Modern v3 Group C29D91 (Murktide Regent, Unholy Heat) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:c29d9114f8437f auto group

2Decks in Window

2Tournaments

60.7%Record Win Rate

0.0% Actual Match WR · 1 matches 95% CI 0.0%–79.3%

0.0%Actual Game WR

7Best Rank

48.0% Adjusted WR (90d) · 22 decks, 6 from cuts 95% CI 38.0%–58.2%

0.90× Cut conversion · 5 cut decks vs 6 expected

-1.0 Strength · how it works 15 full-field decks · 5 top-32 decks · 7 other

25% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 50% stock · coherence 84%

$450.23Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.60	27	100.0%	3.741
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.05	27	100.0%	3.519
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75	27	100.0%	3.889
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.75	27	100.0%	2.704
Preordain {U} $0.40	27	100.0%	3.704
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	27	100.0%	3.333
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	27	100.0%	3.741
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	27	100.0%	2.481
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $35.00	25	92.3%	3.074
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.09	24	88.5%	3.185
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	23	84.6%	2.519
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	23	84.6%	1.407

Colors

Color	Decks
Izzet	2

Consensus 75

2 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $450.23 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $393.85

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
2	Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.60	50.0%	$0.60
2	Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $35.00	50.0%	$35.00
2	Snapcaster Mage {1}{U} $11.75	50.0%	$11.75
1	Thundertrap Trainer {1}{U} $0.25	50.0%	$0.25
1	Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	50.0%	$0.10
1	Subtlety {2}{U}{U} $7.67	50.0%	$7.67
2	Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.75	50.0%	$4.75
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75	100.0%	$0.75
2	Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.09	50.0%	$3.09
3	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	100.0%	$0.20
2	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	100.0%	$0.09
4	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	50.0%	$0.25
2	Flame of Anor {1}{U}{R} $1.56	50.0%	$1.56
2	Flare of Denial {1}{U}{U} $1.79	50.0%	$1.79
3	Preordain {U} $0.40	100.0%	$0.40
2	Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.05	100.0%	$0.05
2	Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	50.0%	$0.75
2	Flooded Strand $14.00	100.0%	$14.00
3	Island $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Misty Rainforest $31.99	50.0%	$31.99
1	Mountain $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
2	Polluted Delta $18.70	100.0%	$18.70
2	Riverpyre Verge $9.00	100.0%	$9.00
2	Scalding Tarn $29.94	50.0%	$29.94
2	Sink into Stupor $7.00	50.0%	$7.00
1	Spirebluff Canal $2.70	50.0%	$2.70
3	Steam Vents $8.21	100.0%	$8.21
1	Thundering Falls $13.00	100.0%	$13.00

Sideboard · $56.38

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.59	50.0%	$0.59
1	Engineered Explosives {X} $1.45	50.0%	$1.45
1	Soul-Guide Lantern {1} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Dress Down {1}{U} $0.10	50.0%	$0.10
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	50.0%	$5.00
3	Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	100.0%	$2.30
1	Fire Magic {R} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Flusterstorm {U} $2.50	50.0%	$2.50
1	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	50.0%	$0.20
1	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	50.0%	$0.09
1	Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	50.0%	$39.29
1	Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	50.0%	$0.19
1	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	50.0%	$0.05

Deck
2 Dragon's Rage Channeler
2 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
2 Snapcaster Mage
1 Thundertrap Trainer
1 Sphinx of False Conclusions
1 Subtlety
2 Murktide Regent
4 Mishra's Bauble
2 Cori-Steel Cutter
3 Lightning Bolt
2 Spell Snare
4 Unholy Heat
2 Counterspell
2 Flame of Anor
2 Flare of Denial
3 Preordain
2 Expressive Iteration
2 Flow State
2 Flooded Strand
3 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
1 Mountain
2 Polluted Delta
2 Riverpyre Verge
2 Scalding Tarn
2 Sink into Stupor
1 Spirebluff Canal
3 Steam Vents
1 Thundering Falls

Sideboard
1 Obsidian Charmaw
1 Engineered Explosives
1 Soul-Guide Lantern
1 Dress Down
1 Blood Moon
3 Consign to Memory
1 Fire Magic
1 Flusterstorm
1 Lightning Bolt
1 Spell Snare
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Meltdown

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $455.61 High $507.07 −$32.48 (-6.7%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$440$460$480$500$520

Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$455.61 · ▼ 6.7% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Jeskai Control	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.05	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.23	3.00	Core
Flooded Strand $14.00	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.61	3.50	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.75	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Polluted Delta $18.70	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Preordain {U} $0.40	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.61	3.50	Core
Riverpyre Verge $9.00	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Scalding Tarn $29.94	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.16	2.50	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.61	2.50	Core
Steam Vents $8.21	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Thundering Falls $13.00	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.39	1.50	Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	main	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	sideboard	2 w 1.5	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.61	3.50	Core
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.09	main	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	2.45	4.00	Flex
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	main	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	1.84	3.00	Flex
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.60	main	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	2.45	4.00	Flex
Flame of Anor {1}{U}{R} $1.56	main	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	1.55	4.00	Flex
Flare of Denial {1}{U}{U} $1.79	main	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	1.16	3.00	Flex
Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	main	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	1.23	2.00	Flex
Misty Rainforest $31.99	main	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	1.23	2.00	Flex
Mountain $0.01	main	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.39	1.00	Flex
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.75	main	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	1.23	2.00	Flex
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $35.00	main	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	2.45	4.00	Flex
Sink into Stupor $7.00	main	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.77	2.00	Flex
Snapcaster Mage {1}{U} $11.75	main	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.77	2.00	Flex
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	main	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	1.55	4.00	Flex
Spirebluff Canal $2.70	main	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	1.23	2.00	Flex
Subtlety {2}{U}{U} $7.67	main	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	1.55	4.00	Flex
Thundertrap Trainer {1}{U} $0.25	main	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	1.55	4.00	Flex
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.77	2.00	Flex
Dress Down {1}{U} $0.10	sideboard	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.77	2.00	Flex
Engineered Explosives {X} $1.45	sideboard	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.77	2.00	Flex
Fire Magic {R} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	0.61	1.00	Flex
Flusterstorm {U} $2.50	sideboard	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.39	1.00	Flex
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	sideboard	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	1.23	2.00	Flex
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	sideboard	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.39	1.00	Flex
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	1.23	2.00	Flex
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	sideboard	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	1.23	2.00	Flex
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.59	sideboard	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	1.84	3.00	Flex
Soul-Guide Lantern {1} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	61.3% raw 50.0%	0.61	1.00	Flex
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	sideboard	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.77	2.00	Flex
Stone of Erech {1} $0.09	sideboard	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.39	1.00	Flex
Teferi, Temporal Pilgrim {3}{U}{U} $3.00	sideboard	1 w 0.6	38.7% raw 50.0%	0.39	1.00	Flex

Recent Decks

Showing 2 of 2

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
duke12	Modern Challenge 32	2026-11-07	7	5-2-0	Izzet	8%
SvenSveeterSven	Modern Challenge 16	2026-11-03	13	3-3-0	Izzet	42%