Actual Match WR · 2 matches 95% CI 0.0%–65.8%

20.0%Actual Game WR

5Best Rank

64.2% Adjusted WR (90d) · 19 decks, 7 from cuts 95% CI 53.8%–73.8%

0.97× Cut conversion · 9 cut decks vs 9 expected

+2.9 Strength · how it works 10 full-field decks · 9 top-32 decks · 0 other

1% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 88%

$68,556.18Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Manifold Key {1} $0.94	19	100.0%	1.0
Misdirection {3}{U}{U} $10.81	19	100.0%	3.368
Paradoxical Outcome {3}{U} $0.04	19	100.0%	4.0
Sink into Stupor $6.75	19	100.0%	4.0
Time Vault {2} $1,094.01	19	100.0%	1.0
Tinker {2}{U} $0.95	19	100.0%	1.0
Ancestral Recall {U} $5,000.00	19	100.0%	1.0
Black Lotus {0} $20,000.00	19	100.0%	1.0
Force of Will {3}{U}{U} $53.72	19	100.0%	4.0
Karn, the Great Creator {4} $2.10	19	100.0%	1.0
Mana Crypt {0} $32.95	19	100.0%	1.0
Mana Vault {1} $84.42	19	100.0%	1.0
Mental Misstep {U/P} $4.27	19	100.0%	1.0
Mox Emerald {0} $3,900.00	19	100.0%	1.0
Mox Jet {0} $3,880.00	19	100.0%	1.0
Mox Pearl {0} $2,750.99	19	100.0%	1.0

Colors

Color	Decks
Blue	6

Consensus 75

6 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $68,556.18 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $68,546.00

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Phyrexian Metamorph {3}{U/P} $1.40	100.0%	$1.40
1	Tezzeret, Cruel Captain {3} $18.47	50.0%	$18.47
1	Karn, the Great Creator {4} $2.10	100.0%	$2.10
1	Black Lotus {0} $20,000.00	100.0%	$20,000.00
1	Mana Crypt {0} $32.95	100.0%	$32.95
1	Mox Emerald {0} $3,900.00	100.0%	$3,900.00
1	Mox Jet {0} $3,880.00	100.0%	$3,880.00
1	Mox Pearl {0} $2,750.99	100.0%	$2,750.99
1	Mox Ruby {0} $3,862.50	100.0%	$3,862.50
1	Mox Sapphire {0} $5,000.00	100.0%	$5,000.00
1	Mana Vault {1} $84.42	100.0%	$84.42
1	Manifold Key {1} $0.94	100.0%	$0.94
1	Sol Ring {1} $0.66	100.0%	$0.66
1	Vexing Bauble {1} $1.25	100.0%	$1.25
1	Grim Monolith {2} $450.00	50.0%	$450.00
1	Time Vault {2} $1,094.01	100.0%	$1,094.01
1	Trinisphere {3} $29.05	83.3%	$29.05
4	The One Ring {4} $96.85	100.0%	$96.85
4	Coveted Jewel {6} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Urza's Saga $30.22	100.0%	$30.22
1	Ancestral Recall {U} $5,000.00	100.0%	$5,000.00
1	Mental Misstep {U/P} $4.27	100.0%	$4.27
4	Paradoxical Outcome {3}{U} $0.04	100.0%	$0.04
4	Force of Will {3}{U}{U} $53.72	100.0%	$53.72
4	Misdirection {3}{U}{U} $10.81	100.0%	$10.81
1	Time Walk {1}{U} $4,500.00	100.0%	$4,500.00
1	Tinker {2}{U} $0.95	100.0%	$0.95
4	Ancient Tomb $113.29	100.0%	$113.29
4	Mishra's Workshop $4,150.00	100.0%	$4,150.00
1	Otawara, Soaring City $25.76	100.0%	$25.76
4	Sink into Stupor $6.75	100.0%	$6.75
1	Snow-Covered Island $0.49	100.0%	$0.49
1	Tolarian Academy $145.49	100.0%	$145.49

Sideboard · $10.18

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Azure Beastbinder {1}{U} $0.14	100.0%	$0.14
4	Argentum Masticore {5} $0.07	100.0%	$0.07
1	Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	50.0%	$0.09
1	Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.09	50.0%	$1.09
1	Pithing Needle {1} $0.20	50.0%	$0.20
4	Commandeer {5}{U}{U} $1.99	100.0%	$1.99

