Standard v3 Group 221261 (Grim Bauble, Mabel, Bitter Recluse) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:22126158be9249 auto group

11Decks in Window

5Tournaments

55.9%Record Win Rate

66.7% Actual Match WR · 6 matches 95% CI 30.0%–90.3%

60.0%Actual Game WR

1Best Rank

57.5% Adjusted WR (90d) · 10 decks, 9 from cuts 95% CI 42.2%–71.5%

— Cut conversion

+1.7 Strength · how it works 0 full-field decks · 10 top-32 decks · 1 other

0% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 98%

$289.15Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Guiding Hydra {X}{W} $0.21	11	100.0%	1.0
Mockingbird {X}{U} $2.00	11	100.0%	4.0
Nurturing Pixie {W} $0.05	11	100.0%	4.0
Practiced Offense {2}{W} $0.30	11	100.0%	3.0
Starfield Shepherd {3}{W}{W} $0.01	11	100.0%	3.091
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	11	100.0%	2.0
Dark Matter Manipulator {B} $2.80	11	100.0%	4.0
Grim Bauble {B} $0.01	11	100.0%	3.0
Kaito, Bane of Nightmares {2}{U}{B} $6.73	11	100.0%	3.182
Moonshadow {B} $19.99	11	100.0%	4.0
Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $15.96	11	100.0%	2.909
Likeness Looter {U}{B} $1.50	9	81.8%	1.727

Colors

Color	Decks
Esper	11

Consensus 75

11 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $289.15 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $275.15

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Dark Matter Manipulator {B} $2.80	100.0%	$2.80
1	Guiding Hydra {X}{W} $0.21	100.0%	$0.21
1	Mabel, Bitter Recluse {B} $0.01	81.8%	$0.01
4	Mockingbird {X}{U} $2.00	100.0%	$2.00
4	Moonshadow {B} $19.99	100.0%	$19.99
4	Nurturing Pixie {W} $0.05	100.0%	$0.05
2	Likeness Looter {U}{B} $1.50	81.8%	$1.50
3	Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $15.96	90.9%	$15.96
3	Starfield Shepherd {3}{W}{W} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Kaito, Bane of Nightmares {2}{U}{B} $6.73	100.0%	$6.73
3	Grim Bauble {B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
3	Practiced Offense {2}{W} $0.30	100.0%	$0.30
1	Bleachbone Verge $6.50	81.8%	$6.50
4	Concealed Courtyard $0.50	100.0%	$0.50
2	Gloomlake Verge $8.43	90.9%	$8.43
4	Godless Shrine $4.85	100.0%	$4.85
4	Hallowed Fountain $3.77	100.0%	$3.77
1	Plains $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Restless Anchorage $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Starting Town $9.94	90.9%	$9.94
4	Watery Grave $5.90	100.0%	$5.90

Sideboard · $14.00

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Curious Farm Animals {W} $0.01	81.8%	$0.01
3	Clarion Conqueror {2}{W} $1.83	100.0%	$1.83
1	Kaito, Bane of Nightmares {2}{U}{B} $6.73	81.8%	$6.73
2	Sheltered by Ghosts {1}{W} $0.78	100.0%	$0.78
1	Annul {U} $0.01	81.8%	$0.01
1	Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	90.9%	$0.10
1	Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	100.0%	$0.05
2	Duress {B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	81.8%	$0.01

Deck
4 Dark Matter Manipulator
1 Guiding Hydra
1 Mabel, Bitter Recluse
4 Mockingbird
4 Moonshadow
4 Nurturing Pixie
2 Likeness Looter
3 Overlord of the Balemurk
3 Starfield Shepherd
3 Kaito, Bane of Nightmares
3 Grim Bauble
2 Bitter Triumph
3 Practiced Offense
1 Bleachbone Verge
4 Concealed Courtyard
2 Gloomlake Verge
4 Godless Shrine
4 Hallowed Fountain
1 Plains
1 Restless Anchorage
2 Starting Town
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Curious Farm Animals
3 Clarion Conqueror
1 Kaito, Bane of Nightmares
2 Sheltered by Ghosts
1 Annul
1 Requiting Hex
1 Spell Pierce
2 Duress
3 Strategic Betrayal

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $187.64 High $241.23 +$4.15 (1.8%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$180$200$220$240$260

Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$238.41 · ▲ 1.8% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Azorius Momo	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Dimir Excruciator	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Dimir Midrange	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Izzet Prowess	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Mono-Green Landfall	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Standard v3 Group 6425E6 (Sphinx of False Conclusions, Break Under Pressure)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Concealed Courtyard $0.50	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Dark Matter Manipulator {B} $2.80	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Gloomlake Verge $8.43	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.91	1.91	Core
Godless Shrine $4.85	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Grim Bauble {B} $0.01	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Guiding Hydra {X}{W} $0.21	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Hallowed Fountain $3.77	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Kaito, Bane of Nightmares {2}{U}{B} $6.73	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.18	3.18	Core
Mockingbird {X}{U} $2.00	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Moonshadow {B} $19.99	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Nurturing Pixie {W} $0.05	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $15.96	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.91	2.91	Core
Plains $0.01	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Practiced Offense {2}{W} $0.30	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Restless Anchorage $0.01	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Starfield Shepherd {3}{W}{W} $0.01	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.09	3.09	Core
Starting Town $9.94	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.91	1.91	Core
Watery Grave $5.90	main	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Clarion Conqueror {2}{W} $1.83	sideboard	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.27	3.27	Core
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.18	2.18	Core
Sheltered by Ghosts {1}{W} $0.78	sideboard	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	sideboard	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	11 w 10.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.82	2.82	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	sideboard	10 w 9.9	90.9% raw 90.9%	0.91	1.00	Core
Bleachbone Verge $6.50	main	9 w 8.9	82.0% raw 81.8%	0.82	1.00	Core
Likeness Looter {U}{B} $1.50	main	9 w 8.9	82.0% raw 81.8%	1.73	2.11	Core
Mabel, Bitter Recluse {B} $0.01	main	9 w 8.9	81.9% raw 81.8%	0.82	1.00	Core
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	9 w 8.9	82.0% raw 81.8%	0.82	1.00	Core
Curious Farm Animals {W} $0.01	sideboard	9 w 8.9	82.0% raw 81.8%	0.82	1.00	Core
Kaito, Bane of Nightmares {2}{U}{B} $6.73	sideboard	9 w 8.9	81.9% raw 81.8%	0.82	1.00	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	2 w 2.0	18.0% raw 18.2%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Voice of Victory {1}{W} $13.46	main	2 w 2.0	18.0% raw 18.2%	0.36	2.00	Occasional
Deathmark {B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 2.0	18.0% raw 18.2%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Null Summoner {2}{U}{B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 2.0	18.0% raw 18.2%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Floodfarm Verge $6.25	main	1 w 1.0	8.8% raw 9.1%	0.09	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

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Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
LeandroKopke	Standard League	2026-11-11		5-0-0	Esper	0%
LucasG1ggs	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-10	4	5-3-0	Esper	0%
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Strongmind	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-10	13	3-3-0	Esper	1%
The_Catfin	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-10	22	2-4-0	Esper	0%
Arianne	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-10	24	1-4-0	Esper	1%
RNicoF	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-10	28	1-2-0	Esper	2%
ShadowTitan1	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-10	31	0-2-0	Esper	2%
RNicoF	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-09	1	8-1-0	Esper	0%
RNicoF	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-09	1	8-1-0	Esper	0%
RNicoF	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-08	9	4-2-0	Esper	5%