Standard v3 Group 4110EE (Break Under Pressure, Sphinx of False Conclusions) ⤴ Share image

Standard Last 7 days v3_fpg:4110eec03fc59b auto group

16Decks in Window

9Tournaments

62.2%Record Win Rate

57.1% Actual Match WR · 7 matches 95% CI 25.0%–84.2%

52.9%Actual Game WR

4Best Rank

58.5% Adjusted WR (90d) · 41 decks, 25 from cuts 95% CI 51.0%–65.8%

2.95× Cut conversion · 28 cut decks vs 6 expected

+8.5 Strength · how it works 14 full-field decks · 28 top-32 decks · 4 other

1% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 100% stock · coherence 93%

$257.03Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Break Under Pressure {2}{B} $0.01	46	100.0%	1.435
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	46	100.0%	4.0
Countersculpt {U}{U} $0.01	46	100.0%	4.0
Jace's Machinations {2}{U} $0.20	46	100.0%	2.457
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	46	100.0%	0.978
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.00	46	100.0%	1.913
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	46	100.0%	1.087
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.18	46	100.0%	3.283
Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	46	100.0%	3.913
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	46	100.0%	2.565
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U} $33.00	46	100.0%	4.0
Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.01	41	88.9%	0.87

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	16

Consensus 75

16 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $257.03 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $217.94

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
4	The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U} $33.00	100.0%	$33.00
1	Nowhere to Run {1}{B} $0.10	93.8%	$0.10
4	Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
4	Spell Snare {U} $0.08	43.8%	$0.08
2	Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.00	93.8%	$2.00
1	Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	100.0%	$0.10
4	Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	100.0%	$1.91
4	Countersculpt {U}{U} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
1	Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.05	87.5%	$0.05
1	Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.01	87.5%	$0.01
1	Break Under Pressure {2}{B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Jace's Machinations {2}{U} $0.20	100.0%	$0.20
4	Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.18	62.5%	$0.18
1	Demolition Field $0.05	93.8%	$0.05
4	Gloomlake Verge $8.99	100.0%	$8.99
3	Island $0.01	93.8%	$0.01
2	Petrified Hamlet $0.34	68.8%	$0.34
2	Restless Reef $0.80	100.0%	$0.80
4	Shipwreck Marsh $0.98	100.0%	$0.98
3	Swamp $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Theorist's Sanctum $0.15	100.0%	$0.15
1	Undercity Sewers $7.00	93.8%	$7.00
4	Watery Grave $5.62	100.0%	$5.62

Sideboard · $39.09

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.97	100.0%	$27.97
1	Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.10	81.2%	$2.10
2	Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	93.8%	$2.25
2	Annul {U} $0.01	93.8%	$0.01
1	Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	56.2%	$0.08
2	Terminal Criticism {1}{B} $0.01	93.8%	$0.01
1	Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.16	75.0%	$4.16
3	Duress {B} $0.01	68.8%	$0.01
1	Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	37.5%	$0.20
1	Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	87.5%	$0.01

Deck
1 Sphinx of False Conclusions
4 The Theorist, Jace Beleren
1 Nowhere to Run
4 Requiting Hex
4 Spell Snare
2 Three Steps Ahead
1 Bitter Triumph
4 Consult the Star Charts
4 Countersculpt
1 Feed the Cycle
1 Shoot the Sheriff
1 Break Under Pressure
2 Jace's Machinations
4 Deadly Cover-Up
1 Demolition Field
4 Gloomlake Verge
3 Island
2 Petrified Hamlet
2 Restless Reef
4 Shipwreck Marsh
3 Swamp
2 Theorist's Sanctum
1 Undercity Sewers
4 Watery Grave

Sideboard
1 Wan Shi Tong, Librarian
1 Ghost Vacuum
2 Torpor Orb
2 Annul
1 Outrageous Robbery
2 Terminal Criticism
1 Emeritus of Ideation
3 Duress
1 Day of Black Sun
1 Strategic Betrayal

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $95.09 High $399.16 +$142.66 (122.4%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$0$100$200$300$400

