Pauper v3 Group 063447 (Cut Down, Extract a Confession) ⤴ Share image

Pauper Last 7 days v3_fpg:063447671471a5 auto group

11Decks in Window

9Tournaments

53.3%Record Win Rate

35.3% Actual Match WR · 17 matches 95% CI 17.3%–58.7%

43.9%Actual Game WR

5Best Rank

57.5% Adjusted WR (90d) · 68 decks, 24 from cuts 95% CI 51.5%–63.0%

1.28× Cut conversion · 25 cut decks vs 19 expected

+4.3 Strength · how it works 39 full-field decks · 25 top-32 decks · 32 other

6% Spread (median rogueness) · 0% rogue builds 82% stock · coherence 90%

$64.36Consensus 75 Price · 75/75 copies priced

Signature Cards

Card	Decks	Share	Avg Copies
Baleful Strix {U}{B} $4.00	96	100.0%	3.958
Campfire {1} $0.46	96	100.0%	1.99
Cut Down {B} $1.08	96	100.0%	2.656
Extract a Confession {1}{B} $0.01	96	100.0%	1.0
Plunder the Trollshaws {1}{U} $0.01	96	100.0%	3.094
Thorn of the Black Rose {3}{B} $0.01	96	100.0%	2.458
Cast Down {1}{B} $0.12	96	100.0%	2.208
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	96	100.0%	4.0
Lórien Revealed {3}{U}{U} $2.00	96	100.0%	4.0
Murmuring Mystic {3}{U} $0.05	96	100.0%	2.938
Snuff Out {3}{B} $3.70	96	100.0%	3.927
Preordain {U} $0.40	93	96.7%	3.542

Colors

Color	Decks
Dimir	6
Dimir splash	4
Grixis	1

Consensus 75

11 source decks 60 main 15 sideboard $64.36 current botbox price

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Each first, second, third, and fourth copy is ranked independently by prevalence, then the top 60 main-deck and 15 sideboard slots are selected. This keeps the aggregate exactly deck-sized without rounding averages.

Main Deck · $48.22

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
4	Baleful Strix {U}{B} $4.00	90.9%	$4.00
3	Murmuring Mystic {3}{U} $0.05	90.9%	$0.05
2	Thorn of the Black Rose {3}{B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
2	Campfire {1} $0.46	100.0%	$0.46
3	Cut Down {B} $1.08	63.6%	$1.08
3	Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	45.5%	$0.05
2	Cast Down {1}{B} $0.12	100.0%	$0.12
4	Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	100.0%	$0.25
4	Plunder the Trollshaws {1}{U} $0.01	45.5%	$0.01
1	Suffocating Fumes {2}{B} $0.05	90.9%	$0.05
4	Snuff Out {3}{B} $3.70	100.0%	$3.70
4	Preordain {U} $0.40	63.6%	$0.40
1	Extract a Confession {1}{B} $0.01	100.0%	$0.01
4	Lórien Revealed {3}{U}{U} $2.00	100.0%	$2.00
1	Bojuka Bog $0.99	100.0%	$0.99
4	Contaminated Aquifer $0.10	81.8%	$0.10
1	Dimir Aqueduct $0.15	81.8%	$0.15
1	Ice Tunnel $0.26	54.5%	$0.26
9	Island $0.01	72.7%	$0.01
1	Molten Tributary $0.01	36.4%	$0.01
1	Seething Landscape $0.09	45.5%	$0.09
1	Swamp $0.01	100.0%	$0.01

Sideboard · $16.14

Qty	Card	Copy Prevalence	Unit Price
1	Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.88	54.5%	$1.88
1	Relic of Progenitus {1} $3.65	63.6%	$3.65
4	Annul {U} $0.01	63.6%	$0.01
1	Blue Elemental Blast {U} $0.48	45.5%	$0.48
1	Dispel {U} $0.23	45.5%	$0.23
4	Hydroblast {U} $2.09	72.7%	$2.09
1	Vandalblast {R} $1.20	45.5%	$1.20
2	Arms of Hadar {3}{B} $0.15	45.5%	$0.15

