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Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:062d9197b5e1eb

8Decks in Window

3Tournaments

42.2%Record Win Rate

44.7% Actual Match WR · 38 matches 95% CI 30.1%–60.3%

44.1%Actual Game WR

64Best Rank

53.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 22 decks, 1 from cuts 95% CI 46.0%–61.5%

0.36× Cut conversion · 0 cut decks vs 9 expected

-4.4 Strength · how it works 21 full-field decks · 0 top-32 decks · 4 other

5% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 88% stock · coherence 90%

$604.03Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Consign to Memory {U} $2.23	19	100.0%	1.421
Ephemerate {W} $3.50	19	100.0%	2.684
Fatal Push {B} $0.15	19	100.0%	3.789
Flickerwisp {1}{W}{W} $0.09	19	100.0%	2.526
Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $17.39	19	100.0%	3.947
Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd {1}{W} $4.00	19	100.0%	4.0
Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00	19	100.0%	4.0
Solitude {3}{W}{W} $32.80	19	100.0%	3.789
Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $3.00	19	100.0%	1.053
Thoughtseize {B} $4.55	19	100.0%	3.789
Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01	18	93.3%	0.895
Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $35.10	16	86.7%	1.368

Colors

Color	Decks
Esper	8

Consensus 75

8 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $604.03 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $588.14

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd {1}{W} $4.00	100.0%	$4.00
2	Snapcaster Mage {1}{U} $11.75	50.0%	$11.75
1	White Orchid Phantom {W}{W} $0.01	50.0%	$0.01
3	Flickerwisp {1}{W}{W} $0.09	87.5%	$0.09
4	Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $17.39	87.5%	$17.39
4	Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00	100.0%	$24.00
4	Solitude {3}{W}{W} $32.80	100.0%	$32.80
1	Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $3.00	100.0%	$3.00
2	Consign to Memory {U} $2.23	62.5%	$2.23
3	Ephemerate {W} $3.50	87.5%	$3.50
4	Fatal Push {B} $0.15	87.5%	$0.15
1	March of Otherworldly Light {X}{W} $0.35	62.5%	$0.35
4	Thoughtseize {B} $4.55	87.5%	$4.55
1	Boggart Trawler // Boggart Bog $0.40	87.5%	$0.40
3	Flooded Strand $10.00	87.5%	$10.00
1	Godless Shrine $7.00	100.0%	$7.00
2	Hallowed Fountain $5.98	62.5%	$5.98
1	Island $0.01	62.5%	$0.01
4	Marsh Flats $29.01	87.5%	$29.01
1	Meticulous Archive $8.60	100.0%	$8.60
2	Plains $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Shadowy Backstreet $9.70	100.0%	$9.70
1	Swamp $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Undercity Sewers $6.75	87.5%	$6.75
1	Watery Grave $8.00	87.5%	$8.00
4	Witch Enchanter // Witch-Blessed Meadow $4.00	87.5%	$4.00

Sideboard · $15.89

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	White Orchid Phantom {W}{W} $0.01	87.5%	$0.01
1	Clarion Conqueror {2}{W} $1.66	100.0%	$1.66
1	Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $3.00	87.5%	$3.00
2	Deafening Silence {W} $0.93	50.0%	$0.93
2	Consign to Memory {U} $2.23	100.0%	$2.23
1	March of Otherworldly Light {X}{W} $0.35	50.0%	$0.35
2	Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.90	50.0%	$0.90
2	Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	50.0%	$0.19
3	Wrath of the Skies {X}{W}{W} $0.79	62.5%	$0.79

Deck
4 Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd
2 Snapcaster Mage
1 White Orchid Phantom
3 Flickerwisp
4 Overlord of the Balemurk
4 Quantum Riddler
4 Solitude
1 Teferi, Time Raveler
2 Consign to Memory
3 Ephemerate
4 Fatal Push
1 March of Otherworldly Light
4 Thoughtseize
1 Boggart Trawler // Boggart Bog
3 Flooded Strand
1 Godless Shrine
2 Hallowed Fountain
1 Island
4 Marsh Flats
1 Meticulous Archive
2 Plains
1 Shadowy Backstreet
1 Swamp
1 Undercity Sewers
1 Watery Grave
4 Witch Enchanter // Witch-Blessed Meadow

