Modern v3 Group 66D273 (Murktide Regent, Unholy Heat) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:66d273b4eb5659 auto group

4Decks in Window

3Tournaments

37.5%Record Win Rate

30.8% Actual Match WR · 13 matches 95% CI 12.7%–57.6%

38.2%Actual Game WR

2Best Rank

45.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 21 decks, 5 from cuts 95% CI 35.5%–56.2%

0.82× Cut conversion · 4 cut decks vs 6 expected

-2.0 Strength · how it works 15 full-field decks · 4 top-32 decks · 7 other

3% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 75% stock · coherence 84%

$503.54Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66	26	100.0%	3.885
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	26	100.0%	3.577
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	26	100.0%	3.692
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.99	26	100.0%	3.885
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	26	100.0%	2.846
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	26	100.0%	3.308
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	25	96.2%	2.346
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	24	92.3%	1.654
Preordain {U} $0.40	24	92.3%	3.577
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $32.12	24	92.3%	3.192
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	22	84.6%	2.692
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $2.63	21	80.8%	3.0

Colors

Color	Decks
Izzet	3
Izzet splash	1

Consensus 75

4 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $503.54 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $489.85

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66	100.0%	$0.66
4	Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $32.12	75.0%	$32.12
3	Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	75.0%	$4.33
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.99	100.0%	$0.99
4	Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $2.63	100.0%	$2.63
4	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
2	Spell Snare {U} $0.08	100.0%	$0.08
3	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	75.0%	$0.25
2	Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	75.0%	$39.29
4	Preordain {U} $0.40	100.0%	$0.40
4	Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	75.0%	$0.01
1	Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	50.0%	$0.75
1	Fiery Islet $3.18	100.0%	$3.18
3	Flooded Strand $13.00	50.0%	$13.00
3	Island $0.01	75.0%	$0.01
2	Polluted Delta $18.00	50.0%	$18.00
4	Scalding Tarn $31.75	100.0%	$31.75
2	Spirebluff Canal $2.71	75.0%	$2.71
3	Steam Vents $8.59	75.0%	$8.59
1	Thundering Falls $12.80	100.0%	$12.80

Sideboard · $13.69

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	75.0%	$0.39
1	Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	75.0%	$0.09
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	100.0%	$5.00
3	Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	100.0%	$2.30
2	Fire Magic {R} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	75.0%	$0.02
1	Test of Talents {1}{U} $0.08	50.0%	$0.08
2	Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.18	50.0%	$0.18
1	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	75.0%	$0.05

Deck
4 Dragon's Rage Channeler
4 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
3 Murktide Regent
4 Mishra's Bauble
4 Cori-Steel Cutter
4 Lightning Bolt
2 Spell Snare
3 Unholy Heat
2 Counterspell
2 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
4 Expressive Iteration
1 Flow State
1 Fiery Islet
3 Flooded Strand
3 Island
2 Polluted Delta
4 Scalding Tarn
2 Spirebluff Canal
3 Steam Vents
1 Thundering Falls

Sideboard
3 Obsidian Charmaw
1 Tormod's Crypt
1 Blood Moon
3 Consign to Memory
2 Fire Magic
1 Stern Scolding
1 Test of Talents
2 Mystical Dispute
1 Meltdown

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $502.11 High $580.49 −$30.21 (-5.5%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$500$520$540$560$580$600

Jun 2026JulAugSepOct

$517.11 · ▼ 5.5% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Izzet Prowess	3	2	0-3	0.0% 0.0%–56.1% CI	14.3%
Eldrazi Tron	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	40.0%
Boros Energy	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Broodscale Combo	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group 070BD7 (The Theorist, Jace Beleren, Silence)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Modern v3 Group 37F897 (Pompous Battlemage // Improvised Act, Boomerang Basics)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group 614C43 (Troll of Khazad-dûm, Fear of Missing Out)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group 815D14 (Silence, Erode)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Modern v3 Group EB59AA (Stitcher's Supplier, Flare of Malice)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Neoform	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $2.63	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.58	3.50	Core
Fiery Islet $3.18	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.79	1.75	Core
Island $0.01	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.79	2.75	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.99	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.79	2.75	Core
Preordain {U} $0.40	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Scalding Tarn $31.75	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Steam Vents $8.59	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.79	2.75	Core
Thundering Falls $12.80	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.52	3.50	Core
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	sideboard	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.26	3.25	Core
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.18	sideboard	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.48	1.50	Core
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	sideboard	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.10	3.00	Core
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	main	3 w 2.9	79.0% raw 75.0%	2.11	2.67	Core
Polluted Delta $18.00	main	3 w 2.7	73.5% raw 75.0%	2.31	3.00	Flex
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $32.12	main	3 w 2.9	79.0% raw 75.0%	3.16	4.00	Core
Spirebluff Canal $2.71	main	3 w 2.9	79.0% raw 75.0%	1.58	2.00	Core
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	3 w 2.9	79.0% raw 75.0%	0.79	1.00	Core
Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	sideboard	3 w 2.9	79.0% raw 75.0%	0.79	1.00	Core
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	sideboard	3 w 2.9	79.0% raw 75.0%	1.05	1.33	Core
Flooded Strand $13.00	main	2 w 1.8	47.5% raw 50.0%	1.90	4.00	Flex
Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	main	2 w 1.9	52.5% raw 50.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex
Fire Magic {R} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.9	52.5% raw 50.0%	1.05	2.00	Flex
Test of Talents {1}{U} $0.08	sideboard	2 w 1.9	52.5% raw 50.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex
Flare of Denial {1}{U}{U} $1.98	main	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.63	3.00	Occasional
Flashback {R} $2.25	main	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Hallowed Fountain $5.84	main	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Manamorphose {1}{R/G} $2.24	main	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Sacred Foundry $8.00	main	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs $7.38	main	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar $13.00	main	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.63	3.00	Occasional
Thundertrap Trainer {1}{U} $0.25	main	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.63	3.00	Occasional
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	main	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 1.0	26.5% raw 25.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Flusterstorm {U} $2.50	sideboard	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	sideboard	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.42	2.00	Occasional
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	sideboard	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.91	sideboard	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $3.50	sideboard	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.21	1.00	Occasional
Wear // Tear {1}{R} $0.41	sideboard	1 w 0.8	21.0% raw 25.0%	0.42	2.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

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Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
beauboudreau	LDXPSAC26 10/25 1:30 PM Modern ReCQ	2026-10-25	2	3-0-0	Izzet	3%
beauboudreau	LDXPSAC26 10/25 9:00 AM Modern $5K 2-Slot RCQ	2026-10-25	39	1-3-0	Izzet	3%
Aychimunga	$uper $unday RCQ - Modern - SCG CON Hartford - Sunday - 10:00 am	2026-10-25	58	1-3-0	Izzet splash	22%
Bullard, Timothy	$uper $unday RCQ - Modern - SCG CON Hartford - Sunday - 10:00 am	2026-10-25	84	0-2-0	Izzet	2%