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Modern v3 Group 40AFEF (Nihil Spellbomb, Troll of Khazad-dûm) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:40afefc827e70a auto group
18Decks in Window
13Tournaments
56.6%Record Win Rate
0.0% Actual Match WR · 3 matches 95% CI 0.0%–56.1%
14.3%Actual Game WR
6Best Rank
56.2% Adjusted WR (90d) · 242 decks, 105 from cuts 95% CI 53.2%–59.2%
2.24× Cut conversion · 114 cut decks vs 48 expected
+7.5 Strength · how it works 118 full-field decks · 114 top-32 decks · 80 other
1% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 97%
$381.26Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Metagame Share Trend

Each point is this archetype's share of all Modern decks over the previous 7 days latest 2.7% (659 decks in window) peak 5.5% on 2026-10-31 -2.8 pp since 2026-10-31

0%2%3%5%6%
Oct 31Nov 02Nov 04Nov 06
7-day metagame share 0.0

Signature Cards

CardDecksShareAvg Copies
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00 312 100.0% 1.016
Dark Matter Manipulator {B} $3.00 312 100.0% 4.0
Fear of Missing Out {1}{R} $1.49 312 100.0% 3.99
Moonshadow {B} $20.04 312 100.0% 4.0
Nethergoyf {B} $6.86 312 100.0% 3.994
Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.38 312 100.0% 1.978
Detective's Phoenix {2}{R} $0.15 312 100.0% 4.0
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.21 312 100.0% 3.974
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75 312 100.0% 4.0
Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.06 312 100.0% 4.0
Thoughtseize {B} $5.07 312 100.0% 3.997
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01 312 100.0% 1.984

Colors

ColorDecks
Rakdos 18

Consensus 75

18 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $381.26 current botbox price

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $370.39

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
4 Dark Matter Manipulator {B} $3.00 100.0% $3.00
4 Moonshadow {B} $20.04 100.0% $20.04
4 Nethergoyf {B} $6.86 100.0% $6.86
4 Fear of Missing Out {1}{R} $1.49 100.0% $1.49
4 Detective's Phoenix {2}{R} $0.15 100.0% $0.15
4 Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.06 100.0% $0.06
2 Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.38 100.0% $0.38
4 Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75 100.0% $0.75
1 Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.40 100.0% $1.40
1 Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00 100.0% $5.00
1 Fatal Push {B} $0.15 94.4% $0.15
4 Lightning Bolt {R} $0.21 100.0% $0.21
2 Unholy Heat {R} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Thoughtseize {B} $5.07 100.0% $5.07
1 Arid Mesa $22.25 88.9% $22.25
3 Blood Crypt $7.00 100.0% $7.00
4 Bloodstained Mire $12.92 100.0% $12.92
2 Marsh Flats $28.70 50.0% $28.70
1 Mountain $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Polluted Delta $18.20 44.4% $18.20
2 Raucous Theater $8.99 100.0% $8.99
2 Swamp $0.01 100.0% $0.01
1 Verdant Catacombs $24.00 94.4% $24.00

Sideboard · $10.87

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
1 Ingot Chewer {4}{R} $0.01 66.7% $0.01
2 Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.88 61.1% $0.88
1 Ob Nixilis, the Adversary {1}{B}{R} $0.90 66.7% $0.90
1 Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.06 77.8% $1.06
1 Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.40 100.0% $1.40
1 Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00 72.2% $5.00
1 Fatal Push {B} $0.15 88.9% $0.15
2 Inquisition of Kozilek {B} $0.22 66.7% $0.22
2 Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05 77.8% $0.05
1 Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01 66.7% $0.01
2 Glistening Deluge {1}{B}{B} $0.02 83.3% $0.02

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $313.92 High $444.52 +$80.34 (25.5%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$300$350$400$450
Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$395.11 · ▲ 25.5% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

