Standard v3 Group F16FAE (Sphinx of False Conclusions, Break Under Pressure) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:f16fae44ee5cfe auto group

15Decks in Window

8Tournaments

61.1%Record Win Rate

63.6% Actual Match WR · 11 matches 95% CI 35.4%–84.8%

50.0%Actual Game WR

1Best Rank

60.5% Adjusted WR (90d) · 42 decks, 18 from cuts 95% CI 53.8%–66.8%

1.69× Cut conversion · 21 cut decks vs 10 expected

+6.3 Strength · how it works 21 full-field decks · 21 top-32 decks · 2 other

1% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 80% stock · coherence 82%

$282.78Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	44	100.0%	3.977
Countersculpt {U}{U} $0.01	44	100.0%	3.909
Jace's Machinations {2}{U} $0.19	44	100.0%	2.227
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	44	100.0%	1.318
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U} $37.00	44	100.0%	3.932
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	44	100.0%	1.773
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	40	90.9%	1.977
Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	38	86.4%	3.273
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	37	84.1%	2.523
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	36	81.8%	1.159
Break Under Pressure {2}{B} $0.01	29	65.9%	1.0
Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.19	27	61.4%	0.614

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	12
Dimir splash	3

Consensus 75

15 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $282.78 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $243.22

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
4	The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U} $37.00	100.0%	$37.00
1	Nowhere to Run {1}{B} $0.10	80.0%	$0.10
4	Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	80.0%	$0.10
3	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	80.0%	$0.09
2	Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	80.0%	$2.75
1	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
4	Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	100.0%	$1.91
4	Countersculpt {U}{U} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.05	60.0%	$0.05
1	Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.19	80.0%	$0.19
1	Twinned Vision {1}{U/R} $0.01	53.3%	$0.01
1	Break Under Pressure {2}{B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Jace's Machinations {2}{U} $0.19	100.0%	$0.19
4	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	80.0%	$0.19
1	Demolition Field $0.05	80.0%	$0.05
4	Gloomlake Verge $8.43	100.0%	$8.43
3	Island $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
2	Petrified Hamlet $0.34	100.0%	$0.34
2	Restless Reef $0.89	100.0%	$0.89
4	Shipwreck Marsh $1.00	80.0%	$1.00
3	Swamp $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
2	Theorist's Sanctum $0.19	80.0%	$0.19
1	Undercity Sewers $7.00	80.0%	$7.00
4	Watery Grave $8.00	100.0%	$8.00

Sideboard · $39.56

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.99	80.0%	$27.99
1	Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.38	80.0%	$2.38
2	Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	80.0%	$2.25
2	Annul {U} $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
1	Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	80.0%	$0.08
2	Terminal Criticism {1}{B} $0.01	80.0%	$0.01
1	Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.33	80.0%	$4.33
3	Duress {B} $0.01	53.3%	$0.01
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	66.7%	$0.20
1	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	80.0%	$0.01

Deck
1 Sphinx of False Conclusions
4 The Theorist, Jace Beleren
1 Nowhere to Run
4 Requiting Hex
3 Spell Snare
2 Three Steps Ahead
1 Bitter Triumph
4 Consult the Star Charts
4 Countersculpt
1 Feed the Cycle
1 Shoot the Sheriff
1 Twinned Vision
1 Break Under Pressure
2 Jace's Machinations
4 Deadly Cover-Up
1 Demolition Field
4 Gloomlake Verge
3 Island
2 Petrified Hamlet
2 Restless Reef
4 Shipwreck Marsh
3 Swamp
2 Theorist's Sanctum
1 Undercity Sewers
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Wan Shi Tong, Librarian
1 Ghost Vacuum
2 Torpor Orb
2 Annul
1 Outrageous Robbery
2 Terminal Criticism
1 Emeritus of Ideation
3 Duress
1 Day of Black Sun
1 Strategic Betrayal

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $134.39 High $554.00 +$127.53 (85.3%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$100$200$300$400$500$600

Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$276.97 · ▲ 85.3% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Boros Dragons	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	33.3%
Dimir Midrange	2	2	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Mono-Green Landfall	2	2	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	80.0%
Azorius Momo	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Izzet Prowess	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Jeskai Lessons	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Standard v3 Group 5A3B31 (Dark Matter Manipulator, Moonshadow)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Token Sacrifice Combo	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.21	1.20	Core
Break Under Pressure {2}{B} $0.01	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.38	1.40	Core
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Countersculpt {U}{U} $0.01	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.19	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.65	3.60	Core
Gloomlake Verge $8.43	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.65	2.60	Core
Jace's Machinations {2}{U} $0.19	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.45	2.47	Core
Petrified Hamlet $0.34	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.83	3.80	Core
Restless Reef $0.89	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.35	2.40	Core
Shipwreck Marsh $1.00	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.65	3.60	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.65	2.60	Core
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.65	2.60	Core
Theorist's Sanctum $0.19	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.83	1.80	Core
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U} $37.00	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.83	1.80	Core
Watery Grave $8.00	main	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.55	2.53	Core
Terminal Criticism {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	15 w 14.3	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.83	1.80	Core
Demolition Field $0.05	main	12 w 11.9	82.6% raw 80.0%	0.83	1.00	Core
Nowhere to Run {1}{B} $0.10	main	12 w 11.9	82.6% raw 80.0%	0.83	1.00	Core
Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.19	main	12 w 11.4	79.4% raw 80.0%	0.79	1.00	Core
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	12 w 11.9	82.6% raw 80.0%	0.83	1.00	Core
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	12 w 11.9	82.6% raw 80.0%	1.65	2.00	Core
Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.33	sideboard	12 w 11.9	82.6% raw 80.0%	0.83	1.00	Core
Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.38	sideboard	12 w 11.9	82.6% raw 80.0%	0.83	1.00	Core
Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	sideboard	12 w 11.9	82.6% raw 80.0%	0.83	1.00	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	12 w 11.9	82.6% raw 80.0%	1.03	1.25	Core
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	12 w 11.4	79.4% raw 80.0%	1.59	2.00	Core
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.99	sideboard	12 w 11.9	82.6% raw 80.0%	0.83	1.00	Core
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	sideboard	10 w 9.4	65.5% raw 66.7%	0.66	1.00	Flex
Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.05	main	9 w 8.9	62.1% raw 60.0%	0.62	1.00	Flex
Twinned Vision {1}{U/R} $0.01	main	8 w 7.9	55.1% raw 53.3%	0.55	1.00	Flex
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	7 w 6.9	48.2% raw 46.7%	0.48	1.00	Flex
Intimidation Tactics {B} $0.05	sideboard	5 w 4.9	34.5% raw 33.3%	0.34	1.00	Occasional
Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U} $4.61	main	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	main	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Deserted Beach $0.69	main	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.35	2.00	Occasional
Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.33	main	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Godless Shrine $6.44	main	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Hallowed Fountain $5.00	main	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.69	4.00	Occasional
Pest Control {W}{B} $1.48	main	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.35	2.00	Occasional
Uldaros Theorix {3}{U}{B}{B} $1.80	main	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.99	main	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Garruk, Veiled Butcher {3}{B}{B} $0.80	sideboard	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.17	1.00	Occasional
Pyrrhic Strike {2}{W} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.35	2.00	Occasional
Rest in Peace {1}{W} $0.10	sideboard	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.35	2.00	Occasional
Tishana's Tidebinder {2}{U} $0.70	sideboard	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.35	2.00	Occasional
Ultima {3}{W}{W} $0.04	sideboard	3 w 2.5	17.4% raw 20.0%	0.17	1.00	Occasional

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