Sideboard
1 White Orchid Phantom
1 Clarion Conqueror
1 Teferi, Time Raveler
2 Deafening Silence
2 Consign to Memory
1 March of Otherworldly Light
2 Surgical Extraction
2 Mystical Dispute
3 Wrath of the Skies

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $582.56 High $775.89 −$163.03 (-21.1%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$550$600$650$700$750$800

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$611.41 · ▼ 21.1% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Broodscale Combo	9	2	4-5	44.4% 18.9%–73.3% CI	45.5%
Affinity	5	3	3-2	60.0% 23.1%–88.2% CI	53.8%
Izzet Prowess	3	2	1-2	33.3% 6.1%–79.2% CI	33.3%
The Rock	3	1	1-2	33.3% 6.1%–79.2% CI	37.5%
Amulet Titan	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	40.0%
Boros Energy	2	1	0-2	0.0% 0.0%–65.8% CI	20.0%
Eldrazi Tron	2	2	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	80.0%
Jeskai Control	2	1	0-2	0.0% 0.0%–65.8% CI	20.0%
Modern v3 Group 614C43 (Dark Matter Manipulator, Fear of Missing Out)	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	40.0%
Burn	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Esper Blink	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Living End	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group 1C4905 (Duskwatch Recruiter // Krallenhorde Howler, Tyvar, the Pummeler)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Modern v3 Group 3EE712 (Twinned Vision, Artist's Talent)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Modern v3 Group D9DFBE (Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd, Wrath of the Skies)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group E5955C (Utopia Sprawl, Icetill Explorer)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Modern v3 Group FE3B0C (Beastrider Vanguard, Craterhoof Behemoth)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Consign to Memory {U} $2.23	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.65	1.62	Core
Ephemerate {W} $3.50	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.87	2.88	Core
Flickerwisp {1}{W}{W} $0.09	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.92	2.88	Core
Flooded Strand $10.00	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.43	3.38	Core
Godless Shrine $7.00	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Hallowed Fountain $5.98	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.68	1.75	Core
Marsh Flats $29.01	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.84	3.75	Core
Meticulous Archive $8.60	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.08	1.12	Core
Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $17.39	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.84	3.75	Core
Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd {1}{W} $4.00	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Plains $0.01	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Quantum Riddler {3}{U}{U} $24.00	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Shadowy Backstreet $9.70	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Solitude {3}{W}{W} $32.80	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $3.00	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.08	1.12	Core
Witch Enchanter // Witch-Blessed Meadow $4.00	main	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.75	3.62	Core
Clarion Conqueror {2}{W} $1.66	sideboard	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.08	1.12	Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.23	sideboard	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.35	2.38	Core
Wrath of the Skies {X}{W}{W} $0.79	sideboard	8 w 7.4	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.57	2.50	Core
Boggart Trawler // Boggart Bog $0.40	main	7 w 6.8	91.8% raw 87.5%	0.92	1.00	Core
Fatal Push {B} $0.15	main	7 w 6.8	91.8% raw 87.5%	3.67	4.00	Core
