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Modern v3 Group A4D3BB (Murktide Regent, Counterspell) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:a4d3bbe0b5f04b auto group
9Decks in Window
7Tournaments
59.1%Record Win Rate
61.1% Actual Match WR · 54 matches 95% CI 47.8%–73.0%
58.2%Actual Game WR
18Best Rank
58.5% Adjusted WR (90d) · 10 decks, 1 from cuts 95% CI 45.5%–70.5%
0.56× Cut conversion · 0 cut decks vs 4 expected
-1.7 Strength · how it works 9 full-field decks · 0 top-32 decks · 3 other
7% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 89% stock · coherence 72%
$498.54Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Metagame Share Trend

Each point is this archetype's share of all Modern decks over the previous 7 days latest 0.2% (5436 decks in window) peak 0.2% on 2026-10-12 +0.2 pp since 2026-10-06

0.00%0.05%0.10%0.14%0.19%
Oct 06Oct 08Oct 10Oct 12
7-day metagame share 0.0

Signature Cards

CardDecksShareAvg Copies
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25 12 100.0% 3.5
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 12 100.0% 2.667
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33 12 100.0% 2.917
Preordain {U} $0.01 12 100.0% 3.75
Spell Snare {U} $0.01 12 100.0% 2.833
Subtlety {2}{U}{U} $7.99 12 100.0% 1.0
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98 11 91.7% 3.667
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01 11 91.7% 3.667
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25 7 58.3% 1.917
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66 6 50.0% 2.0
Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00 6 50.0% 1.917
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.40 6 50.0% 1.917

Colors

ColorDecks
Dimir splash 5
Izzet 4

Consensus 75

9 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $498.54 current botbox price

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $471.68

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
4 Psychic Frog {U}{B} $3.49 55.6% $3.49
4 Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00 55.6% $24.00
3 Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33 100.0% $4.33
4 Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98 100.0% $0.98
4 Fatal Push {B} $0.15 55.6% $0.15
3 Spell Snare {U} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Unholy Heat {R} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25 77.8% $0.25
4 Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 55.6% $40.90
4 Preordain {U} $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Thoughtseize {B} $4.80 55.6% $4.80
1 Bloodstained Mire $13.00 55.6% $13.00
4 Flooded Strand $10.00 66.7% $10.00
2 Island $0.01 100.0% $0.01
4 Polluted Delta $14.00 66.7% $14.00
2 Steam Vents $8.00 100.0% $8.00
1 Swamp $0.01 55.6% $0.01
1 Thundering Falls $12.79 100.0% $12.79
1 Undercity Sewers $6.50 55.6% $6.50
2 Watery Grave $7.99 55.6% $7.99

Sideboard · $26.86

QtyCardCopy PrevalenceUnit Price
1 Ashiok, Dream Render {1}{U/B}{U/B} $0.40 66.7% $0.40
4 Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 100.0% $2.15
2 Sheoldred's Edict {1}{B} $0.75 55.6% $0.75
2 Test of Talents {1}{U} $0.08 55.6% $0.08
2 Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19 100.0% $0.19
1 Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05 44.4% $0.05
2 Break the Ice {B}{B} $0.01 55.6% $0.01
1 Damnation {2}{B}{B} $15.75 55.6% $15.75

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $492.81 High $564.34 +$19.54 (3.9%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$480$500$520$540$560$580
May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$522.21 · ▲ 3.9% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

OpponentMatchesTournamentsW-LMatch WRGame WR
Broodscale Combo 9 5 5-4 55.6%
26.7%–81.1% CI
57.1%
Izzet Prowess 8 5 5-3 62.5%
30.6%–86.3% CI
57.9%
Boros Energy 4 3 2-2 50.0%
15.0%–85.0% CI
54.5%
Affinity 3 2 1-2 33.3%
6.1%–79.2% CI
44.4%
Domain Zoo 3 3 1-2 33.3%
6.1%–79.2% CI
37.5%
Jeskai Control 3 2 2-1 66.7%
20.8%–93.9% CI
57.1%
Modern v3 Group 59B4A0 (Duskwatch Recruiter // Krallenhorde Howler, Tyvar, the Pummeler) 3 2 2-1 66.7%
20.8%–93.9% CI
62.5%
Dimir Control 2 1 2-0 100.0%
34.2%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Jeskai Blink 2 1 2-0 100.0%
34.2%–100.0% CI
80.0%
Mono-Blue Belcher 2 1 2-0 100.0%
34.2%–100.0% CI
80.0%
Sam Combo 2 2 1-1 50.0%
9.5%–90.5% CI
50.0%
Amulet Titan 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Esper Blink 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Fight Rigging 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Goryo's Vengeance 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Hollow One 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Modern v3 Group 3EE712 (Twinned Vision, Artist's Talent) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Modern v3 Group 614C43 (Dark Matter Manipulator, Fear of Missing Out) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Modern v3 Group 991472 (Talisman of Impulse, Konstrari Charm) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
33.3%
Modern v3 Group A568D4 (Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy, Grapeshot) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
100.0%
Modern v3 Group C91946 (Surgical Extraction, Visions of Beyond) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Modern v3 Group F7ACED (Stitcher's Supplier, Flare of Malice) 1 1 0-1 0.0%
0.0%–79.3% CI
0.0%
Modern v3 Group FE3B0C (Beastrider Vanguard, Craterhoof Behemoth) 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%
Neoform 1 1 1-0 100.0%
20.7%–100.0% CI
66.7%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

