Modern v3 Group 3EAD5C (Unholy Heat, Counterspell) ⤴ Share image

Modern Last 7 days v3_fpg:3ead5c259a1400 auto group

4Decks in Window

4Tournaments

56.7%Record Win Rate

58.3% Actual Match WR · 24 matches 95% CI 38.8%–75.5%

55.2%Actual Game WR

26Best Rank

41.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 12 decks, 2 from cuts 95% CI 29.0%–55.0%

0.78× Cut conversion · 2 cut decks vs 4 expected

-2.6 Strength · how it works 9 full-field decks · 2 top-32 decks · 5 other

4% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 75% stock · coherence 76%

$540.85Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66	16	100.0%	3.812
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	16	100.0%	3.188
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	16	100.0%	2.938
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98	16	100.0%	3.812
Preordain {U} $0.01	16	100.0%	3.25
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	16	100.0%	3.25
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	16	100.0%	2.938
Spell Snare {U} $0.01	15	93.8%	2.375
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.25	12	75.0%	2.812
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90	11	68.8%	1.188
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	11	68.8%	1.938
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.40	10	62.5%	2.25

Colors

Color	Decks
Izzet	4

Consensus 75

4 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $540.85 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $525.90

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66	100.0%	$0.66
4	Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.40	100.0%	$36.40
3	Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	100.0%	$4.33
4	Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98	100.0%	$0.98
4	Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.25	75.0%	$3.25
4	Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	75.0%	$0.25
3	Spell Snare {U} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	100.0%	$0.25
2	Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90	75.0%	$40.90
4	Preordain {U} $0.01	75.0%	$0.01
4	Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Fiery Islet $1.00	75.0%	$1.00
3	Island $0.01	75.0%	$0.01
4	Misty Rainforest $32.56	50.0%	$32.56
3	Scalding Tarn $29.00	50.0%	$29.00
3	Spirebluff Canal $3.00	50.0%	$3.00
3	Steam Vents $8.00	75.0%	$8.00
1	Thundering Falls $12.79	75.0%	$12.79

Sideboard · $14.95

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
3	Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.25	75.0%	$0.25
1	Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	75.0%	$0.09
1	Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	75.0%	$5.00
4	Consign to Memory {U} $2.15	75.0%	$2.15
1	Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	75.0%	$0.02
1	Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	75.0%	$0.01
2	Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	75.0%	$0.19
2	Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	50.0%	$0.05

Deck
4 Dragon's Rage Channeler
4 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
3 Murktide Regent
4 Mishra's Bauble
4 Cori-Steel Cutter
4 Lightning Bolt
3 Spell Snare
3 Unholy Heat
3 Counterspell
2 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
4 Expressive Iteration
1 Fiery Islet
3 Island
4 Misty Rainforest
3 Scalding Tarn
3 Spirebluff Canal
3 Steam Vents
1 Thundering Falls

Sideboard
3 Obsidian Charmaw
1 Tormod's Crypt
1 Blood Moon
4 Consign to Memory
1 Stern Scolding
1 Abrade
2 Mystical Dispute
2 Meltdown

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $552.53 High $622.11 +$4.46 (0.8%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$540$560$580$600$620$640

May 2026JunJulAugSepOct

$556.99 · ▲ 0.8% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Broodscale Combo	3	2	2-1	66.7% 20.8%–93.9% CI	57.1%
Jeskai Control	3	3	2-1	66.7% 20.8%–93.9% CI	57.1%
Affinity	2	1	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Boros Energy	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Domain Zoo	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Jeskai Blink	2	1	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Amulet Titan	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Dimir Murktide	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Eldrazi Tron	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Goryo's Vengeance	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Izzet Prowess	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Living End	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group 0CD887 (Beastrider Vanguard, Fiend Artisan)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Modern v3 Group 3EE712 (Twinned Vision, Artist's Talent)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Modern v3 Group 87E0C4 (Superior Spider-Man, Goryo's Vengeance)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Modern v3 Group EB8146 (Thought-Knot Seer, Sire of Seven Deaths)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.23	3.25	Core
Dragon's Rage Channeler {R} $0.66	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Expressive Iteration {U}{R} $0.01	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Force of Negation {1}{U}{U} $40.90	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.77	1.75	Core
Lightning Bolt {R} $0.25	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.77	3.75	Core
Mishra's Bauble {0} $0.98	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Murktide Regent {5}{U}{U} $4.33	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer {R} $36.40	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.01	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Spirebluff Canal $3.00	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.71	2.75	Core
Unholy Heat {R} $0.01	main	4 w 3.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.23	3.25	Core
Cori-Steel Cutter {1}{R} $3.25	main	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	3.10	4.00	Core
Fiery Islet $1.00	main	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	0.77	1.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	2.32	3.00	Core
Misty Rainforest $32.56	main	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	2.59	3.33	Core
Preordain {U} $0.01	main	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	3.10	4.00	Core
Scalding Tarn $29.00	main	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	2.59	3.33	Core
Steam Vents $8.00	main	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	2.32	3.00	Core
Thundering Falls $12.79	main	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	0.77	1.00	Core
Abrade {1}{R} $0.01	sideboard	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	0.77	1.00	Core
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	sideboard	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	0.77	1.00	Core
Consign to Memory {U} $2.15	sideboard	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	3.10	4.00	Core
Meltdown {X}{R} $0.05	sideboard	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	1.29	1.67	Core
Mystical Dispute {2}{U} $0.19	sideboard	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	1.55	2.00	Core
Obsidian Charmaw {3}{R}{R} $0.25	sideboard	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	2.58	3.33	Core
Stern Scolding {U} $0.02	sideboard	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	0.77	1.00	Core
Tormod's Crypt {0} $0.09	sideboard	3 w 2.9	77.5% raw 75.0%	0.77	1.00	Core
Blood Moon {2}{R} $5.00	main	1 w 0.8	22.5% raw 25.0%	0.23	1.00	Occasional
Consider {U} $0.01	main	1 w 0.8	22.5% raw 25.0%	0.90	4.00	Occasional
Consign to Memory {U} $2.15	main	1 w 0.8	22.5% raw 25.0%	0.23	1.00	Occasional
Flooded Strand $10.00	main	1 w 1.0	25.5% raw 25.0%	0.26	1.00	Occasional
Polluted Delta $14.00	main	1 w 1.0	25.5% raw 25.0%	0.51	2.00	Occasional
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	main	1 w 0.8	22.5% raw 25.0%	0.23	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 4 of 4

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
zkg31	Regional Championship - SCG CON Los Angeles - Season 5 - Round 1 - Saturday - 9:00 am	2026-10-10	26	11-3-1	Izzet	3%
Kloss, David	Ultimate Guard European Magic Series - Regional Championship - Ghent 2026	2026-10-10	1168	0-4-0	Izzet	5%
CSE	$1K Modern RCQ - SCG CON Los Angeles - Friday - 10:00 am	2026-10-09	44	3-3-1	Izzet	16%
ZKG	Modern League	2026-10-08		5-0-0	Izzet	3%