Standard v3 Group 724919 (Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer, Likeness Looter) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:724919171eb705 auto group

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50.0%Record Win Rate

40.0% Actual Match WR · 5 matches 95% CI 11.8%–76.9%

42.9%Actual Game WR

468Best Rank

68.5% Adjusted WR (90d) · 7 decks, 2 from cuts 95% CI 52.2%–82.0%

0.80× Cut conversion · 2 cut decks vs 4 expected

+0.9 Strength · how it works 5 full-field decks · 2 top-32 decks · 0 other

14% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 0% stock · coherence 56%

$277.42Consensus 75 Price · 63/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Duress {B} $0.01	7	100.0%	1.571
Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer {1}{B}{B} $1.10	7	100.0%	2.571
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	7	100.0%	1.857
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	7	100.0%	2.571
Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $17.68	7	100.0%	3.571
Moonshadow {B} $18.16	6	80.0%	2.286
Abhorrent Oculus {2}{U} $6.00	4	60.0%	1.714
Dark Matter Manipulator {B}	4	60.0%	2.857
Likeness Looter {U}{B} $1.89	4	60.0%	1.714
Seasoned Cryomancer {1}{U}{U}	4	60.0%	1.714
Theorix Charm {U}{B}	4	60.0%	0.857
Yuriko, Hope from the Shadows {U}	4	60.0%	0.571

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	1

Consensus 75

1 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $277.42 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $270.13

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Dark Matter Manipulator {B}	100.0%
4	Moonshadow {B} $18.16	100.0%	$18.16
1	Yuriko, Hope from the Shadows {U}	100.0%
4	Likeness Looter {U}{B} $1.89	100.0%	$1.89
4	Abhorrent Oculus {2}{U} $6.00	100.0%	$6.00
4	Seasoned Cryomancer {1}{U}{U}	100.0%
3	Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $17.68	100.0%	$17.68
4	Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer {1}{B}{B} $1.10	100.0%	$1.10
2	Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	100.0%	$0.20
3	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Theorix Charm {U}{B}	100.0%
2	Duress {B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
4	Gloomlake Verge $8.29	100.0%	$8.29
1	Island $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Restless Reef $0.89	100.0%	$0.89
3	Shipwreck Marsh $0.99	100.0%	$0.99
4	Starting Town $8.00	100.0%	$8.00
5	Swamp $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Undercity Sewers $7.00	100.0%	$7.00
4	Watery Grave $7.99	100.0%	$7.99

Sideboard · $7.29

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Karn, Argent Defender {2}	100.0%
2	Qarsi Revenant {1}{B}{B} $0.75	100.0%	$0.75
1	Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	100.0%	$2.50
1	Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	100.0%	$2.25
2	Annul {U} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Spell Snare {U} $0.08	100.0%	$0.08
2	Negate {1}{U} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Duress {B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.41	100.0%	$0.41

Deck
4 Dark Matter Manipulator
4 Moonshadow
1 Yuriko, Hope from the Shadows
4 Likeness Looter
4 Abhorrent Oculus
4 Seasoned Cryomancer
3 Overlord of the Balemurk
4 Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer
2 Requiting Hex
3 Bitter Triumph
2 Theorix Charm
2 Duress
4 Gloomlake Verge
1 Island
1 Restless Reef
3 Shipwreck Marsh
4 Starting Town
5 Swamp
1 Undercity Sewers
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Karn, Argent Defender
2 Qarsi Revenant
1 Ghost Vacuum
1 Torpor Orb
2 Annul
2 Spell Snare
2 Negate
2 Duress
2 Strategic Betrayal

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $253.68 High $293.47 −$13.71 (-4.8%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$250$260$270$280$290$300

Jun 2026JulAugSepOct

$273.92 · ▼ 4.8% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Dimir Midrange	2	1	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	50.0%
Standard v3 Group 005175 (Ajani Resolute, Essence Channeler)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Standard v3 Group 5A3B31 (Dark Matter Manipulator, Moonshadow)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Token Sacrifice Combo	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Abhorrent Oculus {2}{U} $6.00	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Dark Matter Manipulator {B}	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Duress {B} $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Gloomlake Verge $8.29	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Likeness Looter {U}{B} $1.89	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Moonshadow {B} $18.16	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Overlord of the Balemurk {3}{B}{B} $17.68	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer {1}{B}{B} $1.10	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.20	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Restless Reef $0.89	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Seasoned Cryomancer {1}{U}{U}	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Shipwreck Marsh $0.99	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Starting Town $8.00	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	5.00	5.00	Core
Theorix Charm {U}{B}	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Watery Grave $7.99	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Yuriko, Hope from the Shadows {U}	main	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.50	sideboard	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Karn, Argent Defender {2}	sideboard	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Negate {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Qarsi Revenant {1}{B}{B} $0.75	sideboard	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	sideboard	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.41	sideboard	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	1 w 0.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core

Recent Decks

Showing 1 of 1

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
Lindeman, Thomas	Magic Spotlight: Fracture - SCG CON Hartford - Saturday - 9:00 am	2026-10-24	468	3-3-0	Dimir	14%