Deck
4 Phyrexian Metamorph
1 Tezzeret, Cruel Captain
1 Karn, the Great Creator
1 Black Lotus
1 Mana Crypt
1 Mox Emerald
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Pearl
1 Mox Ruby
1 Mox Sapphire
1 Mana Vault
1 Manifold Key
1 Sol Ring
1 Vexing Bauble
1 Grim Monolith
1 Time Vault
1 Trinisphere
4 The One Ring
4 Coveted Jewel
1 Urza's Saga
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Mental Misstep
4 Paradoxical Outcome
4 Force of Will
4 Misdirection
1 Time Walk
1 Tinker
4 Ancient Tomb
4 Mishra's Workshop
1 Otawara, Soaring City
4 Sink into Stupor
1 Snow-Covered Island
1 Tolarian Academy

Sideboard
4 Azure Beastbinder
4 Argentum Masticore
1 Tormod's Crypt
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Pithing Needle
4 Commandeer

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $56360.66 High $68580.87 +$10843.41 (18.8%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$55,000$60,000$65,000$70,000

Jun 2026JulAugSepOct

$68,580.87 · ▲ 18.8% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Vintage v3 Group 3BE033 (Doomsday, Gush)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Vintage v3 Group 69C0DF (Phyrexian Metamorph, Coveted Jewel)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Ancestral Recall {U} $5,000.00	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Ancient Tomb $113.29	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Black Lotus {0} $20,000.00	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Coveted Jewel {6} $0.01	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Force of Will {3}{U}{U} $53.72	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Karn, the Great Creator {4} $2.10	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mana Crypt {0} $32.95	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mana Vault {1} $84.42	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Manifold Key {1} $0.94	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mental Misstep {U/P} $4.27	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Misdirection {3}{U}{U} $10.81	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mishra's Workshop $4,150.00	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mox Emerald {0} $3,900.00	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mox Jet {0} $3,880.00	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mox Pearl {0} $2,750.99	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mox Ruby {0} $3,862.50	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Mox Sapphire {0} $5,000.00	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Otawara, Soaring City $25.76	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.50	1.50	Core
Paradoxical Outcome {3}{U} $0.04	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Phyrexian Metamorph {3}{U/P} $1.40	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Sink into Stupor $6.75	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Snow-Covered Island $0.49	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Sol Ring {1} $0.66	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
The One Ring {4} $96.85	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Time Vault {2} $1,094.01	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Time Walk {1}{U} $4,500.00	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Tinker {2}{U} $0.95	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Tolarian Academy $145.49	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Urza's Saga $30.22	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Vexing Bauble {1} $1.25	main	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Argentum Masticore {5} $0.07	sideboard	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Azure Beastbinder {1}{U} $0.14	sideboard	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Commandeer {5}{U}{U} $1.99	sideboard	6 w 5.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Trinisphere {3} $29.05	main	5 w 4.9	83.6% raw 83.3%	0.84	1.00	Core
Grim Monolith {2} $450.00	main	3 w 2.9	49.8% raw 50.0%	0.83	1.67	Flex
Tezzeret, Cruel Captain {3} $18.47	main	3 w 3.0	50.2% raw 50.0%	0.50	1.00	Flex
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.09	sideboard	3 w 3.0	50.2% raw 50.0%	0.50	1.00	Flex
Pithing Needle {1} $0.20	sideboard	3 w 3.0	50.2% raw 50.0%	0.50	1.00	Flex
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	sideboard	3 w 3.0	50.2% raw 50.0%	0.50	1.00	Flex
Wurmcoil Engine {6} $6.99	sideboard	3 w 2.9	49.8% raw 50.0%	1.49	3.00	Flex
Lotus Petal {0} $24.00	main	1 w 1.0	16.4% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
The Fantasticar {3} $0.30	main	1 w 1.0	16.4% raw 16.7%	0.16	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 6 of 6

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
Xwhale	Vintage Challenge 32	2026-10-31	12	4-2-0	Blue	1%
Munchlax446	Vintage Challenge 32	2026-10-31	29	2-4-0	Blue	3%
Munchlax446	Vintage Challenge 16	2026-10-29	5	5-1-0	Blue	2%
Munchlax446	Vintage Challenge 16	2026-10-29	5	5-1-0	Blue	2%
LucasG1ggs	Vintage Challenge 16	2026-10-29	8	3-3-0	Blue	1%
LucasG1ggs	Vintage Challenge 16	2026-10-29	8	3-3-0	Blue	1%