Modern v3 Group 40AFEF (Nihil Spellbomb, Troll of Khazad-dûm) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:40afefc827e70a auto group

16Decks in Window

12Tournaments

62.2%Record Win Rate

0.0% Actual Match WR · 2 matches 95% CI 0.0%–65.8%

20.0%Actual Game WR

6Best Rank

56.5% Adjusted WR (90d) · 238 decks, 105 from cuts 95% CI 53.5%–59.5%

2.22× Cut conversion · 111 cut decks vs 47 expected

+7.6 Strength · how it works 116 full-field decks · 111 top-32 decks · 78 other

1% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 97%

$391.39Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	308	100.0%	1.013
Dark Matter Manipulator {B} $3.00	308	100.0%	4.0
Fear of Missing Out {1}{R} $1.49	308	100.0%	3.99
Moonshadow {B} $19.00	308	100.0%	4.0
Nethergoyf {B} $5.00	308	100.0%	3.994
Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.30	308	100.0%	1.977
Detective's Phoenix {2}{R} $0.15	308	100.0%	4.0
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	308	100.0%	3.974
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75	308	100.0%	4.0
Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.06	308	100.0%	4.0
Thoughtseize {B} $4.98	308	100.0%	3.997
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	308	100.0%	1.984

Colors

Color	Decks
Rakdos	16

Consensus 75

16 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $391.39 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $380.96

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Dark Matter Manipulator {B} $3.00	100.0%	$3.00
4	Moonshadow {B} $19.00	100.0%	$19.00
4	Nethergoyf {B} $5.00	100.0%	$5.00
4	Fear of Missing Out {1}{R} $1.49	100.0%	$1.49
4	Detective's Phoenix {2}{R} $0.15	100.0%	$0.15
4	Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.06	100.0%	$0.06
2	Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.30	100.0%	$0.30
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75	100.0%	$0.75
1	Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.92	100.0%	$1.92
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	100.0%	$5.00
1	Fatal Push {B} $0.15	100.0%	$0.15
4	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
2	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
4	Thoughtseize {B} $4.98	100.0%	$4.98
1	Arid Mesa $22.25	81.2%	$22.25
3	Blood Crypt $6.99	100.0%	$6.99
4	Bloodstained Mire $16.98	100.0%	$16.98
3	Marsh Flats $28.00	50.0%	$28.00
1	Mountain $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Raucous Theater $7.99	100.0%	$7.99
2	Swamp $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Verdant Catacombs $24.00	93.8%	$24.00

Sideboard · $10.43

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Ingot Chewer {4}{R} $0.01	75.0%	$0.01
2	Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	62.5%	$0.39
1	Ob Nixilis, the Adversary {1}{B}{R} $0.90	75.0%	$0.90
1	Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.08	81.2%	$1.08
1	Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.92	100.0%	$1.92
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	68.8%	$5.00
1	Fatal Push {B} $0.15	87.5%	$0.15
2	Inquisition of Kozilek {B} $0.22	56.2%	$0.22
2	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	81.2%	$0.05
1	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	68.8%	$0.01
2	Glistening Deluge {1}{B}{B} $0.02	81.2%	$0.02

Deck
4 Dark Matter Manipulator
4 Moonshadow
4 Nethergoyf
4 Fear of Missing Out
4 Detective's Phoenix
4 Street Wraith
2 Troll of Khazad-dûm
4 Mishra's Bauble
1 Nihil Spellbomb
1 Blood Moon
1 Fatal Push
4 Lightning Bolt
2 Unholy Heat
4 Thoughtseize
1 Arid Mesa
3 Blood Crypt
4 Bloodstained Mire
3 Marsh Flats
1 Mountain
2 Raucous Theater
2 Swamp
1 Verdant Catacombs

Sideboard
1 Ingot Chewer
2 Obsidian Charmaw
1 Ob Nixilis, the Adversary
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Nihil Spellbomb
1 Blood Moon
1 Fatal Push
2 Inquisition of Kozilek
2 Meltdown
1 Strategic Betrayal
2 Glistening Deluge

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $328.92 High $390.06 +$52.80 (15.7%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$320$340$360$380$400

Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$390.06 · ▲ 15.7% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Amulet Titan	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Jeskai Control	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Blood Crypt $6.99	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Bloodstained Mire $16.98	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Dark Matter Manipulator {B} $3.00	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Detective's Phoenix {2}{R} $0.15	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Fatal Push {B} $0.15	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Fear of Missing Out {1}{R} $1.49	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.10	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Marsh Flats $28.00	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.12	2.12	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Moonshadow {B} $19.00	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mountain $0.01	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Nethergoyf {B} $5.00	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.92	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Raucous Theater $7.99	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.06	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.13	2.12	Core
Thoughtseize {B} $4.98	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.30	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	main	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.94	1.94	Core
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.92	sideboard	16 w 15.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Verdant Catacombs $24.00	main	15 w 14.9	93.8% raw 93.8%	1.25	1.33	Core
Fatal Push {B} $0.15	sideboard	14 w 13.9	87.5% raw 87.5%	0.88	1.00	Core
Arid Mesa $22.25	main	13 w 12.9	81.3% raw 81.2%	0.81	1.00	Core
Glistening Deluge {1}{B}{B} $0.02	sideboard	13 w 12.9	81.3% raw 81.2%	1.63	2.00	Core
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.08	sideboard	13 w 12.9	81.3% raw 81.2%	0.94	1.15	Core
Ingot Chewer {4}{R} $0.01	sideboard	12 w 11.9	74.9% raw 75.0%	0.75	1.00	Flex
Ob Nixilis, the Adversary {1}{B}{R} $0.90	sideboard	12 w 11.9	74.9% raw 75.0%	1.31	1.75	Flex
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	11 w 10.9	68.7% raw 68.8%	0.69	1.00	Flex
Inquisition of Kozilek {B} $0.22	sideboard	11 w 10.9	68.7% raw 68.8%	1.44	2.09	Flex
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	11 w 10.9	68.8% raw 68.8%	0.87	1.27	Flex
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	sideboard	10 w 10.0	62.5% raw 62.5%	1.81	2.90	Flex
End of the Hunt {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	8 w 8.0	50.0% raw 50.0%	0.62	1.25	Flex
Polluted Delta $18.00	main	7 w 7.0	43.7% raw 43.8%	0.56	1.29	Flex
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.40	sideboard	4 w 4.0	25.1% raw 25.0%	0.31	1.25	Occasional
Wooded Foothills $14.99	main	2 w 2.0	12.5% raw 12.5%	0.12	1.00	Occasional
Break the Ice {B}{B} $0.05	sideboard	2 w 2.0	12.5% raw 12.5%	0.25	2.00	Occasional
Liliana of the Veil {1}{B}{B} $3.25	sideboard	2 w 2.0	12.5% raw 12.5%	0.12	1.00	Occasional
Leyline of the Void {2}{B}{B} $0.24	sideboard	1 w 1.0	6.2% raw 6.2%	0.25	4.00	Occasional
Sheoldred's Edict {1}{B} $0.64	sideboard	1 w 1.0	6.2% raw 6.2%	0.06	1.00	Occasional
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 1.0	6.2% raw 6.2%	0.12	2.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 16 of 16

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
LucasG1ggs	Modern Challenge 32	2026-11-04	24	3-3-0	Rakdos	—
MarcoIa	Modern Challenge 32	2026-11-03	27	3-3-0	Rakdos	—
LucasG1ggs	Modern Challenge 32	2026-11-03	32	2-4-0	Rakdos	—
jeunejulio	Modern Challenge 16	2026-11-03	6	5-2-0	Rakdos	1%
komattaman	Modern Challenge 16	2026-11-03	11	4-2-0	Rakdos	1%
Lapsy	Modern League	2026-11-03		5-0-0	Rakdos	—
Jaykobee	Modern League	2026-11-03		5-0-0	Rakdos	—
_Batutinha_	Modern Challenge 32	2026-11-02	10	4-2-0	Rakdos	0%
C_Eastwood	Modern Challenge 32	2026-11-02	17	4-2-0	Rakdos	1%
kin suen, lee	MIT Championship 台灣冠軍賽-第十三輪	2026-11-01	72	0-1-0	Rakdos	1%
Sturvedog	Modern League	2026-11-01		5-0-0	Rakdos	0%
Kako_Ferrer	Modern Challenge 32	2026-10-31	19	4-3-0	Rakdos	0%
ProggyBoog	Modern Challenge 16	2026-10-31	26	0-2-0	Rakdos	0%
kasa	Modern Challenge 32	2026-10-31	13	4-2-0	Rakdos	1%
Rashek	Modern Challenge 32	2026-10-30	20	4-2-0	Rakdos	1%
Jaykobee	Modern League	2026-10-30		5-0-0	Rakdos	1%