Standard v3 Group 6425E6 (Sphinx of False Conclusions, Break Under Pressure) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:6425e6cdb993d3 auto group

26Decks in Window

13Tournaments

59.4%Record Win Rate

63.6% Actual Match WR · 11 matches 95% CI 35.4%–84.8%

50.0%Actual Game WR

1Best Rank

57.8% Adjusted WR (90d) · 48 decks, 28 from cuts 95% CI 51.0%–64.2%

2.70× Cut conversion · 31 cut decks vs 8 expected

+8.0 Strength · how it works 17 full-field decks · 31 top-32 decks · 3 other

0% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 84% stock · coherence 89%

$258.08Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	52	100.0%	3.981
Countersculpt {U}{U} $0.01	52	100.0%	3.923
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.18	52	100.0%	3.077
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	52	100.0%	1.231
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U} $33.00	52	100.0%	3.885
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	52	100.0%	1.769
Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	52	100.0%	3.769
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	51	98.0%	1.346
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	51	98.0%	2.365
Jace's Machinations {2}{U} $0.25	45	86.3%	2.058
Break Under Pressure {2}{B} $0.01	43	82.3%	1.154
Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.01	39	74.5%	0.731

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	22
Dimir splash	4

Consensus 75

26 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $258.08 current botbox price

Plain Text Download

Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $218.52

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
4	The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U} $33.00	100.0%	$33.00
1	Nowhere to Run {1}{B} $0.10	84.6%	$0.10
4	Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	84.6%	$0.10
3	Spell Snare {U} $0.09	84.6%	$0.09
2	Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	84.6%	$2.75
1	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
4	Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	100.0%	$1.91
4	Countersculpt {U}{U} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.05	65.4%	$0.05
1	Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.01	80.8%	$0.01
1	Break Under Pressure {2}{B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
3	Jace's Machinations {2}{U} $0.25	46.2%	$0.25
4	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.18	65.4%	$0.18
1	Demolition Field $0.05	80.8%	$0.05
4	Gloomlake Verge $8.43	100.0%	$8.43
3	Island $0.01	80.8%	$0.01
2	Petrified Hamlet $0.34	84.6%	$0.34
2	Restless Reef $0.77	100.0%	$0.77
4	Shipwreck Marsh $0.95	84.6%	$0.95
3	Swamp $0.01	84.6%	$0.01
2	Theorist's Sanctum $0.19	84.6%	$0.19
1	Undercity Sewers $7.00	84.6%	$7.00
4	Watery Grave $5.90	100.0%	$5.90

Sideboard · $39.56

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.99	84.6%	$27.99
1	Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.21	76.9%	$2.21
2	Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	84.6%	$2.25
2	Annul {U} $0.01	80.8%	$0.01
1	Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	65.4%	$0.08
2	Terminal Criticism {1}{B} $0.01	80.8%	$0.01
1	Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.50	73.1%	$4.50
3	Duress {B} $0.01	65.4%	$0.01
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	53.8%	$0.20
1	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	76.9%	$0.01

Deck
1 Sphinx of False Conclusions
4 The Theorist, Jace Beleren
1 Nowhere to Run
4 Requiting Hex
3 Spell Snare
2 Three Steps Ahead
1 Bitter Triumph
4 Consult the Star Charts
4 Countersculpt
1 Feed the Cycle
1 Shoot the Sheriff
1 Break Under Pressure
3 Jace's Machinations
4 Deadly Cover-Up
1 Demolition Field
4 Gloomlake Verge
3 Island
2 Petrified Hamlet
2 Restless Reef
4 Shipwreck Marsh
3 Swamp
2 Theorist's Sanctum
1 Undercity Sewers
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Wan Shi Tong, Librarian
1 Ghost Vacuum
2 Torpor Orb
2 Annul
1 Outrageous Robbery
2 Terminal Criticism
1 Emeritus of Ideation
3 Duress
1 Day of Black Sun
1 Strategic Betrayal

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $95.21 High $423.27 +$139.09 (123.9%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$0$100$200$300$400$500

Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$251.33 · ▲ 123.9% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Boros Dragons	2	2	1-1	50.0% 9.5%–90.5% CI	33.3%
Dimir Midrange	2	2	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Mono-Green Landfall	2	2	2-0	100.0% 34.2%–100.0% CI	80.0%
Izzet Prowess	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Jeskai Lessons	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Standard v3 Group 221261 (Grim Bauble, Mabel, Bitter Recluse)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Standard v3 Group B0C922 (Diamond Weapon, Rubblebelt Maverick)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Token Sacrifice Combo	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.20	1.19	Core
Break Under Pressure {2}{B} $0.01	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.33	1.35	Core
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Countersculpt {U}{U} $0.01	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.18	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.55	3.50	Core
Gloomlake Verge $8.43	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.70	2.65	Core
Jace's Machinations {2}{U} $0.25	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.45	2.46	Core
Petrified Hamlet $0.34	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.85	1.85	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.87	3.85	Core
Restless Reef $0.77	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.26	2.31	Core
Shipwreck Marsh $0.95	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.74	3.69	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.94	2.88	Core
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.74	2.69	Core
Theorist's Sanctum $0.19	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.87	1.85	Core
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U} $33.00	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.75	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.03	2.00	Core
Watery Grave $5.90	main	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.67	2.65	Core
Terminal Criticism {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	26 w 24.9	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.83	1.81	Core
Nowhere to Run {1}{B} $0.10	main	22 w 21.7	87.2% raw 84.6%	0.87	1.00	Core
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	22 w 21.7	87.2% raw 84.6%	0.87	1.00	Core
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	22 w 21.0	84.2% raw 84.6%	1.68	2.00	Core
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.99	sideboard	22 w 21.7	87.2% raw 84.6%	0.87	1.00	Core
Demolition Field $0.05	main	21 w 20.8	83.4% raw 80.8%	0.83	1.00	Core
Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.01	main	21 w 20.0	80.2% raw 80.8%	0.80	1.00	Core
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	21 w 20.8	83.3% raw 80.8%	1.67	2.00	Core
Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.21	sideboard	20 w 19.7	79.2% raw 76.9%	0.79	1.00	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	20 w 19.7	79.2% raw 76.9%	0.95	1.20	Core
Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.50	sideboard	19 w 18.8	75.4% raw 73.1%	0.75	1.00	Core
Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.05	main	17 w 16.8	67.4% raw 65.4%	0.67	1.00	Flex
Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	sideboard	17 w 16.9	67.7% raw 65.4%	0.68	1.00	Flex
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	sideboard	14 w 13.1	52.6% raw 53.8%	0.53	1.00	Flex
Twinned Vision {1}{U/R} $0.01	main	10 w 10.0	40.0% raw 38.5%	0.40	1.00	Flex
Intimidation Tactics {B} $0.05	sideboard	8 w 8.0	32.0% raw 30.8%	0.32	1.00	Occasional
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	7 w 6.9	27.8% raw 26.9%	0.28	1.00	Occasional
Agna Qel'a $0.24	main	4 w 3.9	15.6% raw 15.4%	0.16	1.00	Occasional
Chandra, Chill of Compliance {1}{U}{U} $5.00	main	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	main	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Deserted Beach $0.69	main	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.26	2.00	Occasional
Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.50	main	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Godless Shrine $4.85	main	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Hallowed Fountain $3.77	main	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.51	4.00	Occasional
Pest Control {W}{B} $1.48	main	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.26	2.00	Occasional
Uldaros Theorix {3}{U}{B}{B} $1.96	main	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.99	main	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Flashfreeze {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Garruk, Veiled Butcher {3}{B}{B} $0.47	sideboard	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Petrified Hamlet $0.34	sideboard	4 w 3.8	15.4% raw 15.4%	0.15	1.00	Occasional
Pyrrhic Strike {2}{W} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.26	2.00	Occasional
Rest in Peace {1}{W} $0.10	sideboard	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.26	2.00	Occasional
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	sideboard	4 w 3.8	15.4% raw 15.4%	0.19	1.25	Occasional
Tishana's Tidebinder {2}{U} $0.70	sideboard	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.26	2.00	Occasional
Ultima {3}{W}{W} $0.04	sideboard	4 w 3.2	12.8% raw 15.4%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Bitterbloom Bearer {B}{B} $10.23	sideboard	2 w 2.0	8.0% raw 7.7%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Engineered Explosives {X} $1.45	sideboard	2 w 2.0	7.9% raw 7.7%	0.12	1.50	Occasional
Kavaero, Mind-Bitten	sideboard	2 w 2.0	8.0% raw 7.7%	0.16	2.00	Occasional
Spell Snare {U} $0.09	sideboard	2 w 2.0	8.0% raw 7.7%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Fountainport $1.99	main	1 w 0.9	3.8% raw 3.8%	0.08	2.00	Occasional
The End {2}{B}{B} $0.05	sideboard	1 w 0.9	3.8% raw 3.8%	0.04	1.00	Occasional

Recent Decks

Showing 26 of 26

Deck	Tournament	Date	Rank	Record	Colors	Rogue
Drakemoore	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-11	10	3-2-0	Dimir	—
Ignotus97	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-10	11	4-2-0	Dimir	3%
Kritik	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-10	23	2-4-0	Dimir	5%
roter_Erzengel	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-10	27	1-1-0	Dimir	0%
Kritik	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-09	4	6-2-0	Dimir	3%
Kritik	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-09	4	6-2-0	Dimir	3%
peter780108	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-09	20	3-3-0	Dimir	0%
peter780108	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-09	20	3-3-0	Dimir	0%
MarcoBelacca95	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-09	23	3-3-0	Dimir	0%
MarcoBelacca95	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-09	23	3-3-0	Dimir	0%
SoulStrong	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-08	24	2-4-0	Dimir	0%
Kritik	Standard League	2026-11-08		5-0-0	Dimir	0%
surgetemelo	Standard League	2026-11-08		5-0-0	Dimir	2%
roter_Erzengel	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-07	3	5-3-0	Dimir	0%
jessy_samek	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-07	4	5-3-0	Dimir	0%
Drakemoore	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-07	11	4-2-0	Dimir	2%
John1111	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-07	30	1-2-0	Dimir	0%
roter_Erzengel	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-06	1	8-1-0	Dimir	0%
WaffleWiz	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-06	3	6-2-0	Dimir	2%
John1111	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-06	30	2-2-0	Dimir	0%
Dioferreira	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-06	32	2-4-0	Dimir	0%
Bugsy69	Standard Challenge 32	2026-11-06	3	6-2-0	Dimir	2%
Scappie	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-05	20	1-3-0	Dimir splash	20%
Scappie	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-05	15	3-2-0	Dimir splash	20%
Scappie	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-05	15	3-2-0	Dimir splash	20%
Scappie	Standard Challenge 16	2026-11-05	15	3-2-0	Dimir splash	20%