Deck
4 Baleful Strix
3 Murmuring Mystic
2 Thorn of the Black Rose
2 Campfire
3 Cut Down
3 Spell Pierce
2 Cast Down
4 Counterspell
4 Plunder the Trollshaws
1 Suffocating Fumes
4 Snuff Out
4 Preordain
1 Extract a Confession
4 Lórien Revealed
1 Bojuka Bog
4 Contaminated Aquifer
1 Dimir Aqueduct
1 Ice Tunnel
9 Island
1 Molten Tributary
1 Seething Landscape
1 Swamp

Sideboard
1 Nihil Spellbomb
1 Relic of Progenitus
4 Annul
1 Blue Elemental Blast
1 Dispel
4 Hydroblast
1 Vandalblast
2 Arms of Hadar

Consensus Price History

180 days Low $45.65 High $85.75 +$21.06 (41.3%)

Read-only composite of the selected consensus printing IDs against botbox historical nonfoil TCGplayer prices. Changing this chart never changes the main pricing tables.

$40$50$60$70$80$90

Jun 2026JulAugSepOct

$72.05 · ▲ 41.3% over 180 days

Matchups

Regular includes all recorded non-bye archetype-vs-archetype matches. Draws are discarded and mirror matches are never counted.

Opponent	Matches	Tournaments	W-L	Match WR	Game WR
Grixis Affinity	3	2	1-2	33.3% 6.1%–79.2% CI	20.0%
Mono Red Madness	2	1	0-2	0.0% 0.0%–65.8% CI	33.3%
Boros Metalcraft	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%
Dimir Faeries	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Elves	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Inside Out Combo	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Jund Wildfire	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Mono Black Sacrifice	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Mono Red Rally	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Mono White Aggro	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	0.0%
Pauper v3 Group 01D24F (Lose Focus, Cut Down)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Pauper v3 Group 898BAE (Cauldron Familiar, Breathless Knight)	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	100.0%
Pauper v3 Group CC1CDC (Hard Evidence, Gearseeker Serpent)	1	1	0-1	0.0% 0.0%–79.3% CI	33.3%
Rakdos Madness	1	1	1-0	100.0% 20.7%–100.0% CI	66.7%

Card Usage

Inclusion and copies are rogueness-weighted (a deck counts for 1 − rogueness, so stock lists weigh more); raw counts shown beneath. The consensus list itself is never weighted.