Thoughtseize {B} $4.55	main	7 w 6.8	91.8% raw 87.5%	3.67	4.00	Core
Undercity Sewers $6.75	main	7 w 6.8	91.8% raw 87.5%	0.92	1.00	Core
Watery Grave $8.00	main	7 w 6.8	91.8% raw 87.5%	0.92	1.00	Core
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	sideboard	7 w 6.4	87.1% raw 87.5%	1.36	1.57	Core
Teferi, Time Raveler {1}{W}{U} $3.00	sideboard	7 w 6.8	91.8% raw 87.5%	0.92	1.00	Core
White Orchid Phantom {W}{W} $0.01	sideboard	7 w 6.8	91.8% raw 87.5%	1.43	1.57	Core
Island $0.01	main	5 w 4.4	59.8% raw 62.5%	0.60	1.00	Flex
March of Otherworldly Light {X}{W} $0.35	main	5 w 4.4	59.8% raw 62.5%	0.76	1.40	Flex
Surgical Extraction {B/P} $0.90	sideboard	5 w 4.4	59.8% raw 62.5%	1.11	1.80	Flex
Snapcaster Mage {1}{U} $11.75	main	4 w 3.8	51.6% raw 50.0%	1.03	2.00	Flex
White Orchid Phantom {W}{W} $0.01	main	4 w 3.6	48.4% raw 50.0%	0.65	1.50	Flex
Deafening Silence {W} $0.93	sideboard	4 w 3.8	51.6% raw 50.0%	1.16	2.25	Flex
March of Otherworldly Light {X}{W} $0.35	sideboard	4 w 3.8	51.6% raw 50.0%	0.52	1.00	Flex
Bleachbone Verge $7.29	main	3 w 3.0	40.2% raw 37.5%	0.80	2.00	Flex
Orcish Bowmasters {1}{B} $35.10	main	3 w 3.0	40.2% raw 37.5%	0.80	2.00	Flex
Polluted Delta $17.00	main	3 w 3.0	40.2% raw 37.5%	0.40	1.00	Flex
Prismatic Ending {X}{W} $0.01	main	3 w 3.0	40.2% raw 37.5%	0.40	1.00	Flex
Containment Priest {1}{W} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 3.0	40.2% raw 37.5%	0.40	1.00	Flex
High Noon {1}{W} $3.00	sideboard	3 w 3.0	40.2% raw 37.5%	0.54	1.33	Flex
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $0.40	sideboard	3 w 3.0	40.2% raw 37.5%	0.40	1.00	Flex
Sanctum Prelate {1}{W}{W} $0.50	sideboard	3 w 3.0	40.2% raw 37.5%	0.67	1.67	Flex
Ashiok, Dream Render {1}{U/B}{U/B} $0.40	main	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Aven Interrupter {1}{W}{W} $1.50	main	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.16	2.00	Occasional
Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines {4}{W} $19.88	main	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Flagstones of Trokair $2.50	main	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.33	4.00	Occasional
Ghost Quarter $0.19	main	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.16	2.00	Occasional
Lightstall Inquisitor {W} $0.17	main	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.25	3.00	Occasional
Vindicate {1}{W}{B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.16	2.00	Occasional
Wrath of the Skies {X}{W}{W} $0.79	main	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Ashiok, Dream Render {1}{U/B}{U/B} $0.40	sideboard	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Damping Sphere {2} $0.33	sideboard	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.16	2.00	Occasional
Grafdigger's Cage {1} $1.42	sideboard	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.16	2.00	Occasional
Vindicate {1}{W}{B} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.6	8.2% raw 12.5%	0.08	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 8 of 8

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
Willis, Joshua	Regional Championship - SCG CON Los Angeles - Season 5 - Round 1 - Saturday - 9:00 am	2026-10-10	398	5-3-0	Esper	0%
Dou, William	Regional Championship - SCG CON Los Angeles - Season 5 - Round 1 - Saturday - 9:00 am	2026-10-10	442	4-2-2	Esper	2%
Horne, Bryson	Regional Championship - SCG CON Los Angeles - Season 5 - Round 1 - Saturday - 9:00 am	2026-10-10	1130	0-3-1	Esper	40%
NicT7	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	699	2-2-2	Esper	5%
Avilés, Joel	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	730	2-3-0	Esper	5%
Frozen_Mind	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	802	2-3-0	Esper	5%
Carro Munoz, Javier	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	1033	1-4-0	Esper	5%
Willis, Joshua	LCQ - Modern - SCG CON Los Angeles - Friday - 11:00 am	2026-10-09	64	1-1-0	Esper	0%