CardBoardDecksInclusionAvg / DeckAvg When PlayedRole
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.57 3.56 Core
Flooded Strand $10.00 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.34 3.33 Core
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.90 2.89 Core
Island $0.01 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.33 2.33 Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.00 3.00 Core
Preordain {U} $0.01 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.01 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
3.00 3.00 Core
Steam Vents $8.00 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.33 2.33 Core
Thundering Falls $12.79 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
1.00 1.00 Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01 main 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.15 sideboard 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
4.00 4.00 Core
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19 sideboard 9
w 8.3
100.0%
raw 100.0%
2.44 2.44 Core
Polluted Delta $14.00 main 8
w 7.4
89.3%
raw 88.9%
3.13 3.50 Core
Test of Talents {1}{U} $0.08 sideboard 7
w 6.5
78.3%
raw 77.8%
1.34 1.71 Core
Ashiok, Dream Render {1}{U/B}{U/B} $0.40 sideboard 6
w 5.5
66.7%
raw 66.7%
0.67 1.00 Flex
Bloodstained Mire $13.00 main 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
0.56 1.00 Flex
Fatal Push {B} $0.15 main 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
2.24 4.00 Flex
Psychic Frog {U}{B} $3.49 main 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
2.24 4.00 Flex
Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00 main 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
2.24 4.00 Flex
Swamp $0.01 main 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
0.56 1.00 Flex
Thoughtseize {B} $4.80 main 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
2.24 4.00 Flex
Undercity Sewers $6.50 main 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
0.56 1.00 Flex
Watery Grave $7.99 main 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
1.12 2.00 Flex
Break the Ice {B}{B} $0.01 sideboard 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
1.12 2.00 Flex
Damnation {2}{B}{B} $15.75 sideboard 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
0.56 1.00 Flex
Sheoldred's Edict {1}{B} $0.75 sideboard 5
w 4.6
56.1%
raw 55.6%
1.12 2.00 Flex
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66 main 4
w 3.6
43.9%
raw 44.4%
1.76 4.00 Flex
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01 main 4
w 3.6
43.9%
raw 44.4%
1.76 4.00 Flex
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25 main 4
w 3.6
43.9%
raw 44.4%
1.65 3.75 Flex
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.40 main 4
w 3.6
43.9%
raw 44.4%
1.76 4.00 Flex
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05 main 4
w 3.6
43.9%
raw 44.4%
0.44 1.00 Flex
Spirebluff Canal $3.00 main 4
w 3.6
43.9%
raw 44.4%
1.43 3.25 Flex
Subtlety {2}{U}{U} $7.99 main 4
w 3.6
43.9%
raw 44.4%
0.66 1.50 Flex
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05 sideboard 4
w 3.6
43.9%
raw 44.4%
0.77 1.75 Flex
Misty Rainforest $32.56 main 3
w 2.7
32.7%
raw 33.3%
0.55 1.67 Occasional
Scalding Tarn $29.00 main 3
w 2.7
32.7%
raw 33.3%
0.76 2.33 Occasional
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00 sideboard 3
w 2.7
33.3%
raw 33.3%
0.33 1.00 Occasional
Kaito, Bane of Nightmares {2}{U}{B} $7.00 sideboard 3
w 2.8
33.7%
raw 33.3%
0.34 1.00 Occasional
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.25 sideboard 3
w 2.7
32.9%
raw 33.3%
0.76 2.33 Occasional
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00 main 2
w 1.8
22.0%
raw 22.2%
0.22 1.00 Occasional
Fiery Islet $1.00 main 2
w 1.8
22.2%
raw 22.2%
0.22 1.00 Occasional
Stern Scolding {U} $0.02 main 2
w 1.8
21.7%
raw 22.2%
0.22 1.00 Occasional
Fire Magic {R} $0.01 sideboard 2
w 1.9
22.5%
raw 22.2%
0.22 1.00 Occasional
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.42 sideboard 2
w 1.8
21.7%
raw 22.2%
0.33 1.50 Occasional
Pyroclasm {1}{R} $0.05 sideboard 2
w 1.8
21.7%
raw 22.2%
0.33 1.50 Occasional
Stern Scolding {U} $0.02 sideboard 2
w 1.8
22.2%
raw 22.2%
0.22 1.00 Occasional
Boomerang Basics {U} $0.01 main 1
w 0.9
10.7%
raw 11.1%
0.11 1.00 Occasional
Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs $6.56 main 1
w 0.9
10.7%
raw 11.1%
0.11 1.00 Occasional
Brotherhood's End {1}{R}{R} $0.61 sideboard 1
w 0.9
11.0%
raw 11.1%
0.11 1.00 Occasional
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90 sideboard 1
w 0.9
11.0%
raw 11.1%
0.11 1.00 Occasional
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.92 sideboard 1
w 0.9
11.0%
raw 11.1%
0.11 1.00 Occasional
Umezawa's Jitte {2} $1.95 sideboard 1
w 0.9
11.2%
raw 11.1%
0.11 1.00 Occasional

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