Card	Board	Decks	Inclusion	Avg / Deck	Avg When Played	Role
Bojuka Bog $0.99	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.08	1.09	Core
Campfire {1} $0.46	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.08	2.09	Core
Cast Down {1}{B} $0.12	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.15	2.18	Core
Contaminated Aquifer $0.10	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.57	3.55	Core
Counterspell {U}{U} $0.25	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Cut Down {B} $1.08	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.73	2.73	Core
Extract a Confession {1}{B} $0.01	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.08	1.09	Core
Island $0.01	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	9.06	9.09	Core
Lórien Revealed {3}{U}{U} $2.00	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Murmuring Mystic {3}{U} $0.05	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.02	3.00	Core
Plunder the Trollshaws {1}{U} $0.01	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.35	3.36	Core
Snuff Out {3}{B} $3.70	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	4.00	4.00	Core
Swamp $0.01	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	1.17	1.18	Core
Thorn of the Black Rose {3}{B} $0.01	main	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	2.38	2.36	Core
Hydroblast {U} $2.09	sideboard	11 w 10.2	100.0% raw 100.0%	3.25	3.27	Core
Baleful Strix {U}{B} $4.00	main	10 w 9.4	92.3% raw 90.9%	3.69	4.00	Core
Suffocating Fumes {2}{B} $0.05	main	10 w 9.5	92.4% raw 90.9%	1.00	1.10	Core
Annul {U} $0.01	sideboard	10 w 9.5	92.4% raw 90.9%	3.31	3.60	Core
Arms of Hadar {3}{B} $0.15	sideboard	10 w 9.5	92.4% raw 90.9%	1.45	1.60	Core
Dimir Aqueduct $0.15	main	9 w 8.5	83.0% raw 81.8%	0.83	1.00	Core
Preordain {U} $0.40	main	9 w 8.7	84.7% raw 81.8%	3.20	3.78	Core
Relic of Progenitus {1} $3.65	sideboard	7 w 6.8	66.2% raw 63.6%	0.94	1.43	Flex
Ice Tunnel $0.26	main	6 w 5.7	55.5% raw 54.5%	1.02	1.83	Flex
Spell Pierce {U} $0.05	main	6 w 5.8	57.2% raw 54.5%	1.53	2.67	Flex
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.88	sideboard	6 w 5.8	56.7% raw 54.5%	0.57	1.00	Flex
Seething Landscape $0.09	main	5 w 4.8	46.8% raw 45.5%	0.65	1.40	Flex
Blue Elemental Blast {U} $0.48	sideboard	5 w 4.6	45.1% raw 45.5%	1.28	2.80	Flex
Dispel {U} $0.23	sideboard	5 w 4.9	47.8% raw 45.5%	0.67	1.40	Flex
Vandalblast {R} $1.20	sideboard	5 w 4.6	44.9% raw 45.5%	1.05	2.40	Flex
Molten Tributary $0.01	main	4 w 3.6	35.4% raw 36.4%	0.35	1.00	Flex
Extract a Confession {1}{B} $0.01	sideboard	4 w 3.8	36.9% raw 36.4%	0.37	1.00	Flex
Augur of Bolas {1}{U} $0.03	main	3 w 2.8	27.5% raw 27.3%	0.55	2.00	Occasional
Brainstorm {U} $0.01	main	3 w 2.9	28.4% raw 27.3%	0.57	2.00	Occasional
Duress {B} $0.01	main	3 w 2.8	27.5% raw 27.3%	0.82	3.00	Occasional
Nihil Spellbomb {1} $1.88	main	3 w 2.7	26.0% raw 27.3%	0.44	1.67	Occasional
Dispel {U} $0.23	main	2 w 1.9	18.4% raw 18.2%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Troll of Khazad-dûm {5}{B} $0.30	main	2 w 1.6	15.3% raw 18.2%	0.61	4.00	Occasional
Campfire {1} $0.46	sideboard	2 w 1.7	17.0% raw 18.2%	0.25	1.50	Occasional
Drown in Sorrow {1}{B}{B} $0.05	sideboard	2 w 1.9	18.5% raw 18.2%	0.19	1.00	Occasional
Duress {B} $0.01	sideboard	2 w 2.0	19.4% raw 18.2%	0.39	2.00	Occasional
Envelop {U} $2.15	sideboard	2 w 1.9	18.9% raw 18.2%	0.19	1.00	Occasional
Stream of Thought {U} $0.05	sideboard	2 w 1.9	18.4% raw 18.2%	0.18	1.00	Occasional
Ash Barrens $0.01	main	1 w 1.0	9.5% raw 9.1%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Geothermal Bog $0.01	main	1 w 0.8	7.6% raw 9.1%	0.08	1.00	Occasional
Lose Focus {1}{U} $0.03	main	1 w 0.8	7.6% raw 9.1%	0.15	2.00	Occasional
Mountain $0.01	main	1 w 1.0	9.4% raw 9.1%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Soul-Guide Lantern {1} $0.01	main	1 w 0.8	7.7% raw 9.1%	0.15	2.00	Occasional
Tithing Blade $0.20	main	1 w 0.9	9.1% raw 9.1%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Twinned Vision {1}{U/R} $0.01	main	1 w 0.8	7.6% raw 9.1%	0.30	4.00	Occasional
Cut Down {B} $1.08	sideboard	1 w 0.8	7.6% raw 9.1%	0.15	2.00	Occasional
Mountain $0.01	sideboard	1 w 1.0	9.5% raw 9.1%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Okiba-Gang Shinobi {3}{B}{B} $0.39	sideboard	1 w 0.9	9.1% raw 9.1%	0.09	1.00	Occasional
Soul-Guide Lantern {1} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.8	7.7% raw 9.1%	0.15	2.00	Occasional
Steel Sabotage {U} $0.10	sideboard	1 w 1.0	9.7% raw 9.1%	0.19	2.00	Occasional
Swirling Sandstorm {3}{R} $0.03	sideboard	1 w 0.8	7.6% raw 9.1%	0.15	2.00	Occasional
Thorn of the Black Rose {3}{B} $0.01	sideboard	1 w 0.8	7.6% raw 9.1%	0.08	1.00	Occasional

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