Modern v3 Group C29D91 (Murktide Regent, Unholy Heat) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:c29d9114f8437f auto group

2Decks in Window

2Tournaments

35.7%Record Win Rate

0.0% Actual Match WR · 3 matches 95% CI 0.0%–56.1%

25.0%Actual Game WR

7Best Rank

47.0% Adjusted WR (90d) · 23 decks, 6 from cuts 95% CI 37.2%–57.0%

0.86× Cut conversion · 5 cut decks vs 7 expected

-1.5 Strength · how it works 16 full-field decks · 5 top-32 decks · 7 other

5% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 84%

$487.20Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.20	28	100.0%	3.75
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.05	28	100.0%	3.536
Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	28	100.0%	3.893
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.75	28	100.0%	2.714
Preordain {U} $0.40	28	100.0%	3.714
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	28	100.0%	3.321
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	28	100.0%	3.75
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	28	100.0%	2.5
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $33.74	26	92.6%	3.107
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.03	25	88.9%	3.214
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	24	85.2%	2.536
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	24	85.2%	1.429

Colors

Color	Decks
Izzet	2

Consensus 75

2 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $487.20 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $432.08

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.20	100.0%	$0.20
4	Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $33.74	100.0%	$33.74
2	Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.75	100.0%	$4.75
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	100.0%	$1.00
4	Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.03	100.0%	$3.03
4	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	100.0%	$0.20
3	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	100.0%	$0.09
3	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	100.0%	$0.25
2	Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	50.0%	$39.29
4	Preordain {U} $0.40	100.0%	$0.40
4	Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.05	100.0%	$0.05
2	Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	50.0%	$0.75
1	Fiery Islet $3.00	50.0%	$3.00
2	Flooded Strand $14.46	50.0%	$14.46
3	Island $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Misty Rainforest $31.99	100.0%	$31.99
1	Polluted Delta $18.70	50.0%	$18.70
1	Riverpyre Verge $9.00	50.0%	$9.00
1	Scalding Tarn $29.94	100.0%	$29.94
2	Spirebluff Canal $2.70	100.0%	$2.70
3	Steam Vents $5.00	100.0%	$5.00
1	Thundering Falls $13.00	100.0%	$13.00

Sideboard · $55.12

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	100.0%	$0.39
1	Soul-Guide Lantern {1} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	50.0%	$5.00
4	Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	100.0%	$2.30
1	Fire Magic {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
1	Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	50.0%	$39.29
2	Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	100.0%	$0.19
1	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	100.0%	$0.05

Deck
4 Dragon's Rage Channeler
4 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
2 Murktide Regent
4 Mishra's Bauble
4 Cori-Steel Cutter
4 Lightning Bolt
3 Spell Snare
3 Unholy Heat
3 Counterspell
2 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
4 Expressive Iteration
2 Flow State
1 Fiery Islet
2 Flooded Strand
3 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
1 Polluted Delta
1 Riverpyre Verge
1 Scalding Tarn
2 Spirebluff Canal
3 Steam Vents
1 Thundering Falls

Sideboard
3 Obsidian Charmaw
1 Soul-Guide Lantern
1 Blood Moon
4 Consign to Memory
1 Fire Magic
1 Abrade
1 Force of Negation
2 Mystical Dispute
1 Meltdown

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $469.01 High $546.43 −$17.54 (-3.5%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$460$480$500$520$540$560

Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$481.29 · ▼ 3.5% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Boros Energy	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Jeskai Control	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group 083B21 (Shoot the Sheriff, Witherbloom Command)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.03	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.20	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.05	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.20	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $1.00	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Misty Rainforest $31.99	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.03	3.00	Core
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.75	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.52	2.50	Core
Preordain {U} $0.40	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $33.74	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Scalding Tarn $29.94	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.55	2.50	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Spirebluff Canal $2.70	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Steam Vents $5.00	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Thundering Falls $13.00	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	main	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.48	3.50	Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.30	sideboard	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Fire Magic {R} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.48	1.50	Core
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	sideboard	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.39	sideboard	2 w 1.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Fiery Islet $3.00	main	1 w 1.0	51.6% raw 50.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex
Flooded Strand $14.46	main	1 w 0.9	48.4% raw 50.0%	0.97	2.00	Flex
Flow State {1}{U} $0.75	main	1 w 0.9	48.4% raw 50.0%	0.97	2.00	Flex
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	main	1 w 1.0	51.6% raw 50.0%	1.03	2.00	Flex
Polluted Delta $18.70	main	1 w 0.9	48.4% raw 50.0%	0.97	2.00	Flex
Riverpyre Verge $9.00	main	1 w 0.9	48.4% raw 50.0%	0.97	2.00	Flex
Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 1.0	51.6% raw 50.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	1 w 1.0	51.6% raw 50.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $39.29	sideboard	1 w 0.9	48.4% raw 50.0%	0.97	2.00	Flex
Soul-Guide Lantern {1} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	48.4% raw 50.0%	0.48	1.00	Flex
Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	sideboard	1 w 1.0	51.6% raw 50.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.19	sideboard	1 w 1.0	51.6% raw 50.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex

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