OpponentMatchesTournamentsW-LMatch WRGame WR
Amulet Titan 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Jeskai Control 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Modern v3 Group EB59AA (Stitcher's Supplier, Flare of Malice) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

CardBoardDecksInclusionAvg / DeckAvg When PlayedRole
Blood Crypt $7.00 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.00 3.00 Core
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.06 1.06 Core
Bloodstained Mire $12.92 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Dark Matter Manipulator {B} $3.00 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Detective's Phoenix {2}{R} $0.15 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Fear of Missing Out {1}{R} $1.49 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.21 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Moonshadow {B} $20.04 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Mountain $0.01 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Nethergoyf {B} $6.86 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.40 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Raucous Theater $8.99 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Street Wraith {3}{B}{B} $0.06 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Swamp $0.01 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.11 2.11 Core
Thoughtseize {B} $5.07 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.38 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01 main 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.00 2.00 Core
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05 sideboard 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.89 1.89 Core
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.40 sideboard 18
w 17.9
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Fatal Push {B} $0.15 main 17
w 16.9
94.5%
raw 94.4%
0.94 1.00 Core
Marsh Flats $28.70 main 17
w 16.9
94.6%
raw 94.4%
1.95 2.06 Core
Verdant Catacombs $24.00 main 17
w 16.9
94.5%
raw 94.4%
1.39 1.47 Core
Arid Mesa $22.25 main 16
w 15.9
88.9%
raw 88.9%
0.89 1.00 Core
Fatal Push {B} $0.15 sideboard 16
w 15.9
88.9%
raw 88.9%
0.94 1.06 Core
Glistening Deluge {1}{B}{B} $0.02 sideboard 15
w 14.9
83.4%
raw 83.3%
1.67 2.00 Core
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.06 sideboard 14
w 13.9
77.8%
raw 77.8%
0.83 1.07 Core
Inquisition of Kozilek {B} $0.22 sideboard 14
w 13.9
77.7%
raw 77.8%
1.67 2.14 Core
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00 sideboard 13
w 12.9
72.2%
raw 72.2%
0.72 1.00 Flex
Ingot Chewer {4}{R} $0.01 sideboard 12
w 11.9
66.7%
raw 66.7%
0.67 1.00 Flex
Ob Nixilis, the Adversary {1}{B}{R} $0.90 sideboard 12
w 11.9
66.6%
raw 66.7%
1.22 1.83 Flex
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01 sideboard 12
w 11.9
66.6%
raw 66.7%
0.89 1.33 Flex
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.88 sideboard 11
w 10.9
61.2%
raw 61.1%
1.78 2.91 Flex
Polluted Delta $18.20 main 8
w 7.9
44.5%
raw 44.4%
0.61 1.38 Flex
End of the Hunt {1}{B} $0.01 sideboard 8
w 7.9
44.4%
raw 44.4%
0.56 1.25 Flex
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.40 sideboard 5
w 5.0
27.8%
raw 27.8%
0.33 1.20 Occasional
Break the Ice {B}{B} $0.05 sideboard 3
w 3.0
16.6%
raw 16.7%
0.33 2.00 Occasional
Wooded Foothills $14.99 main 1
w 1.0
5.5%
raw 5.6%
0.06 1.00 Occasional
Leyline of the Void {2}{B}{B} $0.15 sideboard 1
w 1.0
5.5%
raw 5.6%
0.22 4.00 Occasional
Liliana of the Veil {1}{B}{B} $4.04 sideboard 1
w 1.0
5.5%
raw 5.6%
0.06 1.00 Occasional
Sheoldred's Edict {1}{B} $0.75 sideboard 1
w 1.0
5.5%
raw 5.6%
0.06 1.00 Occasional
Steel Wrecking Ball {5} $0.01 sideboard 1
w 1.0
5.4%
raw 5.6%
0.05 1.00 Occasional
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01 sideboard 1
w 1.0
5.5%
raw 5.6%
0.11 2.00 Occasional

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