Jun 2026JulAugSepOctNov

$259.21 · ▲ 122.4% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Boros Dragons	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Dimir Midrange	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Mardu Discard	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Mono-Green Landfall	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Standard v3 Group 221261 (Grim Bauble, Mabel, Bitter Recluse)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Standard v3 Group C443E1 (Captain James T. Kirk, The Naked Time)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Token Sacrifice Combo	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Bitter Triumph {1}{B} $0.10	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.12	1.12	Core
Break Under Pressure {2}{B} $0.01	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.12	1.12	Core
Consult the Star Charts {1}{U} $1.91	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Countersculpt {U}{U} $0.01	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Deadly Cover-Up {3}{B}{B} $0.18	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.63	3.62	Core
Gloomlake Verge $8.99	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Island $0.01	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.94	2.94	Core
Jace's Machinations {2}{U} $0.20	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.31	2.31	Core
Petrified Hamlet $0.34	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.69	1.69	Core
Requiting Hex {B} $0.10	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Restless Reef $0.80	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.06	2.06	Core
Shipwreck Marsh $0.98	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.43	3.44	Core
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.00	3.00	Core
Theorist's Sanctum $0.15	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.00	2.00	Core
The Theorist, Jace Beleren {2}{U}{U} $33.00	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.00	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.25	2.25	Core
Watery Grave $5.62	main	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.68	2.69	Core
Terminal Criticism {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.94	1.94	Core
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian {X}{U}{U} $27.97	sideboard	16 w 15.7	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.00	1.00	Core
Demolition Field $0.05	main	15 w 14.7	94.0% raw 93.8%	0.94	1.00	Core
Nowhere to Run {1}{B} $0.10	main	15 w 14.7	93.9% raw 93.8%	0.94	1.00	Core
Undercity Sewers $7.00	main	15 w 14.7	93.9% raw 93.8%	0.94	1.00	Core
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	15 w 14.7	93.8% raw 93.8%	1.88	2.00	Core
Torpor Orb {2} $2.25	sideboard	15 w 14.7	93.8% raw 93.8%	1.88	2.00	Core
Feed the Cycle {1}{B} $0.05	main	14 w 13.7	87.7% raw 87.5%	0.94	1.07	Core
Shoot the Sheriff {1}{B} $0.01	main	14 w 13.7	87.7% raw 87.5%	0.88	1.00	Core
Strategic Betrayal {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	14 w 13.7	87.3% raw 87.5%	1.00	1.14	Core
Ghost Vacuum {1} $2.10	sideboard	13 w 12.7	81.2% raw 81.2%	0.81	1.00	Core
Emeritus of Ideation {U} $4.16	sideboard	12 w 11.7	74.9% raw 75.0%	0.75	1.00	Flex
Outrageous Robbery {X}{B}{B} $0.08	sideboard	9 w 9.0	57.1% raw 56.2%	0.57	1.00	Flex
Day of Black Sun {X}{B}{B} $0.20	sideboard	6 w 5.9	37.5% raw 37.5%	0.38	1.00	Flex
Agna Qel'a $0.24	main	5 w 4.8	30.7% raw 31.2%	0.31	1.00	Occasional
Twinned Vision {1}{U/R} $0.01	main	5 w 5.0	31.8% raw 31.2%	0.32	1.00	Occasional
Petrified Hamlet $0.34	sideboard	5 w 4.8	30.7% raw 31.2%	0.31	1.00	Occasional
Sphinx of False Conclusions {2}{U}{U} $0.10	sideboard	5 w 4.8	30.7% raw 31.2%	0.37	1.20	Occasional
Engineered Explosives {X} $0.24	sideboard	4 w 3.9	24.7% raw 25.0%	0.31	1.25	Occasional
Intimidation Tactics {B} $0.05	sideboard	4 w 4.0	25.4% raw 25.0%	0.25	1.00	Occasional
Bitterbloom Bearer {B}{B} $11.50	sideboard	3 w 3.0	19.1% raw 18.8%	0.19	1.00	Occasional
Spell Snare {U} $0.08	sideboard	3 w 3.0	19.1% raw 18.8%	0.19	1.00	Occasional
Disdainful Stroke {1}{U} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 2.0	12.6% raw 12.5%	0.13	1.00	Occasional
Kavaero, Mind-Bitten	sideboard	2 w 2.0	12.7% raw 12.5%	0.25	2.00	Occasional
Fountainport $1.99	main	1 w 0.9	6.0% raw 6.2%	0.12	2.00	Occasional
Get Out {U}{U} $0.09	main	1 w 1.0	6.1% raw 6.2%	0.06	1.00	Occasional
The End {2}{B}{B} $0.05	sideboard	1 w 0.9	6.0% raw 6.2%	0.06	1.00	Occasional
Three Steps Ahead {U} $2.00	sideboard	1 w 1.0	6.1% raw 6.2%	0.06	1.00	Occasional

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